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Calibrated probability outputs of trained classifiers are increasingly used as inputs to downstream regression estimands such as effects, prevalences, or disparities for a latent group observed only on a small labelled subset. A standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-14 Marcell T. Kurbucz

We introduce a novel characterization of phase transitions based on hypothesis testing. In our formulation, a phase transition is defined as the breakdown of statistical indistinguishability under vanishing parameter perturbations in the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-04-20 Taiyo Narita , Hideyuki Miyahara

We consider a non-proportional hazards model where the regression coefficient is not constant but piecewise constant. Following Andersen and Gill (1982), we know that a knowledge of the changepoint leads to a relatively straightforward…

Applications · Statistics 2016-10-11 Roxane Duroux , John O'Quigley

Researchers increasingly use meta-analysis to synthesize the results of several studies in order to estimate a common effect. When the outcome variable is continuous, standard meta-analytic approaches assume that the primary studies report…

Bayesian change-point detection, together with latent variable models, allows to perform segmentation over high-dimensional time-series. We assume that change-points lie on a lower-dimensional manifold where we aim to infer subsets of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-04 Lorena Romero-Medrano , Pablo Moreno-Muñoz , Antonio Artés-Rodríguez

We consider the change point testing problem for high-dimensional time series. Unlike conventional approaches, where one tests whether the difference $\delta$ of the mean vectors before and after the change point is equal to zero, we argue…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-01 Pascal Quanz , Holger Dette

For clinical studies with continuous outcomes, when the data are potentially skewed, researchers may choose to report the whole or part of the five-number summary (the sample median, the first and third quartiles, and the minimum and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-09 Jiandong Shi , Dehui Luo , Xiang Wan , Yue Liu , Jiming Liu , Zhaoxiang Bian , Tiejun Tong

We provide a finite sample inference method for the structural parameters of a semiparametric binary response model under a conditional median restriction originally studied by Manski (1975, 1985). Our inference method is valid for any…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-05-12 Adam M. Rosen , Takuya Ura

In this article, we developed and analyzed a thresholding method in which soft thresholding estimators are independently expanded by empirical scaling values. The scaling values have a common hyper-parameter that is an order of expansion of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-14 Katsuyuki Hagiwara

We present novel bounds for estimating discrete probability distributions under the $\ell_\infty$ norm. These are nearly optimal in various precise senses, including a kind of instance-optimality. Our data-dependent convergence guarantees…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-14 Aryeh Kontorovich , Amichai Painsky

Sensitivity analysis is important to assess the impact of unmeasured confounding in causal inference from observational studies. The marginal sensitivity model (MSM) provides a useful approach in quantifying the influence of unmeasured…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-14 Yi Zhang , Wenfu Xu , Zhiqiang Tan

This work is motivated by learning the individualized minimal clinically important difference, a vital concept to assess clinical importance in various biomedical studies. We formulate the scientific question into a high-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-28 Huijie Feng , Jingyi Duan , Yang Ning , Jiwei Zhao

Identifying dependency in multivariate data is a common inference task that arises in numerous applications. However, existing nonparametric independence tests typically require computation that scales at least quadratically with the sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-08 Shai Gorsky , Li Ma

Infectious or contagious diseases can be transmitted from one person to another through social contact networks. In today's interconnected global society, such contagion processes can cause global public health hazards, as exemplified by…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-07-30 Anirban Dasgupta , Srijan Sengupta

In the measurement-constrained problems, despite the availability of large datasets, we may be only affordable to observe the labels on a small portion of the large dataset. This poses a critical question that which data points are most…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-22 Jingyi Duan , Yang Ning

In prior work we have introduced an asymptotic threshold of sufficient randomness for causal inference from observational data. In this paper we extend that prior work in three main ways. First, we show how to empirically estimate a lower…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-07 Brian Knaeble , Braxton Osting , Placede Tshiaba

We introduce a new information-theoretic formulation of quantum measurement uncertainty relations, based on the notion of relative entropy between measurement probabilities. In the case of a finite-dimensional system and for any approximate…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2018-03-02 Alberto Barchielli , Matteo Gregoratti , Alessandro Toigo

This paper considers the design of a minimax test for two hypotheses where the actual probability densities of the observations are located in neighborhoods obtained by placing a bound on the relative entropy between actual and nominal…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-18 Bernard C. Levy

This paper investigates a change-point estimation problem in the context of high-dimensional Markov Random Field models. Change-points represent a key feature in many dynamically evolving network structures. The change-point estimate is…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-13 Sandipan Roy , Yves Atchade , George Michailidis

The support vector machine (SVM) is one of the most successful learning methods for solving classification problems. Despite its popularity, SVM has a serious drawback, that is sensitivity to outliers in training samples. The penalty on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-09-04 Takafumi Kanamori , Shuhei Fujiwara , Akiko Takeda
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