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We present the design and \textit{in-silico} evaluation of a closed-loop insulin delivery algorithm to treat type 1 diabetes (T1D) consisting in a data-driven multi-step-ahead blood glucose (BG) predictor integrated into a Linear…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-25 Eleonora Maria Aiello , Mehrad Jaloli , Marzia Cescon

Conventional time-series forecasting methods typically aim to minimize overall prediction error, without accounting for the varying importance of different forecast ranges in downstream applications. We propose a training methodology that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-15 Luca-Andrei Fechete , Mohamed Sana , Fadhel Ayed , Nicola Piovesan , Wenjie Li , Antonio De Domenico , Tareq Si Salem

Pragmatic trials increasingly define outcomes using real-world data such as electronic health records, where assessments are collected during routine care rather than at fixed timepoints. Consequently, these uncontrolled assessments may be…

People with diabetes need insulin delivery to effectively manage their blood glucose levels, especially after meals, because their bodies either do not produce enough insulin or cannot fully utilize it. Accurate insulin delivery starts with…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-21 Hanyu Zeng , Hui Ji , Pengfei Zhou

In placebo-controlled randomized trials, the post-randomization use of concomitant medications may be higher in the placebo arm than in the treatment arm. This may dilute the full benefits of the randomized drug as estimated by the…

Measurement error arises commonly in clinical research settings that rely on data from electronic health records or large observational cohorts. In particular, self-reported outcomes are typical in cohort studies for chronic diseases such…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-08 Lillian A. Boe , Lesley F. Tinker , Pamela A. Shaw

This paper proposes GluMind, a transformer-based multimodal framework designed for continual and long-term blood glucose forecasting. GluMind devises two attention mechanisms, including cross-attention and multi-scale attention, which…

Diabetes is a serious chronic metabolic disease. In the recent years, more and more consumer technology enterprises focusing on human health are committed to implementing accurate and non-invasive blood glucose algorithm in their products.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-05 Yiting Wei , Bingo Wing-Kuen Ling , Qing Liu , Jiaxin Liu

Time-series forecasting is an essential task with wide real-world applications across domains. While recent advances in deep learning have enabled time-series forecasting models with accurate predictions, there remains considerable debate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-26 Zhiyuan Zhao , Juntong Ni , Shangqing Xu , Haoxin Liu , Wei Jin , B. Aditya Prakash

Insulin resistance (IR) is a key precursor to diabetes and a significant risk factor for cardiovascular disease. Traditional IR assessment methods require multiple blood tests. We developed a simple AI model using only fasting blood glucose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-10 Weihao Gao , Zhuo Deng , Zheng Gong , Ziyi Jiang , Lan Ma

Machine learning for early syndrome diagnosis aims to solve the intricate task of predicting a ground truth label that most often is the outcome (effect) of a medical consensus definition applied to observed clinical measurements (causes),…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-27 Michael Staniek , Marius Fracarolli , Michael Hagmann , Stefan Riezler

Randomized trials are considered the gold standard for making informed decisions in medicine, yet they often lack generalizability to the patient populations in clinical practice. Observational studies, on the other hand, cover a broader…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-14 Piersilvio De Bartolomeis , Javier Abad , Konstantin Donhauser , Fanny Yang

The human insulin-glucose metabolism is a time-varying process, which is partly caused by the changing insulin sensitivity of the body. This insulin sensitivity follows a circadian rhythm and its effects should be anticipated by any…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-01-29 Lukas Ortmann , Dawei Shi , Eyal Dassau , Francis J. Doyle , Berno J. E. Misgeld , Steffen Leonhardt

Elderly ICU patients with coexisting diabetes mellitus and heart failure experience markedly elevated short-term mortality, yet few predictive models are tailored to this high-risk group. Diabetes mellitus affects nearly 30% of U.S. adults…

Applications · Statistics 2025-06-19 Junyi Fan , Shuheng Chen , Li Sun , Yong Si , Elham Pishgar , Kamiar Alaei , Greg Placencia , Maryam Pishgar

Learning-based signal processing systems increasingly support high-stakes medical decisions using heterogeneous biomedical signals, including medical images, physiological time series, and clinical records. Despite strong predictive…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-02 Surajit Das , Maxine Tan

Insulin resistance, a precursor to type 2 diabetes, is characterized by impaired insulin action in tissues. Current methods for measuring insulin resistance, while effective, are expensive, inaccessible, not widely available and hinder…

This study investigates the impact of masking strategies on time series imputation models in healthcare settings. While current approaches predominantly rely on random masking for model evaluation, this practice fails to capture the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-05 Linglong Qian , Yiyuan Yang , Wenjie Du , Jun Wang , Richard Dobsoni , Zina Ibrahim

Diabetes mellitus is a common disease of human body caused by a group of metabolic disorders where the sugar levels over a prolonged period is very high. It affects different organs of the human body which thus harm a large number of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-27 Md. Faisal Faruque , Asaduzzaman , Iqbal H. Sarker

One of the fundamental challenges in drawing causal inferences from observational studies is that the assumption of no unmeasured confounding is not testable from observed data. Therefore, assessing sensitivity to this assumption's…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-25 Md Abdul Basit , Mahbub A. H. M. Latif , Abdus S Wahed

Catastrophic regime shifts in complex natural systems may be averted through advanced detection. Recent work has provided a proof-of-principle that many systems approaching a catastrophic transition may be identified through the lens of…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2012-04-30 Carl Boettiger , Alan Hastings
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