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Related papers: Poisson approximation by coupling

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In a Cox model, the partial likelihood, as the product of a series of conditional probabilities, is used to estimate the regression coefficients. In practice, those conditional probabilities are approximated by risk score ratios based on a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-27 Youngjin Cho , Yili Hong , Pang Du

For the usual normal approximations to binomial, hypergeometric, or Poisson interval probabilities, we collect some simple but then reasonably sharp error bounds. For the Clopper-Pearson~(1934) binomial confidence bounds, we present,…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2026-02-26 Lutz Mattner

Random events in space and time often exhibit a locally dependent structure. When the events are very rare and dependent structure is not too complicated, various studies in the literature have shown that Poisson and compound Poisson…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-22 Aihua Xia , Fuxi Zhang

Faced with massive data, subsampling is a commonly used technique to improve computational efficiency, and using nonuniform subsampling probabilities is an effective approach to improve estimation efficiency. For computational efficiency,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-19 Jing Wang , Jiahui Zou , HaiYing Wang

The paper is focused on the problem of estimating the probability $p$ of individual contaminated sample, under group testing. The precision of the estimator is given by the probability of proportional closeness, a concept defined in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-27 Yaakov Malinovsky , Shelemyahu Zacks

The aim of the present work is to provide a supplement to the authors' paper (2018). It is shown that our results on the approximation of distributions of sums of independent summands by the accompanying compound Poisson laws and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-04 Friedrich Götze , Andrei Yu. Zaitsev

This survey article discusses the main concepts and techniques of Stein's method for distributional approximation by the normal, Poisson, exponential, and geometric distributions, and also its relation to concentration inequalities. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-09-12 Nathan Ross

For $N\in\mathbb{N}$, let $\pi_N$ be the law of the number of fixed points of a random permutation of $\{1, 2, ..., N\}$. Let $\mathcal{P}$ be a Poisson law of parameter 1.A classical result shows that $\pi_N$ converges to $\mathcal{P}$ for…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-05 Persi Diaconis , Laurent Miclo

Distribution of the sum of independent identically distributed symmetric lattice vectors is approximated by the accompanying compound Poisson law and the second-order Hipp-type signed compound Poisson measure. Bergstr\"om -type asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-22 Vydas Čekanavičius , Simona Jokubauskienė

The aim of the present work is to show that the results obtained earlier on the approximation of distributions of sums of independent terms by the accompanying compound Poisson laws may be interpreted as rather sharp quantitative estimates…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-04 Friedrich Götze , Andrei Yu. Zaitsev

In the setting where we have $n$ independent observations of a random variable $X$, we derive explicit error bounds in total variation distance when approximating the number of observations equal to the maximum of the sample (in the case…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-10 Fraser Daly

Consider the family of power divergence statistics based on $n$ trials, each leading to one of $r$ possible outcomes. This includes the log-likelihood ratio and Pearson's statistic as important special cases. It is known that in certain…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-08 Fraser Daly

This article derives quantitative limit theorems for multivariate Poisson and Poisson process approximations. Employing the solution of Stein's equation for Poisson random variables, we obtain an explicit bound for the multivariate Poisson…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-01 Federico Pianoforte , Riccardo Turin

It is generally known that counting statistics is not correctly described by a Gaussian approximation. Nevertheless, in neutron scattering, it is common practice to apply this approximation to the counting statistics; also at low counting…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-06-09 Jakob Lassa , Magnus Egede Bøggild , Per Hedegård , Kim Lefmann

Probability distributions produced by the cross-entropy loss for ordinal classification problems can possess undesired properties. We propose a straightforward technique to constrain discrete ordinal probability distributions to be unimodal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-23 Christopher Beckham , Christopher Pal

Let $G_{k,n}$ be a group of permutations of $kn$ objects which permutes things independently in disjoint blocks of size $k$ and then permutes the blocks. We investigate the probabilistic and/or enumerative aspects of random elements of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-29 Persi Diaconis , Nathan Tung

In this article, we define a matrix multinomial distribution. We prove some properties of the matrix multinomial distribution. We prove that the matrix Poisson distribution can be used as an approximation to the matrix multinomial…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-30 Yuriy Yurchenko

We give a general framework for approximations to combinatorial assemblies, especially suitable to the situation where the number $k$ of components is specified, in addition to the overall size $n$. This involves a Poisson process, which,…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-06 Richard Arratia , Stephen DeSalvo

We describe an approximation to the widely-used Poisson-likelihood chi-square using a linear combination of Neyman's and Pearson's chi-squares, namely "combined Neyman-Pearson chi-square" ($\chi^2_{\mathrm{CNP}}$). Through analytical…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-02-26 Xiangpan Ji , Wenqiang Gu , Xin Qian , Hanyu Wei , Chao Zhang

Let S_{n,k} denote the random geometric graph obtained by placing points inside a square of area n according to a Poisson point process of intensity 1 and joining each such point to the k=k(n) points of the process nearest to it. In this…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-18 Victor Falgas-Ravry