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This paper revisits the work of Rauch et al. (1965) and develops a novel method for recursive maximum likelihood particle filtering for general state-space models. The new method is based on statistical analysis of incomplete observations…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-10 Budhi Arta Surya

Recurrent temporal dynamics is a phenomenon observed frequently in high-dimensional complex systems and its detection is a challenging task. Recurrence quantification analysis utilizing recurrence plots may extract such dynamics, however it…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-06-22 Peter beim Graben , Kristin K. Sellers , Flavio Fröhlich , Axel Hutt

A discrete time stochastic model for a multiagent system given in terms of a large collection of interacting Markov chains is studied. The evolution of the interacting particles is described through a time inhomogeneous transition…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-06-17 Amarjit Budhiraja , Pierre Del Moral , Sylvain Rubenthaler

We propose a novel gradient-based online optimization framework for solving stochastic programming problems that frequently arise in the context of cyber-physical and robotic systems. Our problem formulation accommodates constraints that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Hao Ma , Melanie Zeilinger , Michael Muehlebach

We study approximations of evolving probability measures by an interacting particle system. The particle system dynamics is a combination of independent Markov chain moves and importance sampling/resampling steps. Under global regularity…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-12 Andreas Eberle , Carlo Marinelli

We consider a discrete-time system of n coupled random vectors, a.k.a. interacting particles. The dynamics involve a vanishing step size, some random centered perturbations, and a mean vector field which induces the coupling between the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-09 Pascal Bianchi , Walid Hachem , Victor Priser

We study a class of graphon particle systems with time-varying random coefficients. In a graphon particle system, the interactions among particles are characterized by the coupled mean field terms through an underlying graphon and the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-02 Yan Chen , Tao Li , Xiaofeng Zong

In this paper, we consider the stochastic optimal control problem for the interacting particle system. We obtain the stochastic maximum principle of the optimal control system by introducing a generalized backward stochastic differential…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-14 Andrey A. Dorogovtsev , Yuecai Han , Kateryna Hlyniana , Yuhang Li

Suppose an online platform wants to compare a treatment and control policy, e.g., two different matching algorithms in a ridesharing system, or two different inventory management algorithms in an online retail site. Standard randomized…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-27 Peter Glynn , Ramesh Johari , Mohammad Rasouli

We address the interaction-time optimization for frequency estimation in a two-level system. The goal is to estimate with maximum precision a stochastic perturbation. Our approach is valid for any figure of merit used to define optimality,…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2021-02-17 Angel Gutierrez-Rubio , Peter Stano , Daniel Loss

A binary fluid mixture in contact with lateral particle reservoirs is considered. By imposing different particle concentrations in these reservoirs, the system can be maintained under controlled non-equilibrium conditions. Previous…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-04-01 O. Politano , Alejandro L. Garcia , F. Baras , M. Malek Mansour

Stochastic gradient descent is an optimisation method that combines classical gradient descent with random subsampling within the target functional. In this work, we introduce the stochastic gradient process as a continuous-time…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-11 Jonas Latz

This paper presents a detailed theoretical analysis of the three stochastic approximation proximal gradient algorithms proposed in our companion paper [49] to set regularization parameters by marginal maximum likelihood estimation. We prove…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-14 Valentin De Bortoli , Alain Durmus , Ana F. Vidal , Marcelo Pereyra

We study the $L_1$-regularized maximum likelihood estimator/estimation (MLE) problem for discrete Markov random fields (MRFs), where efficient and scalable learning requires both sparse regularization and approximate inference. To address…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-14 Sinong Geng , Zhaobin Kuang , Jie Liu , Stephen Wright , David Page

Despite its popularity in the reinforcement learning community, a provably convergent policy gradient method for continuous space-time control problems with nonlinear state dynamics has been elusive. This paper proposes proximal gradient…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-27 Christoph Reisinger , Wolfgang Stockinger , Yufei Zhang

This paper presents a novel algorithm for efficient online estimation of the filter derivatives in general hidden Markov models. The algorithm, which has a linear computational complexity and very limited memory requirements, is furnished…

Computation · Statistics 2019-01-10 Jimmy Olsson , Johan Westerborn Alenlöv

In this paper, we propose a novel algorithm named STOchastic Recursive Momentum for Policy Gradient (STORM-PG), which operates a SARAH-type stochastic recursive variance-reduced policy gradient in an exponential moving average fashion.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-10 Huizhuo Yuan , Xiangru Lian , Ji Liu , Yuren Zhou

We study an interacting particle system in $\mathbf{R}^d$ motivated by Stein variational gradient descent [Q. Liu and D. Wang, NIPS 2016], a deterministic algorithm for sampling from a given probability density with unknown normalization.…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-11-07 Jianfeng Lu , Yulong Lu , James Nolen

We study the problem of learning unknown parameters in stochastic interacting particle systems with polynomial drift, interaction and diffusion functions from the path of one single particle in the system. Our estimator is obtained by…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-01-30 Grigorios A. Pavliotis , Andrea Zanoni

Estimation of stochastic processes evolving in a random environment is of crucial importance for example to predict aircraft trajectories evolving in an unknown atmosphere. For fixed parameter, interacting particle systems are a convenient…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-26 Cécile Ichard , Christelle Vergé