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This article proposes novel estimation methods for the Matrix Autoregressive (MAR) model, specifically adaptations of the Yule-Walker equations and Burg's method, addressing limitations in existing techniques. The MAR model, by maintaining…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-22 Kamil Kołodziejski

Data derived from remote sensing or numerical simulations often have a regular gridded structure and are large in volume, making it challenging to find accurate spatial models that can fill in missing grid cells or simulate the process…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-07 Sweta Rai , Douglas W. Nychka , Soutir Bandyopadhyay

In this work we address the problem of approximating high-dimensional data with a low-dimensional representation. We make the following contributions. We propose an inverse regression method which exchanges the roles of input and response,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-09-04 Antoine Deleforge , Florence Forbes , Radu Horaud

We consider estimation of high-dimensional long-run covariance matrices for time series with nonconstant means, a setting in which conventional estimators can be severely biased. To address this difficulty, we propose a difference-based…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-19 Yanhong Liu , Fengyi Song , Long Feng

During the last two decades, locally stationary processes have been widely studied in the time series literature. In this paper we consider the locally-stationary vector-auto-regression model of order one, or LS-VAR(1), and estimate its…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-26 Giovanni Motta

This paper studies multi-horizon Granger causality using high-dimensional local projections in sparse Vector Autoregressive (VAR) systems. Since local projection coefficients are nonlinear transformations of the underlying VAR parameters,…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-25 Eugene Dettaa , Endong Wang

This paper studies the inference of the regression coefficient matrix under multivariate response linear regressions in the presence of hidden variables. A novel procedure for constructing confidence intervals of entries of the coefficient…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-21 Xin Bing , Wei Cheng , Huijie Feng , Yang Ning

In this contribution we introduce weakly locally stationary time series through the local approximation of the non-stationary covariance structure by a stationary one. This allows us to define autoregression coefficients in a non-stationary…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-16 François Roueff , Andres Sanchez-Perez

We study the problem of matching correlated VAR time series databases, where a multivariate time series is observed along with a perturbed and permuted version, and the goal is to recover the unknown matching between them. To model this, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-25 Ernesto Araya , Hemant Tyagi

Many statistical $M$-estimators are based on convex optimization problems formed by the combination of a data-dependent loss function with a norm-based regularizer. We analyze the convergence rates of projected gradient and composite…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-07-26 Alekh Agarwal , Sahand N. Negahban , Martin J. Wainwright

Multivariate geostatistics is based on modelling all covariances between all possible combinations of two or more variables at any sets of locations in a continuously indexed domain. Multivariate spatial covariance models need to be built…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-10 Noel Cressie , Andrew Zammit-Mangion

We propose a computationally efficient estimator, formulated as a convex program, for a broad class of non-linear regression problems that involve difference of convex (DC) non-linearities. The proposed method can be viewed as a significant…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-01 Sohail Bahmani

Very large spatio-temporal lattice data are becoming increasingly common across a variety of disciplines. However, estimating interdependence across space and time in large areal datasets remains challenging, as existing approaches are…

Computation · Statistics 2018-07-20 Philipp Hunziker , Julian Wucherpfennig , Aya Kachi , Nils-Christian Bormann

We reinterpret Visual Autoregressive (VAR) models as iterative refinement models to identify which design choices drive their quality-efficiency trade-off. Instead of treating VAR only as next-scale autoregression, we formalise it as a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Steve Hong , Samuel Belkadi

This paper proposes a new method for estimating high-dimensional binary choice models. We consider a semiparametric model that places no distributional assumptions on the error term, allows for heteroskedastic errors, and permits endogenous…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-15 Fu Ouyang , Thomas Tao Yang

Deep learning methods achieve remarkable predictive performance in modeling complex, large-scale data. However, assessing the quality of derived models has become increasingly challenging, as more classical statistical assumptions may no…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-02 Daniele Zambon , Cesare Alippi

The literature on multivariate time series is, largely, limited to either models based on the multivariate Gaussian distribution or models specifically developed for a given application. In this paper we develop a general approach which is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-02 Jonas Andersson , Dimitris Karlis

We consider a class of vector autoregressive models with banded coefficient matrices. The setting represents a type of sparse structure for high-dimensional time series, though the implied autocovariance matrices are not banded. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-31 Shaojun Guo , Yazhen Wang , Qiwei Yao

We reconcile the two worlds of dense and sparse modeling by exploiting the positive aspects of both. We employ a factor model and assume {the dynamic of the factors is non-pervasive while} the idiosyncratic term follows a sparse vector…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-25 Jonas Krampe , Luca Margaritella

In practical regression applications, multiple covariates are often measured, but not all may be associated with the response variable. Identifying and including only the relevant covariates in the model is crucial for improving prediction…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Ana Carolina da Cruz , Camila P. E. de Souza , Pedro H. T. O. Sousa
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