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In reasoning about sequential events it is natural to pose probabilistic queries such as "when will event A occur next" or "what is the probability of A occurring before B", with applications in areas such as user modeling, medicine, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-07 Alex Boyd , Sam Showalter , Stephan Mandt , Padhraic Smyth

Bayesian optimization is an effective method for finding extrema of a black-box function. We propose a new type of Bayesian optimization for learning user preferences in high-dimensional spaces. The central assumption is that the underlying…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-17 Petrus Mikkola , Milica Todorović , Jari Järvi , Patrick Rinke , Samuel Kaski

We study continually improving an extractive question answering (QA) system via human user feedback. We design and deploy an iterative approach, where information-seeking users ask questions, receive model-predicted answers, and provide…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Ge Gao , Hung-Ting Chen , Yoav Artzi , Eunsol Choi

The advent of Generative Artificial Intelligence (GAI) has heralded an inflection point that changed how society thinks about knowledge acquisition. While GAI cannot be fully trusted for decision-making, it may still provide valuable…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-20 Sean O'Hagan , Veronika Ročková

Decision-making is a cognitively intensive task that requires synthesizing relevant information from multiple unstructured sources, weighing competing factors, and incorporating subjective user preferences. Existing methods, including large…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Akriti Jain , Anish Mulay , Divyansh Verma , Aishani Pandey , Pritika Ramu , Aparna Garimella

Language models (LMs) trained on vast quantities of text data can acquire sophisticated skills such as generating summaries, answering questions or generating code. However, they also manifest behaviors that violate human preferences, e.g.,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-19 Tomasz Korbak

Bayesian experimental design is a technique that allows to efficiently select measurements to characterize a physical system by maximizing the expected information gain. Recent developments in deep neural networks and normalizing flows…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-06-27 Leopoldo Sarra , Florian Marquardt

We propose a cautious Bayesian variable selection routine by investigating the sensitivity of a hierarchical model, where the regression coefficients are specified by spike and slab priors. We exploit the use of latent variables to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-20 Tathagata Basu , Matthias C. M. Troffaes , Jochen Einbeck

This paper presents an approximate method for performing Bayesian inference in models with conditional independence over a decentralized network of learning agents. The method first employs variational inference on each individual learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-06-13 Trevor Campbell , Jonathan P. How

Analyzing interaction data provides an opportunity to learn about users, uncover their underlying goals, and create intelligent visualization systems. The first step for intelligent response in visualizations is to enable computers to infer…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2020-10-19 Shayan Monadjemi , Roman Garnett , Alvitta Ottley

Inference on high-dimensional parameters in structured linear models is an important statistical problem. This paper focuses on the case of a piecewise polynomial Gaussian sequence model, and we develop a new empirical Bayes solution that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-04 Chang Liu , Ryan Martin , Weining Shen

Predicting users' preferences based on their sequential behaviors in history is challenging and crucial for modern recommender systems. Most existing sequential recommendation algorithms focus on transitional structure among the sequential…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2020-02-06 Jibang Wu , Renqin Cai , Hongning Wang

An adaptive design adjusts dynamically as information is accrued and a consequence of applying an adaptive design is the potential for inducing small-sample bias in estimates. In psychometrics and psychophysics, a common class of studies…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-17 Simon Bang Kristensen , Katrine Bødkergaard , Bo Martin Bibby

In personalized machine learning, the aim of personalization is to train a model that caters to a specific individual or group of individuals by optimizing one or more performance metrics and adhering to specific constraints. In this paper,…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2026-01-15 Jialin Li , Maha Elgarf , Alia Waleed , Hanan Salam

LLMs are aligned to follow input instructions by learning which of two responses users prefer for a prompt. However, such preference data do not convey why users prefer responses that are chosen or rejected, so LLMs trained on these…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Nishant Balepur , Vishakh Padmakumar , Fumeng Yang , Shi Feng , Rachel Rudinger , Jordan Lee Boyd-Graber

We consider black-box global optimization of time-consuming-to-evaluate functions on behalf of a decision-maker (DM) whose preferences must be learned. Each feasible design is associated with a time-consuming-to-evaluate vector of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-05 Raul Astudillo , Peter I. Frazier

We develop scalable methods for producing conformal Bayesian predictive intervals with finite sample calibration guarantees. Bayesian posterior predictive distributions, $p(y \mid x)$, characterize subjective beliefs on outcomes of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-15 Edwin Fong , Chris Holmes

A comprehensive artificial intelligence system needs to not only perceive the environment with different `senses' (e.g., seeing and hearing) but also infer the world's conditional (or even causal) relations and corresponding uncertainty.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-07 Hao Wang , Dit-Yan Yeung

In sequential recommendation, models recommend items based on user's interaction history. To this end, current models usually incorporate information such as item descriptions and user intent or preferences. User preferences are usually not…

Active learning parallelization is widely used, but typically relies on fixing the batch size throughout experimentation. This fixed approach is inefficient because of a dynamic trade-off between cost and speed -- larger batches are more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-15 Masaki Adachi , Satoshi Hayakawa , Martin Jørgensen , Xingchen Wan , Vu Nguyen , Harald Oberhauser , Michael A. Osborne