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Chaos arises in many complex dynamical systems, from weather to power grids, but is difficult to accurately model using data-driven emulators, including neural operator architectures. For chaotic systems, the inherent sensitivity to initial…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-24 Gabriel Melo , Leonardo Santiago , Peter Y. Lu

This work addresses the finite-horizon robust covariance control problem for discrete-time, partially observable, linear system affected by random zero mean noise and deterministic but unknown disturbances restricted to lie in what is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-02 Georgios Kotsalis , Guanghui Lan , Arkadi Nemirovski

We study multistage distributionally robust linear optimization, where the uncertainty set is defined as a ball of distribution centered at a scenario tree using the nested distance. The resulting minimax problem is notoriously difficult to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-07-24 Rui Gao , Rohit Arora , Yizhe Huang

This paper studies adaptive distributionally robust dispatch (DRD) of the multi-energy microgrid under supply and demand uncertainties. A Wasserstein ambiguity set is constructed to support data-driven decision-making. By fully leveraging…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-15 Xunhang Sun , Xiaoyu Cao , Bo Zeng , Miaomiao Li , Xiaohong Guan , Tamer Başar

We study stochastic optimization problems with chance and risk constraints, where in the latter, risk is quantified in terms of the conditional value-at-risk (CVaR). We consider the distributionally robust versions of these problems, where…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-17 Ashish Cherukuri , Ashish R. Hota

In this paper, we study a bivariate distributionally robust optimization problem with mean-covariance ambiguity set and half-space support. Under a conventional type of objective function widely adopted in inventory management, option…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-01-12 Jiayi Guo , Hao Qiu , Zhen Wang , Zizhuo Wang , Xinxin Zhang

This paper addresses a novel \emph{cost-sensitive} distributionally robust log-optimal portfolio problem, where the investor faces \emph{ambiguous} return distributions, and a general convex transaction cost model is incorporated. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-11-01 Chung-Han Hsieh , Xiao-Rou Yu

We consider a data-driven robust hypothesis test where the optimal test will minimize the worst-case performance regarding distributions that are close to the empirical distributions with respect to the Wasserstein distance. This leads to a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-01 Liyan Xie , Rui Gao , Yao Xie

We introduce a framework for quantifying propagation of uncertainty arising in a dynamic setting. Specifically, we define dynamic uncertainty sets designed explicitly for discrete stochastic processes over a finite time horizon. These…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-05 Marlon Moresco , Mélina Mailhot , Silvana M. Pesenti

We derive nearly tight and non-asymptotic convergence bounds for solutions of entropic semi-discrete optimal transport. These bounds quantify the stability of the dual solutions of the regularized problem (sometimes called Sinkhorn…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-05-05 Alex Delalande

Noisy data are often viewed as a challenge for decision-making. This paper studies a distributionally robust optimization (DRO) that shows how such noise can be systematically incorporated. Rather than applying DRO to the noisy empirical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-03 Chung-Han Hsieh , Rong Gan

Performance degradation due to target deviation by, for example, drift or jitter, presents a significant issue to inter-satellite laser communications. In particular, with periodic acquisition for positioning the satellite receiver,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-06-26 Zhanwei Yu , Yi Zhao , Di Yuan

This paper studies Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO), a fundamental framework for enhancing the robustness and generalization of statistical learning and optimization. An effective ambiguity set for DRO must involve distributions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Jiaqi Wen , Jianyi Yang

The increasing share of renewables in the electricity generation mix comes along with an increasing uncertainty in power supply. In the recent years, distributionally robust optimization has gained significant interest due to its ability to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-11 Adriano Arrigo , Jalal Kazempour , Zacharie De Grève , Jean-François Toubeau , François Vallée

We consider the decentralized control of radial distribution systems with controllable photovoltaic inverters and energy storage resources. For such systems, we investigate the problem of designing fully decentralized controllers that…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-05-03 Weixuan Lin , Eilyan Bitar

Construction of ambiguity set in robust optimization relies on the choice of divergences between probability distributions. In distribution learning, choosing appropriate probability distributions based on observed data is critical for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-24 Xin Guo , Johnny Hong , Nan Yang

We consider stochastic programs where the distribution of the uncertain parameters is only observable through a finite training dataset. Using the Wasserstein metric, we construct a ball in the space of (multivariate and non-discrete)…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-06-14 Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani , Daniel Kuhn

We consider the problem of look-ahead economic dispatch (LAED) with uncertain renewable energy generation. The goal of this problem is to minimize the cost of conventional energy generation subject to uncertain operational constraints. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-04-22 Bala Kameshwar Poolla , Ashish R. Hota , Saverio Bolognani , Duncan S. Callaway , Ashish Cherukuri

This paper presents a distributionally robust stochastic model predictive control (SMPC) approach for linear discrete-time systems subject to unbounded and correlated additive disturbances. We consider hard input constraints and state…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-21 Christoph Mark , Steven Liu

This paper studies robust time-inconsistent (TIC) linear-quadratic stochastic control problems, formulated by stochastic differential games. By a spike variation approach, we derive sufficient conditions for achieving the Nash equilibrium,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-29 Bingyan Han , Chi Seng Pun , Hoi Ying Wong
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