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We propose a probabilistic framework for pricing derivatives, which acknowledges that information and beliefs are subjective. Market prices can be translated into implied probabilities. In particular, futures imply returns for these implied…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-01-12 Ulrich Kirchner

We develop and study stability properties of a hybrid approximation of functionals of the Bates jump model with stochastic interest rate that uses a tree method in the direction of the volatility and the interest rate and a…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-05 Maya Briani , Lucia Caramellino , Giulia Terenzi , Antonino Zanette

Martingale Optimal Transport (MOT) provides a framework for robust pricing and hedging of illiquid derivatives. Classical MOT enforces exact calibration of model marginals to the mid-prices of vanilla options. Motivated by the industry…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-27 Bryan Liang , Marcel Nutz , Shunan Sheng , Valentin Tissot-Daguette

We propose a versatile Monte-Carlo method for pricing and hedging options when the market is incomplete, for an arbitrary risk criterion (chosen here to be the expected shortfall), for a large class of stochastic processes, and in the…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Benoît Pochart , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

We consider arbitrage free valuation of European options in Black-Scholes and Merton markets, where the general structure of the market is known, however the specific parameters are not known. In order to reflect this subjective uncertainty…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-01-13 Hanno Gottschalk , Elpida Nizami , Marius Schubert

We study the pricing problem for a European call option when the volatility of the underlying asset is random and follows the exponential Ornstein-Uhlenbeck model. The random diffusion model proposed is a two-dimensional market process that…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Josep Perello , Ronnie Sircar , Jaume Masoliver

The Black-Scholes formula for pricing options on stocks and other securities has been generalized by Merton and Garman to the case when stock volatility is stochastic. The derivation of the price of a security derivative with stochastic…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-30 B. E. Baaquie

This article provides a list of counterexamples, where some of the popular fx option interpolations break down. Interpolation of FX option prices (or equivalently volatilities), is key to risk-manage not only vanilla FX option books, but…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-23 Jherek Healy

Report presents analysis of empirical distribution of future returns of bitcoin (BTC) from BTUSD inverse option prices. Logistic pdf is chosen as underlying distribution to fit option prices. The result is satisfactory and suggests that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-16 Nikolai Zaitsev

With some transformations, we convert the problem of option pricing under state-dependent volatility into an initial value problem of the Fokker-Planck equation with a certain potential. By using the Lie symmetry analysis and similarity…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-11-19 Wenqing Bao , ChunLi Chen , Jin E. Zhang

A common assumption in financial engineering is that the market price for any derivative coincides with an objectively defined risk-neutral price - a plausible assumption only if traders collectively possess objective knowledge about the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-10-08 Kerry W. Fendick

Using tools from spectral analysis, singular and regular perturbation theory, we develop a systematic method for analytically computing the approximate price of a derivative-asset. The payoff of the derivative-asset may be path-dependent.…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-04-09 Matthew Lorig

We combine the one-dimensional Monte Carlo simulation and the semi-analytical one-dimensional heat potential method to design an efficient technique for pricing barrier options on assets with correlated stochastic volatility. Our approach…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-17 Alexander Lipton , Artur Sepp

In the present paper we present a finite element approach for option pricing in the framework of a well-known stochastic volatility model with jumps, the Bates model. In this model the asset log-returns are assumed to follow a…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-17 Edie Miglio , Carlo Sgarra

Semi-analytical pricing of American options in a time-dependent Ornstein-Uhlenbeck model was presented in [Carr, Itkin, 2020]. It was shown that to obtain these prices one needs to solve (numerically) a nonlinear Volterra integral equation…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-27 Andrey Itkin , Dmitry Muravey

In this chapter, we consider volatility swap, variance swap and VIX future pricing under different stochastic volatility models and jump diffusion models which are commonly used in financial market. We use convexity correction approximation…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-12-08 Anatoliy Swishchuk , Zijia Wang

The implied volatility is a crucial element of any financial toolbox, since it is used for quoting and the hedging of options as well as for model calibration. In contrast to the Black-Scholes formula its inverse, the implied volatility, is…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-10-06 Kathrin Glau , Paul Herold , Dilip B. Madan , Christian Pötz

A new method is proposed to obtain the risk neutral probability of share prices without stochastic calculus and price modeling, via an embedding of the price return modeling problem in Le Cam's statistical experiments framework.…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-11-19 Yannis G. Yatracos

We invert the Black-Scholes formula. We consider the cases low strike, large strike, short maturity and large maturity. We give explicitly the first 5 terms of the expansions. A method to compute all the terms by induction is also given. At…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-25 Cyril Grunspan

The variance gamma model is a widely popular model for option pricing in both academia and industry. In this paper, we provide a new perspective for pricing European style options for the variance gamma model by deriving closed-form…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-21 Yuanda Chen , Zailei Cheng , Haixu Wang