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When multiple forecasts are available for a probability distribution, forecast combining enables a pragmatic synthesis of the information to extract the wisdom of the crowd. The linear opinion pool has been widely used, whereby the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-25 James W. Taylor , Xiaochun Meng

Although copulas are used and defined for various infinite-dimensional objects (e.g. Gaussian processes and Markov processes), there is no prevalent notion of a copula that unifies these concepts. We propose a unified approach and define…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-23 Fred Espen Benth , Giulia Di Nunno , Dennis Schroers

A theory of graded manifolds can be viewed as a generalization of differential geometry of smooth manifolds. It allows one to work with functions which locally depend not only on ordinary real variables, but also on $\mathbb{Z}$-graded…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2023-03-14 Jan Vysoky

Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) in high dimension, having the structure of finite dimensional approximation of Stochastic Partial Differential Equations (SPDEs), are considered. The aim is to compute numerically expected values and…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-25 Franco Flandoli , Dejun Luo , Cristiano Ricci

We extend the theory of probability graphons, continuum representations of edge-decorated graphs arising in graph limits theory, to the 'right convergence' point of view. First of all, we generalise the notions of overlay functionals and…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-09 Giulio Zucal

Starting from an axiomatic perspective, \emph{fluctuation geometry} is developed as a counterpart approach of inference geometry. This approach is inspired on the existence of a notable analogy between the general theorems of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-07-31 L Velazquez

An approach to build Probabilistic Arithmetic in which initial values of all correlated random variables are known, but with varying degrees of accuracy. As a result of the proposed Probabilistic Arithmetic operations, variable values,…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2012-05-23 Mikhail Luboschinsky

According to a standard view, quantum mechanics (QM) is a contextual theory and quantum probability does not satisfy Kolmogorov's axioms. We show, by considering the macroscopic contexts associated with measurement procedures and the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-05-24 Claudio Garola

Most scholars maintain that quantum mechanics (QM) is a contextual theory and that quantum probability does not allow an epistemic (ignorance) interpretation. By inquiring possible connections between contextuality and non-classical…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-12-13 Claudio Garola

The goal of machine learning is to find models that minimize prediction error on data that has not yet been seen. Its operational paradigm assumes access to a dataset $S$ and articulates a scheme for evaluating how well a given model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-22 Maxim Raginsky , Benjamin Recht

Excitations of a relativistic geometry are used to represent the theory of quantum electrodynamics. The connection excitations and the frame excitations reduce, respectively, to the electromagnetic field operator and electron field…

General Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Gustavo R. Gonzalez-Martin

The notion of context (complex of physical conditions) is basic in this paper. We show that the main structures of quantum theory (interference of probabilities, Born's rule, complex probabilistic amplitudes, Hilbert state space,…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-11-10 Andrei Khrennikov

In this paper a class of dynamical systems describing expectation variables exactly derived from continuous-time master equations is introduced and studied from the viewpoint of differential geometry, where such master equations consist of…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2018-11-05 Shin-Itiro Goto , Hideitsu Hino

Several new geometric quantile-based measures for multivariate dispersion, skewness, kurtosis, and spherical asymmetry are defined. These measures differ from existing measures, which use volumes and are easy to calculate. Some theoretical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-30 Ha-Young Shin , Hee-Seok Oh

The volume of the distribution of weight sets associated with a loss value may be the source of implicit regularization from overparameterization due to the phenomenon of contracting volume with increasing dimensions for geometric figures…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-27 Nicholas J. Teague

This paper derives normal approximation results for subgraph counts written as multiparameter stochastic integrals in a random-connection model based on a Poisson point process. By combinatorial arguments we express the cumulants of general…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-11 Qingwei Liu , Nicolas Privault

This is a non-standard exposition of the main notions of quantum mechanics and quantum field theory including some recent results. It is based on the algebraic approach where the starting point is a star-algebra and on the geometric…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-06-21 Igor Frolov , Albert Schwarz

Within psychology, neuroscience and artificial intelligence, there has been increasing interest in the proposal that the brain builds probabilistic models of sensory and linguistic input: that is, to infer a probabilistic model from a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-08 Paul M. B. Vitanyi , Nick Chater

Exploiting the geometric nature of statistical divergences, we devise a way to define associated induced uncertainty measures for discrete and finite probability distributions. We also report new uncertainty measures and discuss their…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-06-29 Gautam Sharma , Sk Sazim

We consider the space of probabilities {P(x)}, where the x are coordinates of a configuration space. Under the action of the translation group there is a natural metric over the space of parameters of the group given by the Fisher-Rao…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-05-30 Marcel Reginatto , Michael J. W. Hall
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