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Accurate traffic forecasting is essential for smart cities to achieve traffic control, route planning, and flow detection. Although many spatial-temporal methods are currently proposed, these methods are deficient in capturing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-07 Aoyu Liu , Yaying Zhang

Short-term passenger flow prediction is an important but challenging task for better managing urban rail transit (URT) systems. Some emerging deep learning models provide good insights to improve short-term prediction accuracy. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-17 Jinlei Zhang , Hua Li , Lixing Yang , Guangyin Jin , Jianguo Qi , Ziyou Gao

In this article, an efficient sequential linear programming algorithm (SLP) for uncertainty analysis-based data-driven computational mechanics (UA-DDCM) is presented. By assuming that the uncertain constitutive relationship embedded behind…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-09 Mengcheng Huang , Chang Liu , Zongliang Du , Shan Tang , Xu Guo

Multi-Output Gaussian Processes (MOGPs) provide a principled probabilistic framework for modelling correlated outputs but face scalability bottlenecks when applied to datasets with high-dimensional output spaces. To maintain tractability,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Xiaoyu Jiang , Xinxing Shi , Sokratia Georgaka , Magnus Rattray , Mauricio A Álvarez

Multivariate time-series forecasting is a critical task for many applications, and graph time-series network is widely studied due to its capability to capture the spatial-temporal correlation simultaneously. However, most existing works…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-14 Hongyuan Yu , Ting Li , Weichen Yu , Jianguo Li , Yan Huang , Liang Wang , Alex Liu

ChatGPT has demonstrated remarkable capabilities across various natural language processing (NLP) tasks. However, its potential for inferring dynamic network structures from temporal textual data, specifically financial news, remains an…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-20 Zihan Chen , Lei Nico Zheng , Cheng Lu , Jialu Yuan , Di Zhu

Deep generative models (DGMs) have recently demonstrated remarkable success in capturing complex probability distributions over graphs. Although their excellent performance is attributed to powerful and scalable deep neural networks, it is,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-18 Milan Papež , Martin Rektoris , Václav Šmídl , Tomáš Pevný

Reliable long-horizon prediction remains a challenge for data-driven CFD surrogates, because offline-trained models accumulate autoregressive errors and lose accuracy when operating conditions change. This work develops a divergence-aware…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-05-26 Xiangrui Zou , Zhuoqun Zhao , Guillermo Barragán , Soledad Le Clainche

A recent approach to building consensus protocols on top of Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAGs) shows much promise due to its simplicity and stable throughput. However, as each node in the DAG typically includes a linear number of references to…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Michael Anoprenko , Andrei Tonkikh , Alexander Spiegelman , Petr Kuznetsov , Anatoliy Zinovyev , Konstantin Shprenger

We consider structure discovery of undirected graphical models from observational data. Inferring likely structures from few examples is a complex task often requiring the formulation of priors and sophisticated inference procedures.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-04 Eugene Belilovsky , Kyle Kastner , Gaël Varoquaux , Matthew Blaschko

This paper proposes a structure-aware driven scheduling graph modeling method to improve the accuracy and representation capability of anomaly identification in scheduling behaviors of complex systems. The method first designs a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Ning Lyu , Junjie Jiang , Lu Chang , Chihui Shao , Feng Chen , Chong Zhang

In domains such as healthcare, finance, and e-commerce, the temporal dynamics of relational data emerge from complex interactions-such as those between patients and providers, or users and products across diverse categories. To be broadly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-07 Divyansha Lachi , Mahmoud Mohammadi , Joe Meyer , Vinam Arora , Tom Palczewski , Eva L. Dyer

Gaussian process (GP) regression is a powerful probabilistic modeling technique with built-in uncertainty quantification. When one has access to multiple correlated simulations (tasks), it is common to fit a multitask GP (MTGP) surrogate…

Computation · Statistics 2026-03-18 Aleksei G. Sorokin , Pieterjan Robbe , Fred J. Hickernell

While dynamic graph neural networks have shown promise in various applications, explaining their predictions on continuous-time dynamic graphs (CTDGs) is difficult. This paper investigates a new research task: self-interpretable GNNs for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-30 Lanting Fang , Yulian Yang , Kai Wang , Shanshan Feng , Kaiyu Feng , Jie Gui , Shuliang Wang , Yew-Soon Ong

While existing approaches excel at recognising current surgical phases, they provide limited foresight and intraoperative guidance into future procedural steps. Similarly, current anticipation methods are constrained to predicting…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Maxence Boels , Yang Liu , Prokar Dasgupta , Alejandro Granados , Sebastien Ourselin

With the process of urbanization and the rapid growth of population, the issue of traffic congestion has become an increasingly critical concern. Intelligent transportation systems heavily rely on real-time and precise prediction algorithms…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Zihao Jing

Analyzing multivariate time series data is important to predict future events and changes of complex systems in finance, manufacturing, and administrative decisions. The expressiveness power of Gaussian Process (GP) regression methods has…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-23 Anh Tong , Jaesik Choi

The interface between stochastic analysis and machine learning is a rapidly evolving field, with path signatures - iterated integrals that provide faithful, hierarchical representations of paths - offering a principled and universal feature…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-26 Csaba Tóth

There has been a growing interest in causal learning in recent years. Commonly used representations of causal structures, including Bayesian networks and structural equation models (SEM), take the form of directed acyclic graphs (DAGs). We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-20 Pavel Rytir , Ales Wodecki , Jakub Marecek

We developed a novel statistical method to identify structural differences between networks characterized by structural equation models. We propose to reparameterize the model to separate the differential structures from common structures,…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-10 Min Ren , Dabao Zhang