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This paper develops an asymptotic likelihood theory for triangular arrays of stationary Gaussian time series depending on a multidimensional unknown parameter. We give sufficient conditions for the associated sequence of statistical models…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-14 Carsten H. Chong , Fabian Mies

We present a new framework for statistical inference on Riemannian manifolds that achieves high-order accuracy, addressing the challenges posed by non-Euclidean parameter spaces frequently encountered in modern data science. Our approach…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Chengzhu Huang , Anru R. Zhang

We prove microlocal estimates at the trapped set of asymptotically Kerr spacetimes: these are spacetimes whose metrics decay inverse polynomially in time to a stationary subextremal Kerr metric. This combines two independent results. The…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-03-17 Peter Hintz

It is well known that the empirical likelihood ratio confidence region suffers finite sample under-coverage issue, and this severely hampers its application in statistical inferences.} The root cause of this under-coverage is an upper limit…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-16 Guangxing Wang , Wolfgang Polonik

We study parameter estimation in linear Gaussian covariance models, which are $p$-dimensional Gaussian models with linear constraints on the covariance matrix. Maximum likelihood estimation for this class of models leads to a non-convex…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-19 Piotr Zwiernik , Caroline Uhler , Donald Richards

Given a sequence of observations from a discrete-time, finite-state hidden Markov model, we would like to estimate the sampling distribution of a statistic. The bootstrap method is employed to approximate the confidence regions of a…

Computation · Statistics 2009-09-29 Cheng-Der Fuh , Inchi Hu

We study the topology of the space of probability measures invariant under the geodesic flow, defined on the unit-tangent bundle of a compact Riemannian manifold with non-positive curvature. Building on a previous work by Coud\`ene and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-09-16 Paul Mella

This article proposes a novel estimator for regression coefficients in clustered data that explicitly accounts for within-cluster dependence. We study the asymptotic properties of the proposed estimator under both finite and infinite…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-05 Subhodeep Dey , Gopal K. Basak , Samarjit Das

It is well known that, under standard regularity conditions, the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) satisfies a central limit theorem and converges in distribution to a Gaussian random variable as the sample size grows. This paper…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Leighton P. Barnes , Alex Dytso

We consider the parametric estimation of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process driven by a non-Gaussian $\alpha$-stable L\'{e}vy process with the stable index $\alpha>1$ and possibly skewed jumps, based on a discrete-time sample over a fixed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-28 Eitaro Kawamo , Hiroki Masuda

This paper is aimed at extending the H-infinity Bounded Real Lemma to stochastic systems under random disturbances with imprecisely known probability distributions. The statistical uncertainty is measured in entropy theoretic terms using…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-03-19 Michael M. Tchaikovsky , Alexander P. Kurdyukov , Victor N. Timin

In this paper, we study the asymptotic thin-shell width concentration for random vectors uniformly distributed in Orlicz balls. We provide both asymptotic upper and lower bounds on the probability of such a random vector $X_n$ being in a…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-17 David Alonso-Gutiérrez , Joscha Prochno

We consider the problem of estimating smooth integrated functionals of a monotone nonincreasing density $f$ on $[0,\infty)$ using the nonparametric maximum likelihood based plug-in estimator. We find the exact asymptotic distribution of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-16 Rajarshi Mukherjee , Bodhisattva Sen

We study mixed models with a single grouping factor, where inference about unknown parameters requires optimizing a marginal likelihood defined by an intractable integral. Low-dimensional numerical integration techniques are regularly used…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-22 Alex Stringer , Blair Bilodeau , Yanbo Tang

Suppose $ F $ is an integrand associated with a uniformly convex $ \mathscr{C}^{3} $-norm, and $ V $ is a $ n $-dimensional varifold in an open subset of $ \mathbf{R}^{n+1} $ such that $ \mathscr{H}^n \llcorner \operatorname{spt} \| V \| $…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-04-16 Sławomir Kolasiński , Mario Santilli

We study the maximum likelihood estimator of the location parameter of the Pearson Type VII distribution with known scale. We rigorously establish precise asymptotic properties such as strong consistency, asymptotic normality, Bahadur…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Kazuki Okamura

Spherically-symmetric atom-centered descriptors of atomic environments have been widely used for constructing potential or free energy surfaces of atomistic and colloidal systems and to characterize local structures using machine learning…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2022-07-27 Gerardo Campos-Villalobos , Giuliana Giunta , Susana Marín-Aguilar , Marjolein Dijkstra

We consider the question of learning the natural parameters of a $k$ parameter minimal exponential family from i.i.d. samples in a computationally and statistically efficient manner. We focus on the setting where the support as well as the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-01 Abhin Shah , Devavrat Shah , Gregory W. Wornell

This paper develops asymptotic normality results for individual coordinates of robust M-estimators with convex penalty in high-dimensions, where the dimension $p$ is at most of the same order as the sample size $n$, i.e, $p/n\le\gamma$ for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-09 Pierre C Bellec , Yiwei Shen , Cun-Hui Zhang

An asymptotic theory is developed for computing volumes of regions in the parameter space of a directed Gaussian graphical model that are obtained by bounding partial correlations. We study these volumes using the method of real log…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-05 Shaowei Lin , Caroline Uhler , Bernd Sturmfels , Peter Bühlmann
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