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Social behaviour models are increasingly integrated into climate change studies, and the significance of climate tipping points for `runaway' climate change is well recognised. However, there has been insufficient focus on tipping points in…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-01-27 Yazdan Babazadeh Maghsoodlo , Madhur Anand , Chris T. Bauch

Understanding the complex interactions between land surface and atmosphere is essential to improve weather and climate predictions. Various numerical experiments have suggested that regions of strong coupling strength (hotspots) are located…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-12-05 Jun Yin , Amilcare Porporato

The Planetary Boundary for Climate Change has been surpassed, and humanity must therefore decide on a pathway back to the safe operating space below the Planetary boundaries to minimise the risk of deleterious or even catastrophic…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-09-02 Steffen Petersen , Morten W. Ryberg , Morten Birkved

Observed changes such as increasing global temperatures and the intensification of the global water cycle in the 20th century are also robust results of coupled general circulation models. In spite of this success model-to-model variability…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2011-09-30 Beate G. Liepert , Michael Previdi

Societal transformations are necessary to address critical global challenges, such as mitigation of anthropogenic climate change and reaching UN sustainable development goals. Recently, social tipping processes have received increased…

In an ecosystem, environmental changes as a result of natural and human processes can cause some key parameters of the system to change with time. Depending on how fast such a parameter changes, a tipping point can occur. Existing works on…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-11-16 Shirin Panahi , Younghae Do , Alan Hastings , Ying-Cheng Lai

Weather extremes are a major societal and economic hazard, claiming thousands of lives and causing billions of dollars in damage every year. Under climate change, their impact and intensity are expected to worsen significantly.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-24 Antoine Blanchard , Nishant Parashar , Boyko Dodov , Christian Lessig , Themistoklis Sapsis

The climate system is a forced, dissipative, nonlinear, complex and heterogeneous system that is out of thermodynamic equilibrium. The system exhibits natural variability on many scales of motion, in time as well as space, and it is subject…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-08-05 Michael Ghil , Valerio Lucarini

The stability and ability of an ecosystem to withstand climate change is directly linked to its biodiversity. Dead trees are a key indicator of overall forest health, housing one-third of forest ecosystem biodiversity, and constitute 8%of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Jacquelyn A. Shelton , Przemyslaw Polewski , Wei Yao , Marco Heurich

Global environmental change is pushing many socio-environmental systems towards critical thresholds, where ecological systems' states are on the precipice of tipping points and interventions are needed to navigate or avert impending…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-04-23 Andrew R. Tilman , Elisabeth H. Krueger , Lisa C. McManus , James R. Watson

When Austrian hydropower production plummeted by 44% in early 2025 due to reduced snowpack, it exposed a critical vulnerability: standard meteorological and climatological datasets systematically fail in mountain regions that hold untapped…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-11-11 Irene Schicker , Marianne Bügelmayer-Blaschek , Annemarie Lexer , Katharina Baier , Kristofer Hasel , Paolo Gazzaneo

The state of earth's climate is constrained by well-known physical principles such as energy balance and the conservation of energy. Increased greenhouse gas concentrations affect the atmospheric optical depth, and physical consistency…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2011-06-27 Rasmus E. Benestad

The mean world climate has warmed since the 19th Century as the anthropogenic emission of greenhouse gases has increased the atmospheric opacity to thermal infrared radiation. Has this warming increased the frequency or severity of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-09-19 S. Wang , J. I Katz

Based on suggested interactions of potential tipping elements in the Earth's climate and in ecological systems, tipping cascades as possible dynamics are increasingly discussed and studied as their activation would impose a considerable…

Planets similar to Earth - but slightly more irradiated - are expected to enter into a runaway greenhouse state, where all surface water rapidly evaporates, forming an optically thick H2O-dominated atmosphere. For Earth, this extreme…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2019-07-31 Martin Turbet , David Ehrenreich , Christophe Lovis , Emeline Bolmont , Thomas Fauchez

A set of idealized experiments are performed to analyze the competing effects of declining atmospheric CO2 concentrations, the opening of an ocean gateway, and varying orbital parameters. These forcing mechanisms, which influence the global…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-02-04 Eileen Hertwig , Frank Lunkeit , Klaus Fraedrich

In the context of global warming, tree populations rely on two primary mechanisms of adaptation: phenotypic plasticity, which enables individuals to adjust their behavior in response to environmental stress, and genetic evolution, driven by…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-27 Sirine Boucenna , Vasilis Dakos , Gaël Raoul

Energy conservation in buildings is a paramount concern to combat greenhouse gas emissions and combat climate change. The efficient management of room occupancy, involving actions like lighting control and climate adjustment, is a pivotal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-25 Siqi Mao , Yaping Yuan , Yinpu Li , Ziren Wang , Yuanxin Yao , Yixin Kang

In the past decades human activities caused global Earth system changes, e.g., climate change or biodiversity loss. Simultaneously, these associated impacts have increased environmental awareness within societies across the globe, thereby…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-05-11 Paul Manuel Müller , Jobst Heitzig , Jürgen Kurths , Kathy Lüdge , Marc Wiedermann

The Tibetan Plateau (TP), known as the "Asian Water Tower," is currently undergoing a rapid wetting trend. While this moisture increase is often viewed as beneficial for water availability, it remains unclear whether the hydrological system…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-07 Yiran Xie , Teng Liu , Xuan Ma , Yingshuo Lyu , Xu Wang , Yatong Qian , Yongwen Zhang , Ming Wang , Xiaosong Chen