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Predictive modeling based on genomic data has gained popularity in biomedical research and clinical practice by allowing researchers and clinicians to identify biomarkers and tailor treatment decisions more efficiently. Analysis…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-02 Li Zeng , Zhaolong Yu , Yiliang Zhang , Hongyu Zhao

Precision oncology, the genetic sequencing of tumors to identify druggable targets, has emerged as the standard of care in the treatment of many cancers. Nonetheless, due to the pace of therapy development and variability in patient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-12 Niklas T. Rindtorff , MingYu Lu , Nisarg A. Patel , Huahua Zheng , Alexander D'Amour

This work studies lung tumor growth prediction from sparse and irregular longitudinal computed tomography (CT) observations with measurement variability. A Bayesian physics-informed neural network is developed by combining Gompertz growth…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Lingfei Kong , Haoran Ma

Modern epidemiological analytics increasingly use machine learning models that offer strong prediction but often lack calibrated uncertainty. Bayesian methods provide principled uncertainty quantification, yet are viewed as difficult to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-18 Debashis Chatterjee

We consider the Bayesian estimation of the parameters of a finite mixture model from independent order statistics arising from imperfect ranked set sampling designs. As a cost-effective method, ranked set sampling enables us to incorporate…

We present a statistical perspective on boosting. Special emphasis is given to estimating potentially complex parametric or nonparametric models, including generalized linear and additive models as well as regression models for survival…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-12-18 Peter Bühlmann , Torsten Hothorn

We introduce a novel way to combine boosting with Gaussian process and mixed effects models. This allows for relaxing, first, the zero or linearity assumption for the prior mean function in Gaussian process and grouped random effects models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-06 Fabio Sigrist

With recent advancements in the development of artificial intelligence applications using theories and algorithms in machine learning, many accurate models can be created to train and predict on given datasets. With the realization of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-29 Pei Xi , Lin

It is often the case that risk assessment and prognostics are viewed as related but separate tasks. This chapter describes a risk-based approach to prognostics that seeks to provide a tighter coupling between risk assessment and fault…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-18 John W. Sheppard

In regression models, predictor variables with inherent ordering, such as tumor staging ranging and ECOG performance status, are commonly seen in medical settings. Statistically, it may be difficult to determine the functional form of an…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-04 Emily Roberts , Lili Zhao

The development of molecular signatures for the prediction of time-to-event outcomes is a methodologically challenging task in bioinformatics and biostatistics. Although there are numerous approaches for the derivation of marker…

Applications · Statistics 2014-01-09 Andreas Mayr , Matthias Schmid

Two ideas taken from Bayesian optimization and classifier systems are presented for personnel scheduling based on choosing a suitable scheduling rule from a set for each persons assignment. Unlike our previous work of using genetic…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2010-07-05 Jingpeng Li , Uwe Aickelin

Clinical decision-making demands uncertainty quantification that provides both distribution-free coverage guarantees and risk-adaptive precision, requirements that existing methods fail to jointly satisfy. We present a hybrid…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Marzieh Amiri Shahbazi , Ali Baheri , Nasibeh Azadeh-Fard

In the context of global energy strategy, accurate natural gas demand forecasting is crucial for ensuring efficient resource allocation and operational planning. Traditional forecasting methods struggle to cope with the growing complexity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-25 Xinxing Zhou , Jiaqi Ye , Shubao Zhao , Ming Jin , Zhaoxiang Hou , Chengyi Yang , Zengxiang Li , Yanlong Wen , Xiaojie Yuan

We introduce a Loss Discounting Framework for model and forecast combination which generalises and combines Bayesian model synthesis and generalized Bayes methodologies. We use a loss function to score the performance of different models…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-29 Dawid Bernaciak , Jim E. Griffin

The genomic profile underlying an individual tumor can be highly informative in the creation of a personalized cancer treatment strategy for a given patient; a practice known as precision oncology. This involves next generation sequencing…

We analyse predictions of future recruitment to a multi-centre clinical trial based on a maximum-likelihood fitting of a commonly used hierarchical Poisson-Gamma model for recruitments at individual centres. We consider the asymptotic…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-15 Rachael Mountain , Chris Sherlock

Despite considerable progress in developing artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms for prostate cancer detection from whole slide images, the clinical applicability of these models remains limited due to variability in pathological…

Tissues and Organs · Quantitative Biology 2024-06-12 T. J. Hart , Chloe Engler Hart , Spencer Hopson , Paul M. Urie , Dennis Della Corte

Accurate demand forecasting is vital for ensuring reliable access to contraceptive products, supporting key processes like procurement, inventory, and distribution. However, forecasting contraceptive demand in developing countries presents…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-10 Harsha Chamara Hewage , Bahman Rostami-Tabar , Aris Syntetos , Federico Liberatore , Glenn Milano

This study examines the application of Bayesian approach in the context of clinical trials, emphasizing their increasing importance in contemporary biomedical research. While conventional frequentist approach provides a foundational basis…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-16 Paramahansa Pramanik , Arnab Kumar Maity , Anjan Mandal , Haley Kate Robinson