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We consider model selection and estimation for partial spline models and propose a new regularization method in the context of smoothing splines. The regularization method has a simple yet elegant form, consisting of roughness penalty on…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-11-25 Guang Cheng , Hao Helen Zhang , Zuofeng Shang

This paper studies the problem of estimating individualized treatment rules when treatment effects are partially identified, as it is often the case with observational data. By drawing connections between the treatment assignment problem…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-01-02 Riccardo D'Adamo

Being able to reliably assess not only the \emph{accuracy} but also the \emph{uncertainty} of models' predictions is an important endeavour in modern machine learning. Even if the model generating the data and labels is known, computing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-12 Lucas Clarté , Bruno Loureiro , Florent Krzakala , Lenka Zdeborová

Bayesian models often involve a small set of hyperparameters determined by maximizing the marginal likelihood. Bayesian optimization is a popular iterative method where a Gaussian process posterior of the underlying function is sequentially…

Computation · Statistics 2022-08-18 Oskar Gustafsson , Mattias Villani , Pär Stockhammar

In this paper we consider regression problems subject to arbitrary noise in the operator or design matrix. This characterization appropriately models many physical phenomena with uncertainty in the regressors. Although the problem has been…

Computation · Statistics 2021-04-08 Richard J Clancy , Stephen Becker

The Non-Linear Sigma Model (NLSM) is an example of a field theory on a target space exhibiting intricate geometry. One remarkable characteristic of the NLSM is asymptotic freedom, which triggers interest in perturbative calculations. In the…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2024-12-04 Paolo Baglioni , Francesco Di Renzo

A stylized feature of high-dimensional data is that many variables have heavy tails, and robust statistical inference is critical for valid large-scale statistical inference. Yet, the existing developments such as Winsorization,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-24 Jianqing Fan , Zhipeng Lou , Mengxin Yu

Bayesian optimization is a popular and versatile approach that is well suited to solve challenging optimization problems. Their popularity comes from their effective minimization of expensive function evaluations, their capability to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-14 André L. Marchildon , David W. Zingg

We study the Gaussian Process regression model in the context of training data with noise in both input and output. The presence of two sources of noise makes the task of learning accurate predictive models extremely challenging. However,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-03 Cuong Tran , Vladimir Pavlovic , Robert Kopp

On-line estimation plays an important role in process control and monitoring. Obtaining a theoretical solution to the simultaneous state-parameter estimation problem for non-linear stochastic systems involves solving complex…

Computation · Statistics 2013-07-15 Aditya Tulsyan , Biao Huang , R. Bhushan Gopaluni , J. Fraser Forbes

The so-called block-term decomposition (BTD) tensor model, especially in its rank-$(L_r,L_r,1)$ version, has been recently receiving increasing attention due to its enhanced ability of representing systems and signals that are composed of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-04 Paris V. Giampouras , Athanasios A. Rontogiannis , Eleftherios Kofidis

Recent advances in computing power and the potential to make more realistic assumptions due to increased flexibility have led to the increased prevalence of simulation models in economics. While models of this class, and particularly…

General Economics · Economics 2019-06-12 Donovan Platt

It has been frequently observed that Neyman orthogonality, the central device underlying double/debiased machine learning (Chernozhukov et al., 2018), and pathwise differentiability, a cornerstone concept from semiparametric theory, often…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-22 Yuxi Chen , Edward H. Kennedy , Sivaraman Balakrishnan

Several convex formulation methods have been proposed previously for statistical estimation with structured sparsity as the prior. These methods often require a carefully tuned regularization parameter, often a cumbersome or heuristic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-03-23 Sohail Bahmani , Petros T. Boufounos , Bhiksha Raj

Economic models may exhibit incompleteness depending on whether or not they admit certain policy-relevant features such as strategic interaction, self-selection, or state dependence. We develop a novel test of model incompleteness and…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-09-08 Shuowen Chen , Hiroaki Kaido

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) have recently regained a significant amount of attention in the deep learning community due to the development of scalable approximate Bayesian inference techniques. There are several advantages of using…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-28 Aliaksandr Hubin , Geir Storvik

Computer experiments are becoming increasingly important in scientific investigations. In the presence of uncertainty, analysts employ probabilistic sensitivity methods to identify the key-drivers of change in the quantities of interest.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-02 Isadora Antoniano-Villalobos , Emanuele Borgonovo , Xuefei Lu

In this paper, we propose a triple (or double-debiased) Lasso estimator for inference on a low-dimensional parameter in high-dimensional linear regression models. The estimator is based on a moment function that satisfies not only first-…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-23 Denis Chetverikov , Jesper R. -V. Sørensen , Aleh Tsyvinski

This paper aims at the study of controllability properties and induced controllability metrics on complex networks governed by a class of (discrete time) linear decision processes with mul-tiplicative noise. The dynamics are given by a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-12-15 Tidiane Diallo , Dan Goreac

Nonnegative matrix factorization (NMF) has become a ubiquitous tool for data analysis. An important variant is the sparse NMF problem which arises when we explicitly require the learnt features to be sparse. A natural measure of sparsity is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-03-20 Vamsi K. Potluru , Sergey M. Plis , Jonathan Le Roux , Barak A. Pearlmutter , Vince D. Calhoun , Thomas P. Hayes