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This paper presents a method for jointly estimating the state, input, and parameters of linear systems in an online fashion. The method is specially designed for measurements that are corrupted with non-Gaussian noise or outliers, which are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-13 Jean-Sébastien Brouillon , Keith Moffat , Florian Dörfler , Giancarlo Ferrari-Trecate

This paper studies the decentralized learning of tree-structured Gaussian graphical models (GGMs) from noisy data. In decentralized learning, data set is distributed across different machines (sensors), and GGMs are widely used to model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-23 Akram Hussain

We study the Out-of-Distribution (OOD) generalization in machine learning and propose a general framework that establishes information-theoretic generalization bounds. Our framework interpolates freely between Integral Probability Metric…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-12-16 Wenliang Liu , Guanding Yu , Lele Wang , Renjie Liao

In this paper we consider online distributed learning problems. Online distributed learning refers to the process of training learning models on distributed data sources. In our setting a set of agents need to cooperatively train a learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-07 Nicola Bastianello , Apostolos I. Rikos , Karl H. Johansson

Neural Jump ODEs model the conditional expectation between observations by neural ODEs and jump at arrival of new observations. They have demonstrated effectiveness for fully data-driven online forecasting in settings with irregular and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-19 Jakob Heiss , Florian Krach , Thorsten Schmidt , Félix B. Tambe-Ndonfack

We propose closed-form conditional diffusion models for data assimilation. Diffusion models use data to learn the score function (defined as the gradient of the log-probability density of a data distribution), allowing them to generate new…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-02 Brianna Binder , Agnimitra Dasgupta , Assad Oberai

The family of Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithms provides a general approach to fitting flexible models for large and complex data. The expectation (E) step of EM-type algorithms is time-consuming in massive data applications because…

Computation · Statistics 2018-06-21 Sanvesh Srivastava , Glen DePalma , Chuanhai Liu

Developing efficient solutions for inference problems in intelligent sensor networks is crucial for the next generation of location, tracking, and mapping services. This paper develops a scalable distributed probabilistic inference…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-24 Parth Paritosh , Nikolay Atanasov , Sonia Martinez

Out-of-distribution (OOD) learning often relies heavily on statistical approaches or predefined assumptions about OOD data distributions, hindering their efficacy in addressing multifaceted challenges of OOD generalization and OOD detection…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-16 Haoyue Bai , Xuefeng Du , Katie Rainey , Shibin Parameswaran , Yixuan Li

A framework of online adaptive statistical compressed sensing is introduced for signals following a mixture model. The scheme first uses non-adaptive measurements, from which an online decoding scheme estimates the model selection. As soon…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2011-12-30 Julio Duarte-Carvajalino , Guillermo Sapiro , Guoshen Yu , Lawrence Carin

Data assimilation (DA) has increasingly emerged as a critical tool for state estimation across a wide range of applications. It is significantly challenging when the governing equations of the underlying dynamics are unknown. To this end,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Ziyi Wang , Lijian Jiang

Graph Neural Networks (GNN) provide a powerful framework that elegantly integrates Graph theory with Machine learning for modeling and analysis of networked data. We consider the problem of quantifying the uncertainty in predictions of GNN…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-23 Sai Munikoti , Deepesh Agarwal , Laya Das , Balasubramaniam Natarajan

Distributed sensor networks often include a multitude of sensors, each measuring parts of a process state space or observing the operations of a system. Communication of measurements between the sensor nodes and estimator(s) cannot…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-02 Sanjay Chandrasekaran , Vishnu Varadan , Siva Vignesh Krishnan , Florian Dörfler , Mohammad H. Mamduhi

There is an urgent need to build models to tackle Indoor Air Quality issue. Since the model should be accurate and fast, Reduced Order Modelling technique is used to reduce the dimensionality of the problem. The accuracy of the model, that…

This paper proposes new methodology for sequential state and parameter estimation within the ensemble Kalman filter. The method is fully Bayesian and propagates the joint posterior density of states and parameters over time. In order to…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-14 Jonathan R. Stroud , Matthias Katzfuss , Christopher K. Wikle

Kalman filter is a key tool for time-series forecasting and analysis. We show that the dependence of a prediction of Kalman filter on the past is decaying exponentially, whenever the process noise is non-degenerate. Therefore, Kalman filter…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-24 Mark Kozdoba , Jakub Marecek , Tigran Tchrakian , Shie Mannor

Nonlinear/non-Gaussian filtering has broad applications in many areas of life sciences where either the dynamic is nonlinear and/or the probability density function of uncertain state is non-Gaussian. In such problems, the accuracy of the…

Computation · Statistics 2012-08-02 Hatef Monajemi , Peter K. Kitanidis

Data assimilation refers to the process of obtaining an estimate of a system's state using a model for the system's time evolution and a time series of measurements that are possibly noisy and incomplete. However, for practical reasons, the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 Matthew Cornick , Brian Hunt , Edward Ott , Michael F. Schatz

Learning probabilistic models that can estimate the density of a given set of samples, and generate samples from that density, is one of the fundamental challenges in unsupervised machine learning. We introduce a new generative model based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-11 Siavash A. Bigdeli , Geng Lin , Tiziano Portenier , L. Andrea Dunbar , Matthias Zwicker

Time series remains one of the most challenging modalities in machine learning research. The out-of-distribution (OOD) detection and generalization on time series tend to suffer due to its non-stationary property, i.e., the distribution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-07 Wang Lu , Jindong Wang , Xinwei Sun , Yiqiang Chen , Xiangyang Ji , Qiang Yang , Xing Xie
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