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Related papers: CHASE: Competing Hypotheses for Ambiguity-Aware Se…

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With the wide adoption of machine learning techniques, requirements have evolved beyond sheer high performance, often requiring models to be trustworthy. A common approach to increase the trustworthiness of such systems is to allow them to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-16 Andrea Pugnana , Carlos Mougan , Dan Saattrup Nielsen

Recent work has shown that models trained to the same objective, and which achieve similar measures of accuracy on consistent test data, may nonetheless behave very differently on individual predictions. This inconsistency is undesirable in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-17 Emily Black , Klas Leino , Matt Fredrikson

Selective regression allows abstention from prediction if the confidence to make an accurate prediction is not sufficient. In general, by allowing a reject option, one expects the performance of a regression model to increase at the cost of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-18 Abhin Shah , Yuheng Bu , Joshua Ka-Wing Lee , Subhro Das , Rameswar Panda , Prasanna Sattigeri , Gregory W. Wornell

We introduce a novel framework of ranking with abstention, where the learner can abstain from making prediction at some limited cost $c$. We present a extensive theoretical analysis of this framework including a series of $H$-consistency…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-06 Anqi Mao , Mehryar Mohri , Yutao Zhong

Should prediction models always deliver a prediction? In the pursuit of maximum predictive performance, critical considerations of reliability and fairness are often overshadowed, particularly when it comes to the role of uncertainty.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Anna Sokol , Nuno Moniz , Nitesh Chawla

With the increasing deployment of machine learning models in many socially sensitive tasks, there is a growing demand for reliable and trustworthy predictions. One way to accomplish these requirements is to allow a model to abstain from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-19 Andrea Pugnana , Lorenzo Perini , Jesse Davis , Salvatore Ruggieri

Selective classification, in which models can abstain on uncertain predictions, is a natural approach to improving accuracy in settings where errors are costly but abstentions are manageable. In this paper, we find that while selective…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-15 Erik Jones , Shiori Sagawa , Pang Wei Koh , Ananya Kumar , Percy Liang

Selective prediction aims to learn a reliable model that abstains from making predictions when uncertain. These predictions can then be deferred to humans for further evaluation. As an everlasting challenge for machine learning, in many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-04 Jiefeng Chen , Jinsung Yoon , Sayna Ebrahimi , Sercan Arik , Somesh Jha , Tomas Pfister

Predictive uncertainty-a model's self awareness regarding its accuracy on an input-is key for both building robust models via training interventions and for test-time applications such as selective classification. We propose a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-04 Nishant Jain , Karthikeyan Shanmugam , Pradeep Shenoy

Ranked decision systems -- recommenders, ad auctions, clinical triage queues -- must decide when to intervene in ranked outputs and when to abstain. We study when confidence-based abstention monotonically improves decision quality, and when…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-11 Ronald Doku

Context: Software engineering has a problem in that when we empirically evaluate competing prediction systems we obtain conflicting results. Objective: To reduce the inconsistency amongst validation study results and provide a more formal…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2021-01-15 Martin Shepperd , Stephen G. MacDonell

We propose selective debiasing -- an inference-time safety mechanism designed to enhance the overall model quality in terms of prediction performance and fairness, especially in scenarios where retraining the model is impractical. The…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Gleb Kuzmin , Neemesh Yadav , Ivan Smirnov , Timothy Baldwin , Artem Shelmanov

Machine learning (ML) systems are increasingly deployed in high-stakes domains where reliability is paramount. This thesis investigates how uncertainty estimation can enhance the safety and trustworthiness of ML, focusing on selective…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-09 Stephan Rabanser

Despite recent progress on conversational systems, they still do not perform smoothly and coherently when faced with ambiguous requests. When questions are unclear, conversational systems should have the ability to ask clarifying questions,…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-08-10 Negar Arabzadeh , Mahsa Seifikar , Charles L. A. Clarke

The chase procedure is a fundamental algorithmic tool in databases that allows us to reason with constraints, such as existential rules, with a plethora of applications. It takes as input a database and a set of constraints, and iteratively…

Databases · Computer Science 2023-03-24 Marco Calautti , Mostafa Milani , Andreas Pieris

Abstaining classifiers have the option to abstain from making predictions on inputs that they are unsure about. These classifiers are becoming increasingly popular in high-stakes decision-making problems, as they can withhold uncertain…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-10 Yo Joong Choe , Aditya Gangrade , Aaditya Ramdas

Standard evaluation metrics for machine learning -- accuracy, precision, recall, and AUROC -- assume that all errors are equivalent: a confident incorrect prediction is penalized identically to an uncertain one. For discrete commitment…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Datorien L. Anderson

When groups of people are tasked with making a judgment, the issue of uncertainty often arises. Existing methods to reduce uncertainty typically focus on iteratively improving specificity in the overall task instruction. However,…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Quan Ze Chen , Amy X. Zhang

Selective classification allows models to abstain from making predictions (e.g., say "I don't know") when in doubt in order to obtain better effective accuracy. While typical selective models can be effective at producing more accurate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-24 Adam Fisch , Tommi Jaakkola , Regina Barzilay

Active learning (AL) reduces human annotation costs for machine learning systems by strategically selecting the most informative unlabeled data for annotation, but performing it individually may still be insufficient due to restricted data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-25 Jun Zhang , Jue Wang , Huan Li , Zhongle Xie , Ke Chen , Lidan Shou
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