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Multivariate Time Series (MTS) analysis is crucial to understanding and managing complex systems, such as traffic and energy systems, and a variety of approaches to MTS forecasting have been proposed recently. However, we often observe…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-18 Zezhi Shao , Fei Wang , Yongjun Xu , Wei Wei , Chengqing Yu , Zhao Zhang , Di Yao , Tao Sun , Guangyin Jin , Xin Cao , Gao Cong , Christian S. Jensen , Xueqi Cheng

The performance of autonomous systems heavily relies on their ability to generate a robust representation of the environment. Deep neural networks have greatly improved vision-based perception systems but still fail in challenging…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-10-16 Jörg Wagner , Volker Fischer , Michael Herman , Sven Behnke

Existing conformal prediction algorithms estimate prediction intervals at target confidence levels to characterize the performance of a regression model on new test samples. However, considering an autonomous system consisting of multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-25 Yunye Gong , Yi Yao , Xiao Lin , Ajay Divakaran , Melinda Gervasio

We introduce a novel modeling approach for time series imputation and forecasting, tailored to address the challenges often encountered in real-world data, such as irregular samples, missing data, or unaligned measurements from multiple…

Predictive learning uses a known state to generate a future state over a period of time. It is a challenging task to predict spatiotemporal sequence because the spatiotemporal sequence varies both in time and space. The mainstream method is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-10-05 Haoyu Pan , Hao Wu , Tan Yang

Topological Data Analysis (TDA) has emerged as a powerful tool for extracting meaningful features from complex data structures, driving significant advancements in fields such as neuroscience, biology, machine learning, and financial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-02 ZiXin Lin , Nur Fariha Syaqina Zulkepli

Time series forecasting is essential across domains from finance to supply chain management. This paper introduces ForecastGAN, a novel decomposition based adversarial framework addressing limitations in existing approaches for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-07 Syeda Sitara Wishal Fatima , Afshin Rahimi

Time series forecasting is crucial for many fields, such as disaster warning, weather prediction, and energy consumption. The Transformer-based models are considered to have revolutionized the field of sequence modeling. However, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-01 Junlong Tong , Liping Xie , Wankou Yang , Kanjian Zhang

The growing uncertainty from renewable power and electricity demand brings significant challenges to unit commitment (UC). While various advanced forecasting and optimization methods have been developed to predict better and address this…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-30 Rui Xie , Yue Chen , Pierre Pinson

Missing values are pervasive in large-scale time-series data, posing challenges for reliable analysis and decision-making. Many neural architectures have been designed to model and impute the complex and heterogeneous missingness patterns…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-26 Joseph Arul Raj , Linglong Qian , Zina Ibrahim

We present an end-to-end framework for generating solutions to combinatorial optimization problems with unknown components using transformer-based sequence-to-sequence neural networks. Our framework learns directly from past solutions and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-06 Macarena Navarro , Willem-Jan van Hoeve , Karan Singh

Forecasting irregularly sampled multivariate time series with missing values (IMTS) is a fundamental challenge in domains such as healthcare, climate science, and biology. While recent advances in vision and time series forecasting have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Christian Klötergens , Tim Dernedde , Lars Schmidt-Thieme , Vijaya Krishna Yalavarthi

Time series foundation models (TSFMs) have recently achieved strong zero-shot forecasting performance through large-scale pretraining and retrieval-augmented prediction. However, our empirical analysis reveals a non-trivial limitation of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Jinjin Chi , Lei Feng , Lulu Zhang , Yongcheng Jing , Yiming Wang , Ximing Li , Jialie Shen , Leszek Rutkowski , Dacheng Tao

Recent progress in foundation models has enabled strong zero-shot performance for time series forecasting. In this work, we show that such capabilities can also emerge from tabular foundation models. We introduce TabPFN-TS, a simple method…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-28 Shi Bin Hoo , Samuel Müller , David Salinas , Frank Hutter

When deploying time series forecasting models based on machine learning to real world settings, one often encounter situations where the data distribution drifts. Such drifts expose the forecasting models to out-of-distribution (OOD) data,…

The evaluation of time series forecasting models is hindered by a lack of high-quality benchmarks, leading to overestimated assessments of progress. Existing datasets suffer from issues ranging from small-scale, low-frequency, pre-training…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Zhijian Xu , Wanxu Cai , Xilin Dai , Zhaorong Deng , Qiang Xu

While many advances in time series models focus exclusively on numerical data, research on multimodal time series, particularly those involving contextual textual information, remains in its infancy. With recent progress in large language…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Zihao Li , Xiao Lin , Zhining Liu , Jiaru Zou , Ziwei Wu , Lecheng Zheng , Dongqi Fu , Yada Zhu , Hendrik Hamann , Hanghang Tong , Jingrui He

By default neural networks are not robust to changes in data distribution. This has been demonstrated with simple image corruptions, such as blurring or adding noise, degrading image classification performance. Many methods have been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-16 Ian Mason , Anirban Sarkar , Tomotake Sasaki , Xavier Boix

Real-world time series typically exhibit complex temporal variations, making the time series classification task notably challenging. Recent advancements have demonstrated the potential of multi-scale analysis approaches, which provide an…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-07-25 Zhipeng Liu , Peibo Duan , Binwu Wang , Xuan Tang , Qi Chu , Changsheng Zhang , Yongsheng Huang , Bin Zhang

Time series forecasting plays a crucial role in various applications, particularly in healthcare, where accurate predictions of future health trajectories can significantly impact clinical decision-making. Ensuring transparency and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-22 Jeremy Qin