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The traditional model specification of stepped-wedge cluster-randomized trials assumes a homogeneous treatment effect across time while adjusting for fixed-time effects. However, when treatment effects vary over time, the constant effect…

Clustering is a fundamental unsupervised learning task with applications across a wide range of domains. Popular algorithms such as $k$-means are efficient and widely used, but can be sensitive to outliers, ambiguous boundary points, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Aggelos Semoglou , Aristidis Likas , John Pavlopoulos

Exposure measurement error is a ubiquitous but often overlooked challenge in causal inference with observational data. Existing methods accounting for exposure measurement error largely rely on restrictive parametric assumptions, while…

While the traditional viewpoint in machine learning and statistics assumes training and testing samples come from the same population, practice belies this fiction. One strategy -- coming from robust statistics and optimization -- is thus…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-08 Maxime Cauchois , Suyash Gupta , Alnur Ali , John C. Duchi

We study confidence interval construction for linear regression under Huber's contamination model, where an unknown fraction of noise variables is arbitrarily corrupted. While robust point estimation in this setting is well understood,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-03 Dong Xie , Chao Gao , John Lafferty

Estimation of a treatment effect by a regression discontinuity design faces a severe challenge when the running variable contains measurement errors since the errors smoothen the discontinuity on which the identification depends. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-24 Kota Mori

This paper studies a two-stage model of experimentation, where the researcher first samples representative units from an eligible pool, then assigns each sampled unit to treatment or control. To implement balanced sampling and assignment,…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-08-22 Max Cytrynbaum

We derive and analyze a generic, recursive algorithm for estimating all splits in a finite cluster tree as well as the corresponding clusters. We further investigate statistical properties of this generic clustering algorithm when it…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-02 Ingo Steinwart , Bharath K. Sriperumbudur , Philipp Thomann

Researchers often turn to block randomization to increase the precision of their inference or due to practical considerations, such as in multisite trials. However, if the number of treatments under consideration is large it might not be…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-26 Taehyeon Koo , Nicole E. Pashley

In settings with few treated units, Difference-in-Differences (DID) estimators are not consistent, and are not generally asymptotically normal. This poses relevant challenges for inference. While there are inference methods that are valid…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-02-08 Luis Alvarez , Bruno Ferman

Fay-Herriot (FH) models with variance smoothing typically use chi-squared sampling distributions for the design variance estimators. This choice is only valid under strong assumptions on the population and the sampling design, and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-28 Alana McGovern , Geir-Arne Fuglstad , Jon Wakefield

In clinical trials studying paired parts of a subject with binary outcomes, it is expected to collect measurements bilaterally. However, there are cases where subjects contribute measurements for only one part. By utilizing combined data,…

Applications · Statistics 2024-03-06 Shuyi Liang , Kai-Tai Fang , Xin-Wei Huang , Yijing Xin , Chang-Xing Ma

Deep neural networks are behind many of the recent successes in machine learning applications. However, these models can produce overconfident decisions while encountering out-of-distribution (OOD) examples or making a wrong prediction.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-24 Navid Kardan , Ankit Sharma , Kenneth O. Stanley

Difference-in-differences (DID) is one of the most popular tools used to evaluate causal effects of policy interventions. This paper extends the DID methodology to accommodate interval outcomes, which are often encountered in empirical…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-10 Daisuke Kurisu , Yuta Okamoto , Taisuke Otsu

Important information concerning a multivariate data set, such as clusters and modal regions, is contained in the derivatives of the probability density function. Despite this importance, nonparametric estimation of higher order derivatives…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-04 José E. Chacón , Tarn Duong

In empirical work it is common to estimate parameters of models and report associated standard errors that account for "clustering" of units, where clusters are defined by factors such as geography. Clustering adjustments are typically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-21 Alberto Abadie , Susan Athey , Guido Imbens , Jeffrey Wooldridge

Staggered rollout cluster randomized experiments (SR-CREs) involve sequential treatment adoption across clusters, requiring analysis methods that address a general class of dynamic causal effects, anticipation, and non-ignorable…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-02 Xinyuan Chen , Fan Li

Large scale image classification datasets often contain noisy labels. We take a principled probabilistic approach to modelling input-dependent, also known as heteroscedastic, label noise in these datasets. We place a multivariate Normal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-24 Mark Collier , Basil Mustafa , Efi Kokiopoulou , Rodolphe Jenatton , Jesse Berent

Diffusion-based image generation models can enhance image quality when conditioned on ground truth labels. Here, we conduct a comprehensive experimental study on image-level conditioning for diffusion models using cluster assignments. We…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-11-20 Nikolas Adaloglou , Tim Kaiser , Felix Michels , Markus Kollmann

When observations are independent, formulae and software are readily available to plan and design studies of appropriate size and power to detect important associations. When observations are correlated or clustered, results obtained from…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-15 David M. Thompson
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