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Many open problems in machine learning are intrinsically related to causality, however, the use of causal analysis in machine learning is still in its early stage. Within a general reinforcement learning setting, we consider the problem of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-18 Tue Herlau , Rasmus Larsen

Sequential experimental design to discover interventions that achieve a desired outcome is a key problem in various domains including science, engineering and public policy. When the space of possible interventions is large, making an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-17 Jiaqi Zhang , Louis Cammarata , Chandler Squires , Themistoklis P. Sapsis , Caroline Uhler

Data availability has dramatically increased in recent years, driving model-based control methods to exploit learning techniques for improving the system description, and thus control performance. Two key factors that hinder the practical…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-22 Elena Arcari , Andrea Carron , Melanie N. Zeilinger

Self-supervised learning has become an increasingly important paradigm in the domain of machine intelligence. Furthermore, evidence for self-supervised adaptation, such as contrastive formulations, has emerged in recent computational…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2025-03-31 Alexander Ororbia , Karl Friston , Rajesh P. N. Rao

Many problems in causal inference and economics can be formulated in the framework of conditional moment models, which characterize the target function through a collection of conditional moment restrictions. For nonparametric conditional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-29 Ziyu Wang , Yucen Luo , Yueru Li , Jun Zhu , Bernhard Schölkopf

Standard selective prediction methods typically estimate uncertainty from the output of a single predictive branch. While effective for general uncertainty estimation, these approaches often struggle under partial observability, where local…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Kartik Jhawar , Yuhao Geng , Atul N. Parikh , Lipo Wang

We present a control method for improved repetitive path following for a ground vehicle that is geared towards long-term operation where the operating conditions can change over time and are initially unknown. We use weighted Bayesian…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-04-10 Christopher D. McKinnon , Angela P. Schoellig

Trajectory prediction models in autonomous driving are vulnerable to perturbations from non-causal agents whose actions should not affect the ego-agent's behavior. Such perturbations can lead to incorrect predictions of other agents'…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Ehsan Ahmadi , Ray Mercurius , Soheil Alizadeh , Kasra Rezaee , Amir Rasouli

We introduce Causal Computational Asymmetry (CCA), a principle for causal direction identification based on optimization dynamics in which one neural network is trained to predict $Y$ from $X$ and another to predict $X$ from $Y$, and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Abdulrahman Tamim

We study the problem of causal structure learning when the experimenter is limited to perform at most $k$ non-adaptive experiments of size $1$. We formulate the problem of finding the best intervention target set as an optimization problem,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-03 AmirEmad Ghassami , Saber Salehkaleybar , Negar Kiyavash , Elias Bareinboim

We focus on causal discovery in the presence of measurement error in linear systems where the mixing matrix, i.e., the matrix indicating the independent exogenous noise terms pertaining to the observed variables, is identified up to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-09 Yuqin Yang , AmirEmad Ghassami , Mohamed Nafea , Negar Kiyavash , Kun Zhang , Ilya Shpitser

Perfect adaptation in a dynamical system is the phenomenon that one or more variables have an initial transient response to a persistent change in an external stimulus but revert to their original value as the system converges to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-02-27 Tineke Blom , Joris M. Mooij

With observational data alone, causal structure learning is a challenging problem. The task becomes easier when having access to data collected from perturbations of the underlying system, even when the nature of these is unknown. Existing…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-10 Armeen Taeb , Juan L. Gamella , Christina Heinze-Deml , Peter Bühlmann

Consider the problem of learning, from non-experimental data, the causal (Markov equivalence) structure of the true, unknown causal Bayesian network (CBN) on a given, fixed set of (categorical) variables. This learning problem is known to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-26 Hanti Lin , Jiji Zhang

Neural causal discovery methods have recently improved in terms of scalability and computational efficiency. However, our systematic evaluation highlights significant room for improvement in their accuracy when uncovering causal structures.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-25 Mateusz Olko , Mateusz Gajewski , Joanna Wojciechowska , Mikołaj Morzy , Piotr Sankowski , Piotr Miłoś

Prediction sets based on full conformal prediction have seen an increasing interest in statistical learning due to their universal marginal coverage guarantees. However, practitioners have refrained from using it in applications for two…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-08 Nicolai Amann

The brain is believed to operate in part by making predictions about sensory stimuli and encoding deviations from these predictions in the activity of "prediction error neurons." This principle defines the widely influential theory of…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2022-02-21 Vicky Zhu , Robert Rosenbaum

Predictive coding networks are neural models that perform inference through an iterative energy minimization process, whose operations are local in space and time. While effective in shallow architectures, they suffer significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-13 Chang Qi , Matteo Forasassi , Thomas Lukasiewicz , Tommaso Salvatori

Modern causal discovery methods face critical limitations in scalability, computational efficiency, and adaptability to mixed data types, as evidenced by benchmarks on node scalability (30, $\le 50$, $\ge 70$ nodes), computational energy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Amartya Roy , Devharish N , Shreya Ganguly , Kripabandhu Ghosh

It has been reported that deep learning models are extremely vulnerable to small but intentionally chosen perturbations of its input. In particular, a deep network, despite its near-optimal accuracy on the clean images, often mis-classifies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-16 A. Tuan Nguyen , Ser Nam Lim , Philip Torr
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