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Accurate probabilistic predictions can be characterized by two properties -- calibration and sharpness. However, standard maximum likelihood training yields models that are poorly calibrated and thus inaccurate -- a 90% confidence interval…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-14 Volodymyr Kuleshov , Shachi Deshpande

This paper studies the problem of post-hoc calibration of machine learning classifiers. We introduce the following desiderata for uncertainty calibration: (a) accuracy-preserving, (b) data-efficient, and (c) high expressive power. We show…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-01 Jize Zhang , Bhavya Kailkhura , T. Yong-Jin Han

It is known that neural networks have the problem of being over-confident when directly using the output label distribution to generate uncertainty measures. Existing methods mainly resolve this issue by retraining the entire model to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-15 Maohao Shen , Yuheng Bu , Prasanna Sattigeri , Soumya Ghosh , Subhro Das , Gregory Wornell

Despite their impressive predictive performance in various computer vision tasks, deep neural networks (DNNs) tend to make overly confident predictions, which hinders their widespread use in safety-critical applications. While there have…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-12-12 Teodora Popordanoska , Aleksei Tiulpin , Matthew B. Blaschko

Estimating the 6D object pose from a single RGB image often involves noise and indeterminacy due to challenges such as occlusions and cluttered backgrounds. Meanwhile, diffusion models have shown appealing performance in generating…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-03-25 Li Xu , Haoxuan Qu , Yujun Cai , Jun Liu

Safety-critical 3D scene understanding tasks necessitate not only accurate but also confident predictions from 3D perception models. This study introduces Calib3D, a pioneering effort to benchmark and scrutinize the reliability of 3D scene…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Lingdong Kong , Xiang Xu , Jun Cen , Wenwei Zhang , Liang Pan , Kai Chen , Ziwei Liu

An important paradigm in 3D object detection is the use of multiple modalities to enhance accuracy in both normal and challenging conditions, particularly for long-tail scenarios. To address this, recent studies have explored two directions…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-10-17 Minkyoung Cho , Yulong Cao , Jiachen Sun , Qingzhao Zhang , Marco Pavone , Jeong Joon Park , Heng Yang , Z. Morley Mao

In recent years, much progress has been made in LiDAR-based 3D object detection mainly due to advances in detector architecture designs and availability of large-scale LiDAR datasets. Existing 3D object detectors tend to perform well on the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-06-12 Eduardo R. Corral-Soto , Alaap Grandhi , Yannis Y. He , Mrigank Rochan , Bingbing Liu

LiDAR-based 3D object detection is a critical technology for the development of autonomous driving and robotics. However, the high cost of data annotation limits its advancement. We propose a novel and effective active learning (AL) method…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-09-12 Huang-Yu Chen , Jia-Fong Yeh , Jia-Wei Liao , Pin-Hsuan Peng , Winston H. Hsu

Sharing information between connected and autonomous vehicles (CAVs) fundamentally improves the performance of collaborative object detection for self-driving. However, CAVs still have uncertainties on object detection due to practical…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-03-20 Sanbao Su , Yiming Li , Sihong He , Songyang Han , Chen Feng , Caiwen Ding , Fei Miao

Calibration is crucial in deep learning applications, especially in fields like healthcare and autonomous driving, where accurate confidence estimates are vital for decision-making. However, deep neural networks often suffer from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-17 Linwei Tao , Haolan Guo , Minjing Dong , Chang Xu

In the realm of modern autonomous driving, the perception system is indispensable for accurately assessing the state of the surrounding environment, thereby enabling informed prediction and planning. The key step to this system is related…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-08-16 Ziying Song , Lin Liu , Feiyang Jia , Yadan Luo , Guoxin Zhang , Lei Yang , Li Wang , Caiyan Jia

Unbiased confidence estimates of neural networks are crucial especially for safety-critical applications. Many methods have been developed to calibrate biased confidence estimates. Though there is a variety of methods for classification,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-12-15 Fabian Küppers , Jan Kronenberger , Amirhossein Shantia , Anselm Haselhoff

Conjunction assessment requires knowledge of the uncertainty in the predicted orbit. Errors in the atmospheric density are a major source of error in the prediction of low Earth orbits. Therefore, accurate estimation of the density and…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2020-04-24 David J. Gondelach , Richard Linares

Good 3D object detection performance from LiDAR-Camera sensors demands seamless feature alignment and fusion strategies. We propose the 3DifFusionDet framework in this paper, which structures 3D object detection as a denoising diffusion…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-11-08 Xinhao Xiang , Simon Dräger , Jiawei Zhang

Code language models are increasingly adopted for both understanding and generative tasks. Despite their success, these models frequently produce overconfident incorrect predictions and underconfident correct predictions, undermining their…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Ravishka Rathnasuriya , Wei Yang

Probabilistic methods for point set registration have demonstrated competitive results in recent years. These techniques estimate a probability distribution model of the point clouds. While such a representation has shown promise, it is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-10-24 Felix Järemo Lawin , Martin Danelljan , Fahad Shahbaz Khan , Per-Erik Forssén , Michael Felsberg

Object pose estimation is crucial to robotic perception and typically provides a single-pose estimate. However, a single estimate cannot capture pose uncertainty deriving from visual ambiguity, which can lead to unreliable behavior.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Frederik Hagelskjær , Dimitrios Arapis , Steffen Madsen , Thorbjørn Mosekjær Iversen

Obtaining accurately calibrated redshift distributions of photometric samples is one of the great challenges in photometric surveys like LSST, Euclid, HSC, KiDS, and DES. We present an inference methodology that combines the redshift…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2021-12-09 M. M. Rau , C. B. Morrison , S. J. Schmidt , S. Wilson , R. Mandelbaum , Y. Y. Mao

Reliable uncertainty estimation is crucial for robust object detection in autonomous driving. However, previous works on probabilistic object detection either learn predictive probability for bounding box regression in an un-supervised…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-08-11 Di Feng , Lars Rosenbaum , Fabian Timm , Klaus Dietmayer