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We introduce a novel procedure that, given sparse data generated from a stationary deterministic nonlinear dynamical system, can characterize specific local and/or global dynamic behavior with rigorous probability guarantees. More…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-09-19 Bogdan Batko , Marcio Gameiro , Ying Hung , William Kalies , Konstantin Mischaikow , Ewerton Vieira

The additive partially linear model (APLM) combines the flexibility of nonparametric regression with the parsimony of regression models, and has been widely used as a popular tool in multivariate nonparametric regression to alleviate the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-19 Xinyi Li , Li Wang , Dan Nettleton

We consider the situation where a temporal process is composed of contiguous segments with differing slopes and replicated noise-corrupted time series measurements are observed. The unknown mean of the data generating process is modelled as…

Causal models seek to unravel the cause-effect relationships among variables from observed data, as opposed to mere mappings among them, as traditional regression models do. This paper introduces a novel causal discovery algorithm designed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-03 Saeed Mohseni-Sehdeh , Walid Saad

The time-evolving precision matrix of a piecewise-constant Gaussian graphical model encodes the dynamic conditional dependency structure of a multivariate time-series. Traditionally, graphical models are estimated under the assumption that…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-01 Alexander J. Gibberd , James D. B. Nelson

We consider the problem of uncertainty quantification in change point regressions, where the signal can be piecewise polynomial of arbitrary but fixed degree. That is we seek disjoint intervals which, uniformly at a given confidence level,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-12 Shakeel Gavioli-Akilagun , Piotr Fryzlewicz

Accuracy and generalization capabilities are key objectives when learning dynamical system models. To obtain such models from limited data, current works exploit prior knowledge and assumptions about the system. However, the fusion of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-22 Björn Volkmann , Jan-Hendrik Ewering , Michael Meindl , Simon F. G. Ehlers , Thomas Seel

A fundamental problem in collaborative sensing lies in providing an accurate prediction of critical events (e.g., hazardous environmental condition, urban abnormalities, economic trends). However, due to the resource constraints,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-09-11 Daniel Zhang , Yang Zhang , Dong Wang

When employing non-linear methods to characterise complex systems, it is important to determine to what extent they are capturing genuine non-linear phenomena that could not be assessed by simpler spectral methods. Specifically, we are…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-22 Pedro A. M. Mediano , Fernando E. Rosas , Adam B. Barrett , Daniel Bor

Structured prediction requires searching over a combinatorial number of structures. To tackle it, we introduce SparseMAP: a new method for sparse structured inference, and its natural loss function. SparseMAP automatically selects only a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-21 Vlad Niculae , André F. T. Martins , Mathieu Blondel , Claire Cardie

This work proposes a machine-learning framework for constructing statistical models of errors incurred by approximate solutions to parameterized systems of nonlinear equations. These approximate solutions may arise from early termination of…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2019-02-18 Brian A. Freno , Kevin T. Carlberg

In this document, some general results in approximation theory and matrix analysis with applications to sparse identification of time series models and nonlinear discrete-time dynamical systems are presented. The aforementioned theoretical…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-08-04 Fredy Vides

This paper proposes an algorithm capable of driving a system to follow a piecewise linear trajectory without prior knowledge of the system dynamics. Motivated by a critical failure scenario in which a system can experience an abrupt change…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-10-06 Taha Shafa , Yiming Meng , Melkior Ornik

Sparse recovery is widely applied in many fields, since many signals or vectors can be sparsely represented under some frames or dictionaries. Most of fast algorithms at present are based on solving $l^0$ or $l^1$ minimization problems and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-03-06 Chong-Jun Li , Yi-Jun Zhong

The detection of periodic signals in irregularly-sampled time series is a problem commonly encountered in astronomy. Traditional tools used for periodic searches, such as the periodogram, have poorly defined statistical properties under…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-01-13 A. Gúrpide , M. Middleton

The focus in this paper is Bayesian system identification based on noisy incomplete modal data where we can impose spatially-sparse stiffness changes when updating a structural model. To this end, based on a similar hierarchical sparse…

Applications · Statistics 2017-02-07 Yong Huang , James L. Beck , Hui Li

This paper proposes a sparse regression strategy for discovery of ordinary differential equations from incomplete and noisy data. Inference is performed over both equation parameters and state variables using a statistically motivated…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-02-18 Teddy Meissner , Karl Glasner

Causal structure learning, also known as causal discovery, aims to estimate causal relationships between variables as a form of a causal directed acyclic graph (DAG) from observational data. One of the major frameworks is the order-based…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-18 Kentaro Kanamori , Hirofumi Suzuki , Takuya Takagi

This paper investigates the idea of designing data-driven partial estimators for nonlinear systems showing parametric uncertainties using sparse multivariate polynomial relationships. A general framework is first presented and then…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-04 Mazen Alamir

A fundamental concept in control theory is that of controllability, where any system state can be reached through an appropriate choice of control inputs. Indeed, a large body of classical and modern approaches are designed for controllable…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-13 Yonathan Efroni , Sham Kakade , Akshay Krishnamurthy , Cyril Zhang
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