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Maximizing the likelihood has been widely used for estimating the unknown covariance parameters of spatial Gaussian processes. However, evaluating and optimizing the likelihood function can be computationally intractable, particularly for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-16 Hossein Keshavarz , XuanLong Nguyen , Clayton Scott

Asymptotics of maximum likelihood estimation for $\alpha$-stable law are analytically investigated with a continuous parameterization. The consistency and asymptotic normality are shown on the interior of the whole parameter space. Although…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-01 Muneya Matsui

We establish local laws for sample covariance matrices $K = N^{-1}\sum_{i=1}^N \g_i\g_i^*$ where the random vectors $\g_1, \ldots, \g_N \in \R^n$ are independent with common covariance $\Sigma$. Previous work has largely focused on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-24 Zhou Fan , Renyuan Ma , Elliot Paquette , Zhichao Wang

We provide an efficient unified plug-in approach for estimating symmetric properties of distributions given $n$ independent samples. Our estimator is based on profile-maximum-likelihood (PML) and is sample optimal for estimating various…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-14 Moses Charikar , Zhihao Jiang , Kirankumar Shiragur , Aaron Sidford

This paper is concerned with inference in threshold regression models when the practitioners do not know whether at the threshold point the true specification has a kink or a jump. We nest previous works that assume either continuity or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-15 Javier Hidalgo , Jungyoon Lee , Myung Hwan Seo

In parallel with advances in microscale imaging techniques, the fields of biology and materials science have focused on precisely extracting particle properties based on their diffusion behavior. Although the majority of real-world…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2024-05-22 Kaito Takanami , Daisuke Taniguchi , Sawako Enoki , Masafumi Kuroda , Yasushi Okada , Yoshiyuki Kabashima

This paper primarily establishes an asymptotic variance estimate for smooth linear statistics associated with zero sets of systems of random holomorphic sections in a sequence of positive Hermitian holomorphic line bundles on a compact…

Complex Variables · Mathematics 2026-04-28 Afrim Bojnik , Ozan Günyüz

This paper revisits a fundamental problem in statistical inference from a non-asymptotic theoretical viewpoint $\unicode{x2013}$ the construction of confidence sets. We establish a finite-sample bound for the estimator, characterizing its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-03 Lang Liu , Zaid Harchaoui

We study local asymptotic normality of M-estimates of convex minimization in an infinite dimensional parameter space. The objective function of M-estimates is not necessary differentiable and is possibly subject to convex constraints. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-11 Kosaku Takanashi

We consider a high-probability non-asymptotic confidence estimation in the $\ell^2$-regularized non-linear least-squares setting with fixed design. In particular, we study confidence estimation for local minimizers of the regularized…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-12 Ilja Kuzborskij , Yasin Abbasi Yadkori

Statistical models incorporating change points are common in practice, especially in the area of biomedicine. This approach is appealing in that a specific parameter is introduced to account for the abrupt change in the response variable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Hongling Zhou , Kung-Yee Liang

Hyperbolic space is increasingly used for hierarchical, tree-like, and network-structured data, but likelihood-based density modeling on hyperbolic space remains relatively limited. This paper develops finite mixture modeling with isotropic…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-29 Kisung You

In this paper we treat statistical inference for an intrinsic wavelet estimator of curves of symmetric positive definite (SPD) matrices in a log-Euclidean manifold. This estimator preserves positive-definiteness and enjoys…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-16 Johannes Krebs , Daniel Rademacher , Rainer von Sachs

We consider a multivariate functional measurement error model $AX\approx B$. The errors in $[A,B]$ are uncorrelated, row-wise independent, and have equal (unknown) variances. We study the total least squares estimator of $X$, which, in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-14 Alexander Kukush , Yaroslav Tsaregorodtsev

We prove the strong consistency and the asymptotic normality of the maximum likelihood estimator of the parameters of a general conditionally heteroscedastic model with $\alpha$-stable innovations. Then, we relax the assumptions and only…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-01 Guillaume Lepage

In reliability theory and survival analysis, observed data are often weakly dependent and subject to additive measurement errors. Such contamination arises when the underlying data are neither independent nor strongly mixed but instead…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-20 Benjrada Mohammed Essalih

We discuss the geometric foundation behind the use of stochastic processes in the frame bundle of a smooth manifold to build stochastic models with applications in statistical analysis of non-linear data. The transition densities for the…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2016-08-29 Stefan Sommer , Anne Marie Svane

We study two-dimensional (2D) droplets of noninteracting electrons in a strong magnetic field, placed in a confining potential with arbitrary shape. Using semiclassical methods adapted to the lowest Landau level, we obtain near-Gaussian…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2024-05-06 Blagoje Oblak , Bastien Lapierre , Per Moosavi , Jean-Marie Stéphan , Benoit Estienne

An asymptotic theory is established for linear functionals of the predictive function given by kernel ridge regression, when the reproducing kernel Hilbert space is equivalent to a Sobolev space. The theory covers a wide variety of linear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-25 Rui Tuo , Lu Zou

We propose nonparametric estimators for the second-order central moments of possibly anisotropic spherical random fields, within a functional data analysis context. We consider a measurement framework where each random field among an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-28 Alessia Caponera , Julien Fageot , Matthieu Simeoni , Victor M. Panaretos