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In this work, we use Deep Gaussian Processes (DGPs) as statistical surrogates for stochastic processes with complex distributions. Conventional inferential methods for DGP models can suffer from high computational complexity as they require…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-02 Liang Ding , Rui Tuo , Shahin Shahrampour

Modeling sequential data has become more and more important in practice. Some applications are autonomous driving, virtual sensors and weather forecasting. To model such systems so called recurrent models are used. In this article we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-21 Roman Föll , Bernard Haasdonk , Markus Hanselmann , Holger Ulmer

We present a non-parametric prognostic framework for individualized event prediction based on joint modeling of both longitudinal and time-to-event data. Our approach exploits a multivariate Gaussian convolution process (MGCP) to model the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-04 Xubo Yue , Raed Kontar

Modelling longitudinal data is an important yet challenging task. These datasets can be high-dimensional, contain non-linear effects and time-varying covariates. Gaussian process (GP) prior-based variational autoencoders (VAEs) have emerged…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-18 Priscilla Ong , Manuel Haußmann , Otto Lönnroth , Harri Lähdesmäki

We present a framework for transfer learning based on modular variational Gaussian processes (GP). We develop a module-based method that having a dictionary of well fitted GPs, one could build ensemble GP models without revisiting any data.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-27 Pablo Moreno-Muñoz , Antonio Artés-Rodríguez , Mauricio A. Álvarez

Transformation-based methods have been an attractive approach in non-parametric inference for problems such as unconditional and conditional density estimation due to their unique hierarchical structure that models the data as flexible…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-06 Sean Plummer , Shuang Zhou , Anirban Bhattacharya , David Dunson , Debdeep Pati

Non-parametric models, such as Gaussian Processes (GP), show promising results in the analysis of complex data. Their applications in neuroscience data have recently gained traction. In this research, we introduce a novel neural decoder…

Latent Gaussian models (LGMs) are perhaps the most commonly used class of models in statistical applications. Nevertheless, in areas ranging from longitudinal studies in biostatistics to geostatistics, it is easy to find datasets that…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-22 Rafael Cabral , David Bolin , Håvard Rue

Multi-fidelity (MF) methods are gaining popularity for enhancing surrogate modeling and design optimization by incorporating data from various low-fidelity (LF) models. While most existing MF methods assume a fixed dataset, adaptive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-06 Yi-Ping Chen , Liwei Wang , Yigitcan Comlek , Wei Chen

We propose a method (TT-GP) for approximate inference in Gaussian Process (GP) models. We build on previous scalable GP research including stochastic variational inference based on inducing inputs, kernel interpolation, and structure…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-01-18 Pavel Izmailov , Alexander Novikov , Dmitry Kropotov

Recently there has been an increasing interest in methods that deal with multiple outputs. This has been motivated partly by frameworks like multitask learning, multisensor networks or structured output data. From a Gaussian processes…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2009-11-30 Mauricio A. Álvarez , Neil D. Lawrence

Multi-output Gaussian process regression has become an important tool in uncertainty quantification, for building emulators of computationally expensive simulators, and other areas such as multi-task machine learning. We present a holistic…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-17 Daria Semochkina , Samuel E. Jackson , David C. Woods

Gaussian process (GP) regression is a powerful probabilistic modeling technique with built-in uncertainty quantification. When one has access to multiple correlated simulations (tasks), it is common to fit a multitask GP (MTGP) surrogate…

Computation · Statistics 2026-03-18 Aleksei G. Sorokin , Pieterjan Robbe , Fred J. Hickernell

Characterizing the relationship between neural population activity and behavioral data is a central goal of neuroscience. While latent variable models (LVMs) are successful in describing high-dimensional time-series data, they are typically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-12 Rabia Gondur , Usama Bin Sikandar , Evan Schaffer , Mikio Christian Aoi , Stephen L Keeley

The multi-output Gaussian process ($\mathcal{MGP}$) is based on the assumption that outputs share commonalities, however, if this assumption does not hold negative transfer will lead to decreased performance relative to learning outputs…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-04 Moyan Li , Raed Kontar

In many applications of finance, biology and sociology, complex systems involve entities interacting with each other. These processes have the peculiarity of evolving over time and of comprising latent factors, which influence the system…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-03 Federico Tomasi , Veronica Tozzo , Saverio Salzo , Alessandro Verri

Multi-output Gaussian Processes provide principled uncertainty-aware learning of vector-valued fields but are difficult to deploy in large-scale, distributed, and streaming settings due to their computational and centralized nature. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Yogesh Prasanna Kumar Rao , Tamas Keviczky , Raj Thilak Rajan

Multimodal learning aims to discover the relationship between multiple modalities. It has become an important research topic due to extensive multimodal applications such as cross-modal retrieval. This paper attempts to address the modality…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-15 Guoli Song , Shuhui Wang , Qingming Huang , Qi Tian

Modern engineering and scientific workflows often require simultaneous predictions across related tasks and fidelity levels, where high-fidelity data is scarce and expensive, while low-fidelity data is more abundant. This paper introduces…

Heteroscedastic regression considering the varying noises among observations has many applications in the fields like machine learning and statistics. Here we focus on the heteroscedastic Gaussian process (HGP) regression which integrates…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-22 Haitao Liu , Yew-Soon Ong , Jianfei Cai