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Related papers: Dynamic Vine Copulas: Detecting and Quantifying Ti…

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Previous studies have compared neural activities in the visual cortex to representations in deep neural networks trained on image classification. Interestingly, while some suggest that their representations are highly similar, others argued…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Yu Eric Qian , Wilson S. Geisler , Xue-Xin Wei

Advances in large-scale neural recordings have expanded our ability to describe the activity of distributed brain circuits. However, understanding how neural population dynamics differ across regions and behavioral contexts remains…

Querying causal effects from time-series data is important across various fields, including healthcare, economics, climate science, and epidemiology. However, this task becomes complex in the existence of time-varying latent confounders,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-28 Debo Cheng , Ziqi Xu , Jiuyong Li , Lin Liu , Thuc duy Le , Xudong Guo , Shichao Zhang

Vine copula models have become highly popular and practical tools for modelling multivariate probability distributions due to their flexibility in modelling different kinds of dependences between the random variables involved. However,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-17 Dániel Pfeifer , Edith Alice Kovács

This paper introduces a new class of observation driven dynamic models. The time evolving parameters are driven by innovations of copula form. The resulting models can be made strictly stationary and the innovation term is typically chosen…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-05 Landan Zhang , Michael K. Pitt , Robert Kohn

Factor copula models for item response data are more interpretable and fit better than (truncated) vine copula models when dependence can be explained through latent variables, but are not robust to violations of conditional independence.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-08 Sayed H. Kadhem , Aristidis K. Nikoloulopoulos

We employ and examine vine copulas in modeling symmetric and asymmetric dependency structures and forecasting financial returns. We analyze the asset allocations performed during the 2008-2009 financial crisis and test different portfolio…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-24 Maziar Sahamkhadam , Andreas Stephan

Time-varying parameter vector autoregression provides a flexible framework to capture structural changes within time series. However, when applied to high-dimensional data, this model encounters challenges of over-parametrization and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-14 Yiyong Luo , Jim E. Griffin

Data-Driven Predictive Control (DPC) optimizes system behavior directly from measured trajectories without requiring an explicit model. However, its computational cost scales with dataset size, limiting real-time applicability to nonlinear…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Julius Beerwerth , Bassam Alrifaee

Vine copulas are a useful statistical tool to describe the dependence structure between several random variables, especially when the number of variables is very large. When modeling data with vine copulas, one often is confronted with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-10 Matthias Killiches , Daniel Kraus , Claudia Czado

This paper intends to develop tools for characterizing non-linear spectral dependence between spontaneous brain signals. We use parametric copula models (both bivariate and vine models) applied on the magnitude of Fourier coefficients…

Applications · Statistics 2018-09-25 Charles Fontaine , Ron D. Frostig , Hernando Ombao

We investigate an application in the automatic tuning of computer codes, an area of research that has come to prominence alongside the recent rise of distributed scientific processing and heterogeneity in high-performance computing…

Applications · Statistics 2013-04-17 Robert B. Gramacy , Matt Taddy , Stefan M. Wild

Biomechanical and orthopaedic studies frequently encounter complex datasets that encompass both circular and linear variables. In most cases the circular and linear variables are (i) considered in isolation with dependency between variables…

Multivariate change point detection is the process of identifying distributional shifts in time-ordered data across multiple features. This task is particularly challenging when the number of features is large relative to the number of…

This paper explores the dependence modeling of financial assets in a dynamic way and its critical role in measuring risk. Two new methods, called Accelerated Moving Window method and Bottom-up method are proposed to detect the change of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-15 Yali Dou , Haiyan Liu , Georgios Aivaliotis

Modeling returns on large portfolios is a challenging problem as the number of parameters in the covariance matrix grows as the square of the size of the portfolio. Traditional correlation models, for example, the dynamic conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-25 Lupe Shun Hin Chan , Amanda Man Ying Chu , Mike Ka Pui So

High-dimensional data sets are often available in genome-enabled predictions. Such data sets include nonlinear relationships with complex dependence structures. For such situations, vine copula based (quantile) regression is an important…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-24 Özge Sahin , Claudia Czado

Uncovering cause-effect relationships from observational time series is fundamental to understanding complex systems. While many methods infer static causal graphs, real-world systems often exhibit dynamic causality-where relationships…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-06 Tingzhu Bi , Yicheng Pan , Xinrui Jiang , Huize Sun , Meng Ma , Ping Wang

We propose a framework for determining whether the causal dependence of an outcome $Y$ on a covariate $X$ changes at a given time point, given confounders $\boldsymbol{Z}$. For instance, in financial markets, the effect of a market…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-08 Shakeel Gavioli-Akilagun , Kieran Wood , Francesco Quinzan

Spatially and temporally varying coefficient (STVC) models are currently attracting attention as a flexible tool to explore the spatio-temporal patterns in regression coefficients. However, these models often struggle with balancing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-07 Daisuke Murakami , Shinichiro Shirota , Seiji Kajita , Mami Kajita
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