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Saddle points provide a hierarchical view of the energy landscape, revealing transition pathways and interconnected basins of attraction, and offering insight into the global structure, metastability, and possible collective mechanisms of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-17 Baoming Shi , Lei Zhang , Qiang Du

Under mild assumptions, we show the exact convergence rate in total variation is also exact in weaker Wasserstein distances for the Metropolis-Hastings independence sampler. We develop a new upper and lower bound on the worst-case…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-15 Austin Brown , Galin L. Jones

We consider an on-line least squares regression problem with optimal solution $\theta^*$ and Hessian matrix H, and study a time-average stochastic gradient descent estimator of $\theta^*$. For $k\ge2$, we provide an unbiased estimator of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-18 Nabil Kahalé

A number of researchers have independently introduced topologies on the set of laws of stochastic processes that extend the usual weak topology. Depending on the respective scientific background this was motivated by applications and…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-18 Julio Backhoff , Daniel Bartl , Mathias Beiglböck , Johannes Wiesel

We establish conditions to characterize probability measures by their $L^{p}$-quantization error functions in both $\mathbb{R}^{d}$ and Hilbert settings. This characterization is two-fold: static (identity of two distributions) and dynamic…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-20 Yating Liu , Gilles Pagès

Focusing on a high dimensional linear model $y = X\beta + \epsilon$ with dependent, non-stationary, and heteroskedastic errors, this paper applies the debiased and threshold ridge regression method that gives a consistent estimator for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-27 Yunyi Zhang , Dimitris N. Politis

Estimating a $d$-dimensional distribution $\mu$ by the empirical measure $\hat{\mu}_n$ of its samples is an important task in probability theory, statistics and machine learning. It is well known that $\mathbb{E}[\mathcal{W}_p(\hat{\mu}_n,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-24 Martin Larsson , Jonghwa Park , Johannes Wiesel

This paper proposes methods for Bayesian inference in time-varying parameter (TVP) quantile regression (QR) models featuring conditional heteroskedasticity. I use data augmentation schemes to render the model conditionally Gaussian and…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-10-19 Michael Pfarrhofer

Preferential sampling is a common feature in geostatistics and occurs when the locations to be sampled are chosen based on information about the phenomena under study. In this case, point pattern models are commonly used as the probability…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-27 Douglas Mateus da Silva , Dani Gamerman

This paper contains the latest installment of the authors' project on developing ensemble based data assimilation methodology for high dimensional fluid dynamics models. The algorithm presented here is a particle filter that combines model…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-04-22 Colin Cotter , Dan Crisan , Darryl Holm , Wei Pan , Igor Shevchenko

In the framework of real Hilbert spaces we study continuous in time dynamics as well as numerical algorithms for the problem of approaching the set of zeros of a single-valued monotone and continuous operator $V$. The starting poin is a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-23 Radu Ioan Bot , Ernö Robert Csetnek , Dang-Khoa Nguyen

I introduce a general, Bayesian method for modelling univariate time series data assumed to be drawn from a continuous, stochastic process. The method accommodates arbitrary temporal sampling, and takes into account measurement…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2012-10-24 C. A. L. Bailer-Jones

We consider the problem of heteroscedastic linear regression, where, given $n$ samples $(\mathbf{x}_i, y_i)$ from $y_i = \langle \mathbf{w}^{*}, \mathbf{x}_i \rangle + \epsilon_i \cdot \langle \mathbf{f}^{*}, \mathbf{x}_i \rangle$ with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-04 Dheeraj Baby , Aniket Das , Dheeraj Nagaraj , Praneeth Netrapalli

Adversarial examples are crafted by adding indistinguishable perturbations to normal examples in order to fool a well-trained deep learning model to misclassify. In the context of computer vision, this notion of indistinguishability is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-23 Wenjie Wang , Li Xiong , Jian Lou

To test the stability of the Parisi solution near T=0, we study the spectrum of the Hessian of the Sherrington-Kirkpatrick model near T=0, whose eigenvalues are the masses of the bare propagators in the expansion around the mean-field…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2011-02-28 A. Crisanti , C. De Dominicis

The question of optimally approximating an arbitrary probability measure in the Wasserstein distance by a discrete one with uniform weights is considered. Estimates are obtained for the optimal approximation distance, with an explicit rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Benjamin Seeger

We present a stochastic algorithm to compute the barycenter of a set of probability distributions under the Wasserstein metric from optimal transport. Unlike previous approaches, our method extends to continuous input distributions and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-08 Sebastian Claici , Edward Chien , Justin Solomon

Given a family of probability measures in P(X), the space of probability measures on a Hilbert space X, our goal in this paper is to highlight one ore more curves in P(X) that summarize efficiently that family. We propose to study this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-24 Vivien Seguy , Marco Cuturi

Preparing thermal (Gibbs) states is a common task in physics and computer science. Recent algorithms mimic cooling via system-bath coupling, where the cost is determined by mixing time, akin to classical Metropolis-like algorithms. However,…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-12-13 David Gamarnik , Bobak T. Kiani , Alexander Zlokapa

This work presents several expected generalization error bounds based on the Wasserstein distance. More specifically, it introduces full-dataset, single-letter, and random-subset bounds, and their analogues in the randomized subsample…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-29 Borja Rodríguez-Gálvez , Germán Bassi , Ragnar Thobaben , Mikael Skoglund