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Vine copulas are sophisticated models for multivariate distributions and are increasingly used in machine learning. To facilitate their integration into modern ML pipelines, we introduce the vine computational graph, a DAG that abstracts…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Tuoyuan Cheng , Thibault Vatter , Thomas Nagler , Kan Chen

Simplified vine copulas (SVCs), or pair-copula constructions, have become an important tool in high-dimensional dependence modeling. So far, specification and estimation of SVCs has been conducted under the simplifying assumption, i.e., all…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-11 Fabian Spanhel , Malte S. Kurz

This paper proposes a novel multivariate time series model named Copula-linked univariate D-vines (CuDvine), which enables the simultaneous copula-based modeling of both temporal and cross-sectional dependence for multivariate time series.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-02 Zifeng Zhao , Peng Shi , Zhengjun Zhang

In this paper we propose a flexible class of multivariate nonlinear non-Gaussian state space models, based on copulas. More precisely, we assume that the observation equation and the state equation are defined by copula families that are…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-04 Alexander Kreuzer , Luciana Dalla Valle , Claudia Czado

While there is considerable effort to identify signaling pathways using linear Gaussian Bayesian networks from data, there is less emphasis of understanding and quantifying conditional densities and probabilities of nodes given its parents…

Applications · Statistics 2021-11-22 Claudia Czado , Sebastian Scharl

Multivariate time series in domains such as finance, climate science, and healthcare often exhibit long-term trends, seasonal patterns, and short-term fluctuations, complicating causal inference under non-stationarity and autocorrelation.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-29 Muhammad Hasan Ferdous , Md Osman Gani

One of the main challenges in current systems neuroscience is the analysis of high-dimensional neuronal and behavioral data that are characterized by different statistics and timescales of the recorded variables. We propose a parametric…

In many studies multivariate event time data are generated from clusters having a possibly complex association pattern. Flexible models are needed to capture this dependence. Vine copulas serve this purpose. Inference methods for vine…

Applications · Statistics 2017-07-25 Nicole Barthel , Candida Geerdens , Matthias Killiches , Paul Janssen , Claudia Czado

In multivariate longitudinal studies, associations between outcomes often exhibit time-varying and individual level heterogeneity, motivating the modeling of correlations as an explicit function of time and covariates. However, most…

Given data obtained under two sampling conditions, it is often of interest to identify variables that behave differently in one condition than in the other. We introduce a method for differential analysis of second-order behavior called…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-26 Kelly Bodwin , Kai Zhang , Andrew Nobel

The original development of Shapley values for prediction explanation relied on the assumption that the features being described were independent. If the features in reality are dependent this may lead to incorrect explanations. Hence,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-15 Kjersti Aas , Thomas Nagler , Martin Jullum , Anders Løland

In this paper, we propose regular vine copula based fusion of multiple deep neural network classifiers for the problem of multi-sensor based human activity recognition. We take the cross-modal dependence into account by employing regular…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-11-22 Shan Zhang , Baocheng Geng , Pramod K. Varshney , Muralidhar Rangaswamy

Recordings of complex neural population responses provide a unique opportunity for advancing our understanding of neural information processing at multiple scales and improving performance of brain computer interfaces. However, most…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2022-07-12 Lazaros Mitskopoulos , Theoklitos Amvrosiadis , Arno Onken

Building higher-dimensional copulas is generally recognized as a difficult problem. Regular-vines using bivariate copulas provide a flexible class of high-dimensional dependency models. In large dimensions, the drawback of the model is the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-07 Edith Kovacs , Tamas Szantai

We propose stepwise variational inference (VI) with vine copulas: a universal VI procedure that combines vine copulas with a novel stepwise estimation procedure of the variational parameters. Vine copulas consist of a nested sequence of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-25 Elisabeth Griesbauer , Leiv Rønneberg , Arnoldo Frigessi , Claudia Czado , Ingrid Hobæk Haff

Dynamic functional connectivity (DFC) analysis involves measuring correlated neural activity over time across multiple brain regions. Significant regional correlations among neural signals, such as those obtained from resting-state…

The majority of finite mixture models suffer from not allowing asymmetric tail dependencies within components and not capturing non-elliptical clusters in clustering applications. Since vine copulas are very flexible in capturing these…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-09 Özge Sahin , Claudia Czado

We propose a model for unbalanced longitudinal data, where the univariate margins can be selected arbitrarily and the dependence structure is described with the help of a D-vine copula. We show that our approach is an extremely flexible…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-18 Matthias Killiches , Claudia Czado

The advent of high-throughput sequencing technologies has lead to vast comparative genome sequences. The construction of gene-gene interaction networks or dependence graphs on the genome scale is vital for understanding the regulation of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-06 Xinyao Fan , Harry Joe , Yongjin Park

Climate models are essential for understanding large-scale climate dynamics and long-term climate change, yet they exhibit systematic biases when compared with historical observations. Existing multivariate bias correction (MBC) approaches…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-09 Theresa Meier , Erwan Koch , Valérie Chavez-Demoulin , Thibault Vatter