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It is conventionally believed that a permutation test should ideally use all permutations. If this is computationally unaffordable, it is believed one should use the largest affordable Monte Carlo sample or (algebraic) subgroup of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-27 Nick W. Koning

Permutation-based partial-correlation tests guarantee finite-sample Type I error control under any fixed design and exchangeable noise, yet their power can collapse when the permutation-augmented design aligns too closely with the covariate…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-04 Tianyi Wang , Guanghui Wang , Zhaojun Wang , Changliang Zou

When permutation methods are used in practice, often a limited number of random permutations are used to decrease the computational burden. However, most theoretical literature assumes that the whole permutation group is used, and methods…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-20 Jesse Hemerik , Jelle Goeman

Permutation tests are amongst the most commonly used statistical tools in modern genomic research, a process by which p-values are attached to a test statistic by randomly permuting the sample or gene labels. Yet permutation p-values…

Applications · Statistics 2016-03-21 Belinda Phipson , Gordon K. Smyth

We describe Monte Carlo methods for estimating lower envelopes of expectations of real random variables. We prove that the estimation bias is negative and that its absolute value shrinks with increasing sample size. We discuss fairly…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-02 Arne Decadt , Gert de Cooman , Jasper De Bock

We study a structured permutation scheme for two-sample testing that restricts permutations to single cross-swaps between block-selected representatives. Our analysis yields three main results. First, we provide an exact validity…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-02 Jungwoo Ho

In a Monte-Carlo test, the observed dataset is fixed, and several resampled or permuted versions of the dataset are generated in order to test a null hypothesis that the original dataset is exchangeable with the resampled/permuted ones.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-05 Lasse Fischer , Aaditya Ramdas

The objective of Bayesian inference is often to infer, from data, a probability measure for a random variable that can be used as input for Monte Carlo simulation. When datasets for Bayesian inference are small, a principle challenge is…

Computation · Statistics 2018-03-29 Jiaxin Zhang , Michael D. Shields

Permutation tests are a distribution free way of performing hypothesis tests. These tests rely on the condition that the observed data are exchangeable among the groups being tested under the null hypothesis. This assumption is easily…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-14 Daniell Toth

Post-selection inference has recently been proposed as a way of quantifying uncertainty about detected changepoints. The idea is to run a changepoint detection algorithm, and then re-use the same data to perform a test for a change near…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-11 Rachel Carrington , Paul Fearnhead

Permutation tests are widely used in statistics, providing a finite-sample guarantee on the type I error rate whenever the distribution of the samples under the null hypothesis is invariant to some rearrangement. Despite its increasing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-26 Ilmun Kim , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Larry Wasserman

Power analyses are an important aspect of experimental design, because they help determine how experiments are implemented in practice. It is common to specify a desired level of power and compute the sample size necessary to obtain that…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-09 Zach Branson , Xinran Li , Peng Ding

Population Monte Carlo (PMC) sampling methods are powerful tools for approximating distributions of static unknowns given a set of observations. These methods are iterative in nature: at each step they generate samples from a proposal…

Computation · Statistics 2022-01-17 Víctor Elvira , Luca Martino , David Luengo , Mónica F. Bugallo

Bonferroni's correction is a popular tool to address multiplicity but is notorious for its low power when tests are dependent. This paper proposes a practical modification of Bonferroni's correction when test statistics are jointly normal…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-24 Caleb Hiltunen , Yeonwoo Rho

Conventional Monte Carlo simulations are stochastic in the sense that the acceptance of a trial move is decided by comparing a computed acceptance probability with a random number, uniformly distributed between 0 and 1. Here we consider the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-05-24 Daan Frenkel , K. Julian Schrenk , Stefano Martiniani

As increasingly complex hypothesis-testing scenarios are considered in many scientific fields, analytic derivation of null distributions is often out of reach. To the rescue comes Monte Carlo testing, which may appear deceptively simple: as…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-13 Egil Ferkingstad , Lars Holden , Geir Kjetil Sandve

This paper investigates the effect of permutations on blocks of a prime reciprocal sequence on its randomness. A relationship between the number of permutations used and the improvement of performance is presented. This can be used as a…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2012-02-02 Sindhu Chitikela , Subhash Kak

Non-parametric tests based on permutation, rotation or sign-flipping are examples of group-invariance tests. These tests test invariance of the null distribution under a set of transformations that has a group structure, in the algebraic…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-23 Nick W. Koning , Jesse Hemerik

Phylogenetic comparative methods may fail to produce meaningful results when either the underlying model is inappropriate or the data contain insufficient information to inform the inference. The ability to measure the statistical power of…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2012-07-26 Carl Boettiger , Graham Coop , Peter Ralph

The combination of continuum Many-Body Quantum physics and Monte Carlo methods provide a powerful and well established approach to first principles calculations for large systems. Replacing the exact solution of the problem with a…

Computational Physics · Physics 2009-10-01 J. R. Trail
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