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Complex engineering systems require integration of simulation of sub-systems and calculation of metrics to drive design decisions. This paper introduces a methodology for designing computational or physical experiments for system-level…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Efe Y. Yarbasi , Dimitri N. Mavris

Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs) have emerged as a powerful framework for solving PDEs, yet existing uncertainty quantification (UQ) approaches for PINNs generally lack rigorous statistical guarantees. In this work, we bridge this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-18 Yifan Yu , Cheuk Hin Ho , Yangshuai Wang

Virtual excitations, inherent to ultrastrongly coupled light-matter systems, induce measurable modifications in system properties, offering a novel resource for quantum technologies. In this work, we demonstrate how these virtual…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-09-12 Christoph Hotter , Adam Miranowicz , Karol Gietka

The importance of uncertainty quantification is increasingly recognized in the diverse field of machine learning. Accurately assessing model prediction uncertainty can help provide deeper understanding and confidence for researchers and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Tianyi Chen , Yingzhou Lu , Nan Hao , Yuanyuan Zhang , Capucine Van Rechem , Jintai Chen , Tianfan Fu

The estimation of uncertainties associated with predictions from quantitative structure-activity relationship (QSAR) models can accelerate the drug discovery process by identifying promising experiments and allowing an efficient allocation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-07 Hannah Rosa Friesacher , Emma Svensson , Susanne Winiwarter , Lewis Mervin , Adam Arany , Ola Engkvist

This study proposes a novel approach to quantifying uncertainties of constitutive relations inferred from noisy experimental data using inverse modelling. We focus on electrochemical systems in which charged species (e.g., Lithium ions) are…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2020-03-12 Athinthra Sethurajan , Sergey Krachkovskiy , Gillian Goward , Bartosz Protas

In this paper we address the problem of uncertainty management for robust design, and verification of large dynamic networks whose performance is affected by an equally large number of uncertain parameters. Many such networks (e.g. power,…

Computation · Statistics 2011-10-12 Amit Surana , Tuhin Sahai , Andrzej Banaszuk

Variational quantum algorithms (VQA) have emerged as a promising quantum alternative for solving optimization and machine learning problems using parameterized quantum circuits (PQCs). The design of these circuits influences the ability of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-04-18 Alexander Benítez-Buenache , Queralt Portell-Montserrat

Uncertainty Quantification aims to determine when the prediction from a Machine Learning model is likely to be wrong. Computer Vision research has explored methods for determining epistemic uncertainty (also known as model uncertainty),…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-15 Prithviraj Manivannan , Ivo Pascal de Jong , Matias Valdenegro-Toro , Andreea Ioana Sburlea

The requirement to generate robust robotic platforms is a critical enabling step to allow such platforms to permeate safety-critical applications (i.e., the localization of autonomous platforms in urban environments). One of the primary…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-08-14 Ryan M. Watson , Jason N. Gross , Clark N. Taylor , Robert C. Leishman

Machine learning methods for the construction of data-driven reduced order model models are used in an increasing variety of engineering domains, especially as a supplement to expensive computational fluid dynamics for design problems. An…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-28 Stephen Guth , Alireza Mojahed , Themistoklis P. Sapsis

This paper proposes an adaptive sparse polynomial chaos expansion(PCE)-based method to quantify the impacts of uncertainties on critical clearing time (CCT) that is an important index in transient stability analysis. The proposed method can…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-10 Jingyu Liu , Xiaoting Wang , Xiaozhe Wang

This paper proposes a paradigm of uncertainty injection for training deep learning model to solve robust optimization problems. The majority of existing studies on deep learning focus on the model learning capability, while assuming the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-28 Wei Cui , Wei Yu

This work presents a methodology to estimate tire parameters and their uncertainty using a Bayesian optimization approach. The literature mainly considers the estimation of tire parameters but lacks an evaluation of the parameter…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-04-30 Sven Goblirsch , Benedikt Ruhland , Johannes Betz , Markus Lienkamp

Computationally-guided material discovery is being increasingly employed using a descriptor-based screening through the calculation of a few properties of interest. A precise understanding of the uncertainty associated with first principles…

Materials Science · Physics 2016-08-22 Zeeshan Ahmad , Venkatasubramanian Viswanathan

The noisy matrix completion problem, which aims to recover a low-rank matrix $\mathbf{X}$ from a partial, noisy observation of its entries, arises in many statistical, machine learning, and engineering applications. In this paper, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-15 Simon Mak , Henry Shaowu Yushi , Yao Xie

In the presence of modeling errors, the mainstream Bayesian methods seldom give a realistic account of uncertainties as they commonly underestimate the inherent variability of parameters. This problem is not due to any misconception in the…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-19 Omid Sedehi , Costas Papadimitriou , Lambros S. Katafygiotis

One of the open problems in the field of forward uncertainty quantification (UQ) is the ability to form accurate assessments of uncertainty having only incomplete information about the distribution of random inputs. Another challenge is to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-25 Ling Guo , Akil Narayan , Yongle Liu , Tao Zhou

Accurate predictions and uncertainty quantification (UQ) are essential for decision-making in risk-sensitive fields such as system safety modeling. Deep ensembles (DEs) are efficient and scalable methods for UQ in Deep Neural Networks…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-13 Zaid Abulawi , Rui Hu , Prasanna Balaprakash , Yang Liu

Variational Quantum Eigensolver (VQE) is a hybrid algorithm for finding the minimum eigenvalue/vector of a given Hamiltonian by optimizing a parametrized quantum circuit (PQC) using a classical computer. Sequential optimization methods,…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-05-17 Katsuhiro Endo , Yuki Sato , Rudy Raymond , Kaito Wada , Naoki Yamamoto , Hiroshi C. Watanabe
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