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Distribution shifts between sites can seriously degrade model performance since models are prone to exploiting unstable correlations. Thus, many methods try to find features that are stable across sites and discard unstable features.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-11 Minh Nguyen , Alan Q. Wang , Heejong Kim , Mert R. Sabuncu

Conformal prediction (CP) for regression can be challenging, especially when the output distribution is heteroscedastic, multimodal, or skewed. Some of the issues can be addressed by estimating a distribution over the output, but in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-15 Etash Guha , Shlok Natarajan , Thomas Möllenhoff , Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan , Eugene Ndiaye

Traffic prediction is a critical task in spatial-temporal forecasting with broad applications in travel planning and urban management. To model the complex spatial-temporal dependencies in traffic data, Spatial-Temporal Graph Convolutional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-01 Kaiqi Wu , Weiyang Kong , Sen Zhang , Zitong Chen , Yubao Liu

Conformal Prediction (CP) is a popular framework for constructing prediction bands with valid coverage in finite samples, while being free of any distributional assumption. A well-known limitation of conformal prediction is the lack of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-28 Louis Allain , Sébastien da Veiga , Brian Staber

Graph contrastive learning (GCL), as an emerging self-supervised learning technique on graphs, aims to learn representations via instance discrimination. Its performance heavily relies on graph augmentation to reflect invariant patterns…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-22 Lu Lin , Jinghui Chen , Hongning Wang

Time-varying graph signals are alternative representation of multivariate (or multichannel) signals in which a single time-series is associated with each of the nodes or vertex of a graph. Aided by the graph-theoretic tools, time-varying…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-10 Naveed ur Rehman

An important problem in network analysis is predicting a node attribute using both network covariates, such as graph embedding coordinates or local subgraph counts, and conventional node covariates, such as demographic characteristics.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-24 Robert Lunde , Elizaveta Levina , Ji Zhu

Graph similarity computation (GSC) is to calculate the similarity between one pair of graphs, which is a fundamental problem with fruitful applications in the graph community. In GSC, graph edit distance (GED) and maximum common subgraph…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-16 Haoran Zheng , Jieming Shi , Renchi Yang

As a crucial technique for developing a smart city, traffic forecasting has become a popular research focus in academic and industrial communities for decades. This task is highly challenging due to complex and dynamic spatial-temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-29 Jiajia Wu , Ling Chen

Sparse exchangeable graphs on $\mathbb{R}_+$, and the associated graphex framework for sparse graphs, generalize exchangeable graphs on $\mathbb{N}$, and the associated graphon framework for dense graphs. We develop the graphex framework as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-04 Victor Veitch , Daniel M. Roy

Multivariate time series is prevalent in many scientific and industrial domains. Modeling multivariate signals is challenging due to their long-range temporal dependencies and intricate interactions--both direct and indirect. To confront…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-01 Juhyeon Kim , Hyungeun Lee , Seungwon Yu , Ung Hwang , Wooyul Jung , Miseon Park , Kijung Yoon

Subgraph pattern detection aims to uncover complex interaction structures in graphs. However, state-of-the-art graph neural network (GNN)-based solutions assume centralized access to the entire graph. When graphs are instead distributed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Selin Ceydeli , Rui Wang , Kubilay Atasu

Spectral clustering (SC) and graph-based semi-supervised learning (SSL) algorithms are sensitive to how graphs are constructed from data. In particular if the data has proximal and unbalanced clusters these algorithms can lead to poor…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-02-22 Jing Qian , Venkatesh Saligrama

Conformal prediction constructs a confidence set for an unobserved response of a feature vector based on previous identically distributed and exchangeable observations of responses and features. It has a coverage guarantee at any nominal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-08 Eugene Ndiaye , Ichiro Takeuchi

High-dimensional multivariate time series are common in many scientific and industrial applications, where the interest lies in identifying key dependence structure within the data for subsequent analysis tasks, such as forecasting. An…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-15 Madeline A. Shelley , Chiara Boetti , Marina I. Knight , Matthew A. Nunes

We discuss a concept denoted as Conformal Prediction (CP) in this paper. While initially stemming from the world of machine learning, it was never applied or analyzed in the context of short-term electricity price forecasting. Therefore, we…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-11-17 Christopher Kath , Florian Ziel

Traditional Statistical Process Control (SPC) is essential for quality management but is limited by its reliance on often violated statistical assumptions, leading to unreliable monitoring in modern, complex manufacturing environments. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Christopher Burger

Dynamic graph modeling has recently attracted much attention due to its extensive applications in many real-world scenarios, such as recommendation systems, financial transactions, and social networks. Although many works have been proposed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-18 Lu Wang , Xiaofu Chang , Shuang Li , Yunfei Chu , Hui Li , Wei Zhang , Xiaofeng He , Le Song , Jingren Zhou , Hongxia Yang

While counterfactual fairness of point predictors is well studied, its extension to prediction sets--central to fair decision-making under uncertainty--remains underexplored. On the other hand, conformal prediction (CP) provides efficient,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Ozgur Guldogan , Neeraj Sarna , Yuanyuan Li , Michael Berger

Recent advances in integrating positional and structural encodings (PSEs) into graph neural networks (GNNs) have significantly enhanced their performance across various graph learning tasks. However, the general applicability of these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Billy Joe Franks , Moshe Eliasof , Semih Cantürk , Guy Wolf , Carola-Bibiane Schönlieb , Sophie Fellenz , Marius Kloft