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The practicality of the stochastic network calculus (SNC) is often questioned on grounds of potential looseness of its performance bounds. In this paper it is uncovered that for bursty arrival processes (specifically Markov-Modulated On-Off…

Performance · Computer Science 2013-07-23 Florin Ciucu , Felix Poloczek , Jens Schmitt

In this paper, we are concerned with the reliability assessment of redundant multi-channel systems having multiple controllers with overlapping functionality -- where all controllers are required to respond optimally to the non-faulty…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-03-27 Getachew K. Befekadu , Panos J. Antsaklis

We study the sequential general online regression, known also as the sequential probability assignments, under logarithmic loss when compared against a broad class of experts. We focus on obtaining tight, often matching, lower and upper…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-02 Changlong Wu , Mohsen Heidari , Ananth Grama , Wojciech Szpankowski

We consider a flocking system confined transversally between two infinite reflecting parallel walls separated by a distance $L_\perp$. Infinite or periodic boundary conditions are assumed longitudinally to the direction of collective…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2024-05-09 Leonardo Lenzini , Giuseppe Fava , Francesco Ginelli

Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) have achieved great success in the prediction of sequential data. However, their theoretical studies are still lagging behind because of their complex interconnected structures. In this paper, we establish a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-06 Xuewei Cheng , Ke Huang , Shujie Ma

A new formulation of Stochastic Model Predictive Output Feedback Control is presented and analyzed as a translation of Stochastic Optimal Output Feedback Control into a receding horizon setting. This requires lifting the design into a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-05-01 Martin A Sehr , Robert R Bitmead

We consider the Last-Success-Problem with $n$ independent Bernoulli random variables with parameters $p_i>0$. We improve the lower bound provided by F.T. Bruss for the probability of winning and provide an alternative proof to the one given…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-21 J. M. Grau Ribas

Given a probability measure on a finitely generated group, its Martin boundary is a natural way to compactify the group using the Green function of the corresponding random walk. For finitely supported measures in hyperbolic groups, it is…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-04 Sébastien Gouëzel

As is well known the Complex Langevin (CL) method sometimes fails to converge or converges to the wrong limit. We identified one reason for this long ago: insufficient decay of the probability density either near infinity or near poles of…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2019-01-30 Manuel Scherzer , Erhard Seiler , Dénes Sexty , Ion-Olimpiu Stamatescu

We introduce the concept of an extremely negatively dependent (END) sequence of random variables with a given common marginal distribution. The END structure, as a new benchmark for negative dependence, is comparable to comonotonicity and…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-28 Bin Wang , Ruodu Wang

R\'emy's algorithm is a Markov chain that iteratively generates a sequence of random trees in such a way that the $n^{\mathrm{th}}$ tree is uniformly distributed over the set of rooted, planar, binary trees with $2n+1$ vertices. We obtain a…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-05 Steven N. Evans , Rudolf Grübel , Anton Wakolbinger

The bounded mean betting procedure serves as a crucial interface between the domains of (1) sequential, anytime-valid statistical inference, and (2) online learning and portfolio selection algorithms. While recent work in both domains has…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-05 Hongjian Wang , Shubhada Agrawal , Aaditya Ramdas

The method is proposed for the study of many-point boundary value problems for systems of nonlinear ODE, by reducing them to special equivalent integral equations, and allows us [in contrast with the known method [1]] to consider boundary…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2012-05-11 Yu. A. Konyaev

Linear models are foundational tools in statistics and ubiquitous across the applied sciences. However, conventional statistical inference -- such as $t$-tests and $F$-tests -- are only valid at fixed sample sizes, making them unsuitable…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-08 Michael Lindon , Dae Woong Ham , Martin Tingley , Iavor Bojinov

The t-statistic is a widely-used scale-invariant statistic for testing the null hypothesis that the mean is zero. Martingale methods enable sequential testing with the t-statistic at every sample size, while controlling the probability of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-10 Peter D. Grünwald , Wouter M. Koolen

We consider the Minimum Description Length principle for online sequence prediction. If the underlying model class is discrete, then the total expected square loss is a particularly interesting performance measure: (a) this quantity is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-07-16 Jan Poland , Marcus Hutter

Consider estimating the G-formula for the counterfactual mean outcome under a given treatment regime in a longitudinal study. Bang and Robins provided an estimator for this quantity that relies on a sequential regression formulation of this…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-18 Alexander R. Luedtke , Oleg Sofrygin , Mark J. van der Laan , Marco Carone

Regularized linear regression is central to machine learning, yet its high-dimensional behavior with informative priors remains poorly understood. We provide the first exact asymptotic characterization of training and test risks for maximum…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-28 Malik Tiomoko , Ekkehard Schnoor

The purpose of this paper is to give a selective survey on recent progress in random metric theory and its applications to conditional risk measures. This paper includes eight sections. Section 1 is a longer introduction, which gives a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-03-18 Tiexin Guo

This paper studies when a sequence of probability measures on a metric space admit subsequential weak limits. A sufficient condition called sequential tightness is formulated, which relaxes some assumptions for asymptotic tightness used in…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-20 Osama Abuzaid
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