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Modeling large dependent datasets in modern time series analysis is a crucial research area. One effective approach to handle such datasets is to transform the observations into density functions and apply statistical methods for further…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-23 Yinzhi Wang , Yingqiu Zhu , Ben-Chang Shia , Lei Qin

The standard approach for constructing a Mean-Variance portfolio involves estimating parameters for the model using collected samples. However, since the distribution of future data may not resemble that of the training set, the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-12 Duy Khanh Lam

This article introduces a novel hybrid regime identification-forecasting framework designed to enhance multi-asset portfolio construction by integrating asset-specific regime forecasts. Unlike traditional approaches that focus on broad…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-19 Yizhan Shu , Chenyu Yu , John M. Mulvey

Machine learning models usually assume that a set of feature values used to obtain an output is fixed in advance. However, in many real-world problems, a cost is associated with measuring these features. To address the issue of reducing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-13 Katsumi Takahashi , Koh Takeuchi , Hisashi Kashima

This paper extends the tactical asset allocation literature by incorporating regime modeling using techniques from machine learning. We propose a novel model that classifies current regimes, forecasts the distribution of future regimes, and…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-24 Daniel Cunha Oliveira , Dylan Sandfelder , André Fujita , Xiaowen Dong , Mihai Cucuringu

Multidimensional scaling (MDS) is a dimensionality reduction technique for microbial ecology data analysis that represents the multivariate structure while preserving pairwise distances between samples. While its improvement has enhanced…

High-dimensional time series are characterized by a large number of measurements and complex dependence, and often involve abrupt change points. We propose a new procedure to detect change points in the mean of high-dimensional time series…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-19 Jun Li , Minya Xu , Ping-Shou Zhong , Lingjun Li

As time series data become increasingly prevalent in domains such as manufacturing, IT, and infrastructure monitoring, anomaly detection must adapt to nonstationary environments where statistical properties shift over time. Traditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Muyan Anna Li , Aditi Gautam

Most Machine Learning (ML) methods, from clustering to classification, rely on a distance function to describe relationships between datapoints. For complex datasets it is hard to avoid making some arbitrary choices when defining a distance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-07-04 Gina Gruenhage , Manfred Opper , Simon Barthelme

We present a novel view of nonlinear manifold learning using derivative-free optimization techniques. Specifically, we propose an extension of the classical multi-dimensional scaling (MDS) method, where instead of performing gradient…

Correlations in streams of multivariate time series data means that typically, only a small subset of the features are required for a given data mining task. In this paper, we propose a technique which we call Merit Score for Time-Series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-08 Bahavathy Kathirgamanathan , Padraig Cunningham

Supervised fine-tuning (SFT) is a commonly used technique to adapt large language models (LLMs) to downstream tasks. In practice, SFT on a full dataset is computationally expensive and sometimes suffers from overfitting or bias…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Heming Zou , Yixiu Mao , Yun Qu , Qi Wang , Xiangyang Ji

We predict asset returns and measure risk premia using a prominent technique from artificial intelligence -- deep sequence modeling. Because asset returns often exhibit sequential dependence that may not be effectively captured by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-23 Lin William Cong , Ke Tang , Jingyuan Wang , Yang Zhang

This paper develops and empirically evaluates a Sharpe-driven stock selection and liquidity-constrained portfolio optimization framework designed for the Chinese equity market. The proposed methodology integrates three sequential stages:…

Operating Systems · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Thanh Nguyen

Shrinkage estimators that possess the ability to produce sparse solutions have become increasingly important to the analysis of today's complex datasets. Examples include the LASSO, the Elastic-Net and their adaptive counterparts.…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-09 Hongmei Liu , J. Sunil Rao

In the era of the fourth industrial revolution, it is essential to automate fault detection and diagnosis of machineries so that a warning system can be developed that will help to take an appropriate action before any catastrophic damage.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-01-31 Abu Hanif Md. Ripon , Muhammad Ahsan Ullah , Arindam Kumar Paul , Md. Mortaza Morshed

Accurate covariance forecasting is central to portfolio allocation, risk management, and asset pricing, yet many existing methods struggle at medium-term horizons, where shifting market regimes and slower dynamics predominate. We propose a…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Pedro Reis , Ana Paula Serra , João Gama

We present a selective sampling method designed to accelerate the training of deep neural networks. To this end, we introduce a novel measurement, the minimal margin score (MMS), which measures the minimal amount of displacement an input…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-19 Berry Weinstein , Shai Fine , Yacov Hel-Or

Financial time-series classification (FTC) is extremely valuable for investment management. In past decades, it draws a lot of attention from a wide extent of research areas, especially Artificial Intelligence (AI). Existing researches…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-22 Liu Guang , Wang Xiaojie , Li Ruifan

Selection bias poses a critical challenge for fairness in machine learning, as models trained on data that is less representative of the population might exhibit undesirable behavior for underrepresented profiles. Semi-supervised learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-02 Yasin I. Tepeli , Mathijs de Wolf , Joana P. Gonçalves