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Most traditional models of uncertainty have focused on the associational relationship among variables as captured by conditional dependence. In order to successfully manage intelligent systems for decision making, however, we must be able…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-05-19 David Heckerman , Ross D. Shachter

We consider a planning problem where the dynamics and rewards of the environment depend on a hidden static parameter referred to as the context. The objective is to learn a strategy that maximizes the accumulated reward across all contexts.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-02-10 Assaf Hallak , Dotan Di Castro , Shie Mannor

We prove the main rules of causal calculus (also called do-calculus) for i/o structural causal models (ioSCMs), a generalization of a recently proposed general class of non-/linear structural causal models that allow for cycles, latent…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-31 Patrick Forré , Joris M. Mooij

We introduce an approach to counterfactual inference based on merging information from multiple datasets. We consider a causal reformulation of the statistical marginal problem: given a collection of marginal structural causal models (SCMs)…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-07-18 Luigi Gresele , Julius von Kügelgen , Jonas M. Kübler , Elke Kirschbaum , Bernhard Schölkopf , Dominik Janzing

Sequential recommender infers users' evolving psychological motivations from historical interactions to recommend the next preferred items. Most existing methods compress recent behaviors into a single vector and optimize it toward a single…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2026-04-20 Yicheng Di , Yuan Liu , Zhi Chen , Jingcai Guo

Soft sensor modeling plays a crucial role in process monitoring. Causal feature selection can enhance the performance of soft sensor models in industrial applications. However, existing methods ignore two critical characteristics of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Shi-Shun Chen , Xiao-Yang Li , Enrico Zio

Different types of reasoning impose different structural demands on representational systems, yet no systematic account of these demands exists across psychology, AI, and philosophy of mind. I propose a framework identifying four structural…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Yiling Wu

Structural causal models (SCMs) are widely used in various disciplines to represent causal relationships among variables in complex systems. Unfortunately, the underlying causal structure is often unknown, and estimating it from data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-17 Tianyu Chen , Kevin Bello , Bryon Aragam , Pradeep Ravikumar

To make effective decisions, it is important to have a thorough understanding of the causal relationships among actions, environments, and outcomes. This review aims to surface three crucial aspects of decision-making through a causal lens:…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-22 Lin Ge , Hengrui Cai , Runzhe Wan , Yang Xu , Rui Song

Physical and optical factors interacting with sensor characteristics create complex image degradation patterns. Despite advances in deep learning-based super-resolution, existing methods overlook the causal nature of degradation by adopting…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-01-28 Zhengyang Lu , Bingjie Lu , Feng Wang

Most compositional distributional semantic models represent sentence meaning with a single vector. In this paper, we propose a Structured Distributional Model (SDM) that combines word embeddings with formal semantics and is based on the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-06-19 Emmanuele Chersoni , Enrico Santus , Ludovica Pannitto , Alessandro Lenci , Philippe Blache , Chu-Ren Huang

Structural causal models (SCMs) allow us to investigate complex systems at multiple levels of resolution. The causal abstraction (CA) framework formalizes the mapping between high- and low-level SCMs. We address CA learning in a challenging…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Gabriele D'Acunto , Fabio Massimo Zennaro , Yorgos Felekis , Paolo Di Lorenzo

Causal dynamics models (CDMs) have demonstrated significant potential in addressing various challenges in reinforcement learning. To learn CDMs, recent studies have performed causal discovery to capture the causal dependencies among…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-22 Zhongwei Yu , Jingqing Ruan , Dengpeng Xing

In this paper we address the class of Sequential Decision Making (SDM) problems that are characterized by time-varying parameters. These parameter dynamics are either pre-specified or manipulable. At any given time instant the decision…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-26 Amber Srivastava , S. M. Salapaka

Predictive Coding (PC) is a theoretical framework in cognitive science suggesting that the human brain processes cognition through spatiotemporal prediction of the visual world. Existing studies have developed spatiotemporal prediction…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-05-07 Kaiyuan Chen , Xingzhuo Guo , Yu Zhang , Jianmin Wang , Mingsheng Long

The ability to compute reward-optimal policies for given and known finite Markov decision processes (MDPs) underpins a variety of applications across planning, controller synthesis, and verification. However, we often want policies (1) to…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Linus Heck , Filip Macák , Milan Češka , Sebastian Junges

Discrete choice models are essential for modelling various decision-making processes in human behaviour. However, the specification of these models has depended heavily on domain knowledge from experts, and the fully automated but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-16 Fumiyasu Makinoshima , Tatsuya Mitomi , Fumiya Makihara , Eigo Segawa

In many stochastic service systems, decision-makers find themselves making a sequence of decisions, with the number of decisions being unpredictable. To enhance these decisions, it is crucial to uncover the causal impact these decisions…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-18 Juan C. David Gomez , Amy L. Cochran , Gabriel Zayas-Caban

Structural Causal Explanations (SCEs) can be used to automatically generate explanations in natural language to questions about given data that are grounded in a (possibly learned) causal model. Unfortunately they work for small data only.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-06-05 Sebastian Rödling , Matej Zečević , Devendra Singh Dhami , Kristian Kersting

We introduce Causal Program Dependence Analysis (CPDA), a dynamic dependence analysis that applies causal inference to model the strength of program dependence relations in a continuous space. CPDA observes the association between program…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2021-04-20 Seongmin Lee , Dave Binkley , Robert Feldt , Nicolas Gold , Shin Yoo
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