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Maximizing revenue for grid-scale battery energy storage systems in continuous intraday electricity markets requires strategies that are able to seize trading opportunities as soon as new information arrives. This paper introduces and…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-27 David Schaurecker , David Wozabal , Nils Löhndorf , Thorsten Staake

We develop a tractable equilibrium model for price formation in intraday electricity markets in the presence of intermittent renewable generation. Using stochastic control theory, we identify the optimal strategies of agents with market…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-01 Olivier Féron , Peter Tankov , Laura Tinsi

This paper applies computational techniques of convex stochastic optimization to optimal operation and valuation of electricity storages in the face of uncertain electricity prices. Our valuations are based on the indifference pricing…

The increasing penetration of variable renewable energy and flexible demand technologies, such as electric vehicles and heat pumps, introduces significant uncertainty in power systems, resulting in greater imbalance; defined as the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-08 Timothée Hornek , Sergio Potenciano Menci , Ivan Pavić

With the increasing integration of power plants into the frequency-regulation markets, the importance of optimal trading has grown substantially. This paper conducts an in-depth analysis of their optimal trading behavior in sequential…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-30 Saeed Nordin , Abolfazl Khodadadi , Priyanka Shinde , Evelin Blom , Mohammad Reza Hesamzadeh , Lennart Söder

We consider the problem of optimal trading for a power producer in the context of intraday electricity markets. The aim is to minimize the imbalance cost induced by the random residual demand in electricity, i.e. the consumption from the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-27 René Aïd , Pierre Gruet , Huyên Pham

Efficient markets are characterised by profit-driven participants continuously refining their positions towards the latest insights. Margins for profit generation are generally small, shaping a difficult landscape for automated trading…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-04-16 Robin Bruneel , Mathijs Schuurmans , Panagiotis Patrinos

Intraday electricity markets play an increasingly important role in balancing the intermittent generation of renewable energy resources, which creates a need for accurate probabilistic price forecasts. However, research to date has focused…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-15 Simon Hirsch , Florian Ziel

Recent studies concerning the point electricity price forecasting have shown evidence that the hourly German Intraday Continuous Market is weak-form efficient. Therefore, we take a novel, advanced approach to the problem. A probabilistic…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-02 Michał Narajewski , Florian Ziel

The large integration of variable energy resources is expected to shift a large part of the energy exchanges closer to real-time, where more accurate forecasts are available. In this context, the short-term electricity markets and in…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-14 Ioannis Boukas , Damien Ernst , Thibaut Théate , Adrien Bolland , Alexandre Huynen , Martin Buchwald , Christelle Wynants , Bertrand Cornélusse

We study price formation in intraday electricity markets in the presence of intermittent renewable generation. We consider the setting where a major producer may interact strategically with a large number of small producers. Using…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-17 Olivier Féron , Peter Tankov , Laura Tinsi

An important revenue stream for electric battery operators is often arbitraging the hourly price spreads in the day-ahead auction. The optimal approach to this is challenging if risk is a consideration as this requires the estimation of…

Applications · Statistics 2021-09-01 Ekaterina Abramova , Derek Bunn

We study a regulation problem for stochastic systems subject to both continuous fluctuations and rare but significant shocks, modeled as a jump-diffusion with uncertainty in both the drift and the jump intensity. Such settings arise in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Abel Azze , Bernardo D'Auria , Giorgio Ferrari

The increased market penetration of renewable energy sources and the rapid development of electric battery storage technologies yield a potential for reducing electricity price volatility while maintaining stability of the power grid. This…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-06-13 Juri Hinz , Jeremy Yee

With the growing global emphasis on sustainability and the implementation of contemporary environmental policies, photovoltaic (PV) generation is playing an increasingly important role in modern power systems, while its intrinsic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Alfredo Bermúdez , Iago Padín

During the last years, European intraday power markets have gained importance for balancing forecast errors due to the rising volumes of intermittent renewable generation. However, compared to day-ahead markets, the drivers for the intraday…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-06 Simon Hirsch , Florian Ziel

We study a stochastic optimal control problem motivated by the operation of a large ensemble of residential storage devices coordinated by an energy aggregator. The aggregator remunerates prosumers in exchange for direct control of their…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-03 Margherita Fabini , Andrea Pascucci , Alessio Rondelli

Hydro storage system optimization is becoming one of the most challenging tasks in Energy Finance. While currently the state-of-the-art of the commercial software in the industry implements mainly linear models, we would like to introduce…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-28 Simone Farinelli , Luisa Tibiletti

Continuous intraday electricity markets play an increasingly important role in short-term trading and balancing, yet decision-making under rapidly evolving price dynamics remains challenging. This paper proposes a comprehensive framework…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-14 Andrzej Puć , Joanna Janczura

We formulate a continuous-time competitive equilibrium model of irreversible capacity investment in which a continuum of heterogeneous producers supplies a single non-durable good subject to exogenous stochastic demand. Each producer…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-04 Constantinos Kardaras , Alexandros Pavlis , Mihail Zervos
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