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Accurate forecasting of bus travel time and its uncertainty is critical to service quality and operation of transit systems; for example, it can help passengers make better decisions on departure time, route choice, and even transport mode…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-15 Xiaoxu Chen , Zhanhong Cheng , Jian Gang Jin , Martin Trepanier , Lijun Sun

Disruptions are an inherent feature of transportation systems, occurring unpredictably and with varying durations. Even after an incident is reported as resolved, disruptions can induce irregular train operations that generate substantial…

We present a flexible method for computing Bayesian optimal experimental designs (BOEDs) for inverse problems with intractable posteriors. The approach is applicable to a wide range of BOED problems and can accommodate various optimality…

Computation · Statistics 2024-08-20 Karina Koval , Roland Herzog , Robert Scheichl

Bayesian network structure learning algorithms with limited data are being used in domains such as systems biology and neuroscience to gain insight into the underlying processes that produce observed data. Learning reliable networks from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-07-10 Diane Oyen , Terran Lane

Advanced integration of logistics systems has been promoted for the sake of competitiveness and sustainability. Such efforts will enable more globally optimal and flexible operations by efficiently utilizing transportation capacity. At the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-03-29 Takahiro Ezaki , Naoto Imura , Katsuhiro Nishinari

Mobility-on-Demand (MoD) systems are generally designed and analyzed for a fixed and exogenous demand, but such frameworks fail to answer questions about the impact of these services on the urban transportation system, such as the effect of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-10-09 Yang Liu , Prateek Bansal , Ricardo Daziano , Samitha Samaranayake

The reliable operation of a power distribution system relies on a good prior knowledge of its topology and its system state. Although crucial, due to the lack of direct monitoring devices on the switch statuses, the topology information is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-19 Yijun Xu , Jaber Valinejad , Mert Korkali , Lamine Mili , Yajun Wang , Xiao Chen , Zongsheng Zheng

Multipurpose batch processes become increasingly popular in manufacturing industries since they adapt to low-volume, high-value products and shifting demands. These processes often operate in a dynamic environment, which faces disturbances…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Taicheng Zheng , Dan Li , Jie Li

In networks of dynamic systems, one challenge is to identify the interconnection structure on the basis of measured signals. Inspired by a Bayesian approach in [1], in this paper, we explore a Bayesian model selection method for identifying…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-03-18 Shengling Shi , Giulio Bottegal , Paul M. J. Van den Hof

In this paper, we employ multiple UAVs coordinated by a base station (BS) to help the ground users (GUs) to offload their sensing data. Different UAVs can adapt their trajectories and network formation to expedite data transmissions via…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-29 Shimin Gong , Meng Wang , Bo Gu , Wenjie Zhang , Dinh Thai Hoang , Dusit Niyato

We consider a largely untapped potential for the improvement of traffic networks that is rooted in the inherent uncertainty of travel times. Travel times are subject to stochastic uncertainty resulting from various parameters such as…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Svenja M. Griesbach , Martin Hoefer , Max Klimm , Tim Koglin

Providing transport users and operators with accurate forecasts on travel times is challenging due to a highly stochastic traffic environment. Public transport users are particularly sensitive to unexpected waiting times, which negatively…

Applications · Statistics 2022-02-25 Hector Rodriguez-Deniz , Mattias Villani

We study optimal information provision in transportation networks when users are strategic and the network state is uncertain. An omniscient planner observes the network state and discloses information to the users with the goal of…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-12-01 Leonardo Cianfanelli , Alexia Ambrogio , Giacomo Como

Aiming at the prediction problem of transport capacity risk caused by the mismatch between the carrying capacity of rail transit network and passenger flow demand, this paper proposes an explainable prediction method of rail transit network…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-08-04 Zhang Zhengyang , Dong Wei , Liu jun , Sun Xinya , Ji Yindong

In machine learning and computer vision, optimal transport has had significant success in learning generative models and defining metric distances between structured and stochastic data objects, that can be cast as probability measures. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-20 Anton Mallasto , Markus Heinonen , Samuel Kaski

Using strategic timetables as input for railway network design has become increasingly popular among western European railway infrastructure operators. Although both railway timetabling and railway network design on their own are well…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-08-02 Tim Sander , Nadine Friesen , Karl Nachtigall , Nils Nießen

Supply chain network is critical to serving customers, so the most common practices are to determine the number, location, and capacity of facilities. But at the same time, uncertainties and risks must be taken into account in order to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-01-19 Khadija Ait Mamoun , Lamia Hammadi , Abdessamad El Ballouti , Eduardo Souza De Cursi

In route selection problems, the driver's personal preferences will determine whether she prefers a route with a travel time that has a relatively low mean and high variance over one that has relatively high mean and low variance. In…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-10-05 Rens Kamphuis , Michel Mandjes , Paulo Serra

We investigate the problem of designing delay-aware joint flow control, routing, and scheduling algorithms in general multi-hop networks for maximizing network utilization. Since the end-to-end delay performance has a complex dependence on…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Haozhi Xiong , Ruogu Li , Atilla Eryilmaz , Eylem Ekici

Accurate traffic flow prediction, a hotspot for intelligent transportation research, is the prerequisite for mastering traffic and making travel plans. The speed of traffic flow can be affected by roads condition, weather, holidays, etc.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-15 Jianlei Kong , Xiaomeng Fan , Xue-Bo Jin , Min Zuo
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