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With the recent growth in data availability and complexity, and the associated outburst of elaborate modelling approaches, model selection tools have become a lifeline, providing objective criteria to deal with this increasingly challenging…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-08 Alessandro Casa , Luca Scrucca , Giovanna Menardi

Faithful uncertainty quantification (UQ) is paramount in high stakes climate prediction. Deep ensembles, or ensembles of probabilistic neural networks, are state of the art for UQ in machine learning (ML) and are growing increasingly…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-24 Devin M. McAfee , Elizabeth A. Barnes

Producing high-quality forecasts of key climate variables, such as temperature and precipitation, on subseasonal time scales has long been a gap in operational forecasting. This study explores an application of machine learning (ML) models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-17 Elena Orlova , Haokun Liu , Raphael Rossellini , Benjamin A. Cash , Rebecca Willett

Ensemble forecasting is crucial for improving weather predictions, especially for forecasts of extreme events. Constructing an ensemble prediction system (EPS) based on conventional NWP models is highly computationally expensive. ML models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-12 Xiaohui Zhong , Lei Chen , Hao Li , Jun Liu , Xu Fan , Jie Feng , Kan Dai , Jing-Jia Luo , Jie Wu , Bo Lu

Climate change has increased the severity and frequency of weather disasters all around the world. Flood inundation mapping based on earth observation data can help in this context, by providing cheap and accurate maps depicting the area…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-02 Kevin Iselborn , Marco Stricker , Takashi Miyamoto , Marlon Nuske , Andreas Dengel

Ensembles of geophysical models improve projection accuracy and express uncertainties. We develop a novel data-driven ensembling strategy for combining geophysical models using Bayesian Neural Networks, which infers spatiotemporally varying…

The ensemble Gaussian mixture filter (EnGMF) is a non-linear filter suited to data assimilation of highly non-Gaussian and non-linear models that has practical utility in the case of a small number of samples, and theoretical convergence to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-03 Andrey A. Popov , Enrico M. Zucchelli , Renato Zanetti

We propose a gradient-free online ensemble learning algorithm that dynamically combines forecasts from a heterogeneous set of machine learning models based on their recent predictive performance, measured by out-of-sample R-squared. The…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-13 Jiaju Miao , Pawel Polak

Variational quantum algorithms provide a direct, physics-based approach to protein structure prediction, but their accuracy is limited by the coarse resolution of the energy landscapes generated on current noisy devices. We propose a hybrid…

Emerging Technologies · Computer Science 2025-10-09 Yuqi Zhang , Yuxin Yang , Feixiong Chen , Cheng-Chang Lu , Nima Saeidi , Samuel L. Volchenboum , Junhan Zhao , Siwei Chen , Weiwen Jiang , Qiang Guan

This paper introduces a distillation framework for an ensemble of entropy-optimal Sparse Probabilistic Approximation (eSPA) models, trained exclusively on satellite-era observational and reanalysis data to predict ENSO phase up to 24 months…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-02-20 Michael Groom , Davide Bassetti , Illia Horenko , Terence J. O'Kane

Machine learning (ML) is widely used to explore crystal materials and predict their properties. However, the training is time-consuming for deep-learning models, and the regression process is a black box that is hard to interpret. Also, the…

Materials Science · Physics 2023-08-22 Xinyu Jiang , Haofan Sun , Kamal Choudhary , Houlong Zhuang , Qiong Nian

An unsupervised framework for hyperspectral image (HSI) clustering is proposed that incorporates masked deep representation learning with diffusion-based clustering, extending the Spatially-Regularized Superpixel-based Diffusion Learning…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-16 Vutichart Buranasiri , James M. Murphy

Ensemble Machine Learning (EML) techniques, especially stacking, have been shown to improve predictive performance by combining multiple base models. However, they are often criticized for their lack of interpretability. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Moncef Garouani , Ayah Barhrhouj , Olivier Teste

Effective credit risk management is fundamental to financial decision-making, requiring robust models to predict default probabilities and classify financial entities. Traditional machine learning approaches face significant challenges when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Haibo Wang , Jun Huang , Lutfu S. Sua , Figen Balo , Burak Dolar

Solid-state electrolytes (SSEs) are attractive for next-generation lithium-ion batteries due to improved safety and stability but their low room-temperature ionic conductivity hinders practical application. Experimental synthesis and…

Materials Science · Physics 2026-03-31 Haewon Kim , Taekgi Lee , Seongeun Hong , Kyeong-Ho Kim , Yongchul G. Chung

The increasing prevalence of marine pollution during the past few decades motivated recent research to help ease the situation. Typical water quality assessment requires continuous monitoring of water and sediments at remote locations with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-08 Xiaoting Xu , Tin Lai , Sayka Jahan , Farnaz Farid

Purpose: To introduce a combined machine learning (ML) and physics-based image reconstruction framework that enables navigator-free, highly accelerated multishot echo planar imaging (msEPI), and demonstrate its application in…

Nowadays, the hyperspectral remote sensing imagery HSI becomes an important tool to observe the Earth's surface, detect the climatic changes and many other applications. The classification of HSI is one of the most challenging tasks due to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-10-28 Hasna Nhaila , Asma Elmaizi , Elkebir Sarhrouni , Ahmed Hammouch

This study focuses on developing precise machine learning (ML) regression models for predicting energy bandgap values based on chemical compositions and crystal structures. The primary aim is to match the accuracy of predictions derived…

Materials Science · Physics 2023-09-15 Mukesh K. Choudhary , Amal Raj , Gowri Sankar S , P. Ravindran

The analysis of high-dimensional data, common in fields such as genomics, is complicated by the presence of cellwise contamination, where individual cells rather than entire rows are corrupted. This contamination poses a significant…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Anthony Christidis , Jeyshinee Pyneeandee , Gabriela Cohen-Freue
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