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Test time adaptation (TTA) equips deep learning models to handle unseen test data that deviates from the training distribution, even when source data is inaccessible. While traditional TTA methods often rely on entropy as a confidence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-17 Afshar Shamsi , Rejisa Becirovic , Ahmadreza Argha , Ehsan Abbasnejad , Hamid Alinejad-Rokny , Arash Mohammadi

Multi-fidelity Gaussian process is a common approach to address the extensive computationally demanding algorithms such as optimization, calibration and uncertainty quantification. Adaptive sampling for multi-fidelity Gaussian process is a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-30 Sayan Ghosh , Jesper Kristensen , Yiming Zhang , Waad Subber , Liping Wang

Probabilistic encoding introduces Gaussian noise into neural networks, enabling a smooth transition from deterministic to uncertain states and enhancing generalization ability. However, the randomness of Gaussian noise distorts point-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-24 Pengjiu Xia , Yidian Huang , Wenchao Wei , Yuwen Tan

This paper aims first at a simultaneous axiomatic presentation of the proof of optimal convergence rates for adaptive finite element methods and second at some refinements of particular questions like the avoidance of (discrete) lower…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-03-14 Carsten Carstensen , Michael Feischl , Marcus Page , Dirk Praetorius

Given a mixture between two populations of coins, "positive" coins that each have -- unknown and potentially different -- bias $\geq\frac{1}{2}+\Delta$ and "negative" coins with bias $\leq\frac{1}{2}-\Delta$, we consider the task of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-08 Jasper C. H. Lee , Paul Valiant

Heavy-tailed errors impair the accuracy of the least squares estimate, which can be spoiled by a single grossly outlying observation. As argued in the seminal work of Peter Huber in 1973 [{\it Ann. Statist.} {\bf 1} (1973) 799--821], robust…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-16 Wen-Xin Zhou , Koushiki Bose , Jianqing Fan , Han Liu

Sequential change-point detection when the distribution parameters are unknown is a fundamental problem in statistics and machine learning. When the post-change parameters are unknown, we consider a set of detection procedures based on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-06 Yang Cao , Liyan Xie , Yao Xie , Huan Xu

We consider the problem of Bayesian optimization of a one-dimensional Brownian motion in which the $T$ adaptively chosen observations are corrupted by Gaussian noise. We show that as the smallest possible expected cumulative regret and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-19 Zexin Wang , Vincent Y. F. Tan , Jonathan Scarlett

In the analysis of survey data it is of interest to estimate and quantify uncertainty about means or totals for each of several non-overlapping subpopulations, or areas. When the sample size for a given area is small, standard confidence…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-26 Kyle Burris , Peter Hoff

This paper investigates the adaptive identification and prediction problems for stochastic dynamical systems with saturated observations, which arise from various fields in engineering and social systems, but up to now still lack…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-19 Lantian Zhang , Lei Guo

This paper presents a tractable algorithm for estimating an unknown Lipschitz function from noisy observations and establishes an upper bound on its convergence rate. The approach extends max-affine methods from convex shape-restricted…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-20 Gábor Balázs

Modern end-to-end automatic speech recognition (ASR) models like Whisper not only suffer from reduced recognition accuracy in noise, but also exhibit overconfidence - assigning high confidence to wrong predictions. We conduct a systematic…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-10 Mingyue Huo , Yuheng Zhang , Yan Tang

We investigate the problem of covert quickest change detection in a Bayesian and infinite-horizon setting. A legitimate entity seeks to detect a change in the state of a discrete memoryless channel as quickly as possible by actively probing…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Yun-Feng Lo , Matthieu R. Bloch

We study the problem of adaptive variable selection in a Gaussian white noise model of intensity $\varepsilon$ under certain sparsity and regularity conditions on an unknown regression function $f$. The $d$-variate regression function $f$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-04 Natalia Stepanova , Marie Turcicova

Randomized controlled trials often suffer from interference, a violation of the Stable Unit Treatment Values Assumption (SUTVA) in which a unit's treatment assignment affects the outcomes of its neighbors. This interference causes bias in…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-06 Vydhourie Thiyageswaran , Tyler McCormick , Jennifer Brennan

In this paper, we consider the problem of noiseless non-adaptive probabilistic group testing, in which the goal is high-probability recovery of the defective set. We show that in the case of $n$ items among which $k$ are defective, the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-07-30 Wei Heng Bay , Eric Price , Jonathan Scarlett

We study a discrete-in-time data-assimilation algorithm based on nudging through a time-delayed feedback control in which the observational measurements have been contaminated by a Gaussian noise process. In the context of the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-09-08 Emine Celik , Eric Olson

We study the problem of robust linear regression with response variable corruptions. We consider the oblivious adversary model, where the adversary corrupts a fraction of the responses in complete ignorance of the data. We provide a nearly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-21 Arun Sai Suggala , Kush Bhatia , Pradeep Ravikumar , Prateek Jain

The main contribution of the paper is proving that the Fourier spot volatility estimator introduced in [Malliavin and Mancino, 2002] is consistent and asymptotically efficient if the price process is contaminated by microstructure noise.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-20 Maria Elvira Mancino , Tommaso Mariotti , Giacomo Toscano

We consider the problem of optimizing an unknown (typically non-convex) function with a bounded norm in some Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space (RKHS), based on noisy bandit feedback. We consider a novel variant of this problem in which the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-05 Ilija Bogunovic , Andreas Krause , Jonathan Scarlett