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In light of intense hurricane activity along the U.S. Atlantic coast, attention has turned to understanding both the economic impact and behaviour of these storms. The compound Poisson-lognormal process has been proposed as a model for…

Applications · Statistics 2016-02-15 Simon Mak , Derek Bingham , Yi Lu

We propose a novel spike and slab prior specification with scaled beta prime marginals for the importance parameters of regression coefficients to allow for general effect selection within the class of structured additive distributional…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-30 Nadja Klein , Manuel Carlan , Thomas Kneib , Stefan Lang , Helga Wagner

Conjugate priors allow for fast inference in large dimensional vector autoregressive (VAR) models but, at the same time, introduce the restriction that each equation features the same set of explanatory variables. This paper proposes a…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-08-27 Niko Hauzenberger , Florian Huber , Luca Onorante

Remote sensing observations are extensively used for analysis of environmental variables. These variables often exhibit spatial correlation, which has to be accounted for in the calibration models used in predictions, either by direct…

Applications · Statistics 2017-02-14 Virpi Junttila , Marko Laine

During the past decade, shrinkage priors have received much attention in Bayesian analysis of high-dimensional data. This paper establishes the posterior consistency for high-dimensional linear regression with a class of shrinkage priors,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-11 Qifan Song , Faming Liang

In high dimensional regression, global local shrinkage priors have gained significant traction for their ability to yield sparse estimates, improve parameter recovery, and support accurate predictive modeling. While recent work has explored…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-19 Javier Enrique Aguilar , Paul-Christian Bürkner

Conditional autoregressive (CAR) models are commonly used to capture spatial correlation in areal unit data, and are typically specified as a prior distribution for a set of random effects, as part of a hierarchical Bayesian model. The…

Applications · Statistics 2012-05-17 Duncan Lee , Richard Mitchell

We develop a Bayesian methodology aimed at simultaneously estimating low-rank and row-sparse matrices in a high-dimensional multiple-response linear regression model. We consider a carefully devised shrinkage prior on the matrix of…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-10 Antik Chakraborty , Anirban Bhattacharya , Bani K. Mallick

In areal unit data with missing or suppressed data, it desirable to create models that are able to predict observations that are not available. Traditional statistical methods achieve this through Bayesian hierarchical models that can…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-20 Cara MacBride , Vinny Davies , Duncan Lee

We consider the problem of model selection when grouping structure is inherent within the regressors. Using a Bayesian approach, we model the mean vector by a one-group global-local shrinkage prior belonging to a broad class of such priors…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-20 Sayantan Paul , Prasenjit Ghosh , Arijit Chakrabarti

We propose Bayesian Univariate-Guided Sparse Regression (BUGS), a novel global-local shrinkage framework that incorporates marginal association information directly into the prior through a continuous modulation of shrinkage. Unlike…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-27 Priyam Das

We show that prediction performance for global-local shrinkage regression can overcome two major difficulties of global shrinkage regression: (i) the amount of relative shrinkage is monotone in the singular values of the design matrix and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-07 Anindya Bhadra , Jyotishka Datta , Yunfan Li , Nicholas G. Polson , Brandon Willard

We consider Bayesian linear regression with sparsity-inducing prior and design efficient sampling algorithms leveraging posterior contraction properties. A quasi-likelihood with Gaussian spike-and-slab (that is favorable both statistically…

Computation · Statistics 2023-07-13 Qijia Jiang

In recent years, shrinkage priors have received much attention in high-dimensional data analysis from a Bayesian perspective. Compared with widely used spike-and-slab priors, shrinkage priors have better computational efficiency. But the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-16 Ruoyang Zhang , Malay Ghosh

In many problem settings, parameter vectors are not merely sparse but dependent in such a way that non-zero coefficients tend to cluster together. We refer to this form of dependency as "region sparsity." Classical sparse regression…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-28 Anqi Wu , Oluwasanmi Koyejo , Jonathan W. Pillow

Area-level models for small area estimation typically rely on areal random effects to shrink design-based direct estimates towards a model-based predictor. Incorporating the spatial dependence of the random effects into these models can…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-22 Sho Kawano , Paul A. Parker , Zehang Richard Li

In Bayesian regression models with categorical predictors, constraints are needed to ensure identifiability when using all $K$ levels of a factor. The sum-to-zero constraint is particularly useful as it allows coefficients to represent…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-15 Zhi Ling , Shozen Dan

This paper investigates the cross-correlations across multiple climate model errors. We build a Bayesian hierarchical model that accounts for the spatial dependence of individual models as well as cross-covariances across different climate…

Applications · Statistics 2012-03-02 Huiyan Sang , Mikyoung Jun , Jianhua Z. Huang

Despite the abundance of methods for variable selection and accommodating spatial structure in regression models, there is little precedent for incorporating spatial dependence in covariate inclusion probabilities for regionally varying…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-09-05 Kristian Lum

In the context of a high-dimensional linear regression model, we propose the use of an empirical correlation-adaptive prior that makes use of information in the observed predictor variable matrix to adaptively address high collinearity,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-04 Chang Liu , Yue Yang , Howard Bondell , Ryan Martin