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An empirical Bayes confidence interval has high user demand in many applications. In particular, the second-order empirical Bayes confidence interval, the coverage error of which is of the third order for large number of areas, is widely…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-28 Masayo Y. Hirose

The problem of univariate mean change point detection and localization based on a sequence of $n$ independent observations with piecewise constant means has been intensively studied for more than half century, and serves as a blueprint for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-07 Daren Wang , Yi Yu , Alessandro Rinaldo

We focus on the problem estimating a monotone trend function under additive and dependent noise. New point-wise confidence interval estimators under both short- and long-range dependent errors are introduced and studied. These intervals are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-23 Pramita Bagchi , Moulinath Banerjee , Stilian Stoev

This paper studies a Bayesian approach to non-asymptotic minimax adaptation in nonparametric estimation. Estimating an input function on the basis of output functions in a Gaussian white-noise model is discussed. The input function is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-30 Keisuke Yano , Fumiyasu Komaki

In adaptive data analysis, the user makes a sequence of queries on the data, where at each step the choice of query may depend on the results in previous steps. The releases are often randomized in order to reduce overfitting for such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-02-16 Yu-Xiang Wang , Jing Lei , Stephen E. Fienberg

We study the problem of robust mean estimation with adversarially contaminated data under star-shaped constraints in a heavy-tailed noise setting, where only a finite second moment $ \sigma ^2 $ is assumed. For a contamination level $…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Tuorui Peng , Akshay Prasadan , Matey Neykov

We consider the non-parametric regression problem under Huber's $\epsilon$-contamination model, in which an $\epsilon$ fraction of observations are subject to arbitrary adversarial noise. We first show that a simple local binning median…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-29 Simon S. Du , Yining Wang , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Pradeep Ravikumar , Aarti Singh

We consider the observations of an unknown $s$-sparse vector ${\boldsymbol \theta}$ corrupted by Gaussian noise with zero mean and unknown covariance matrix ${\boldsymbol \Sigma}$. We propose minimax optimal methods of estimating the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Yuhao Wang , Pengkun Yang , Alexandre B. Tsybakov

Conformal inference provides a rigorous statistical framework for uncertainty quantification in machine learning, enabling well-calibrated prediction sets with precise coverage guarantees for any classification model. However, its reliance…

We apply FDR thresholding to a non-Gaussian vector whose coordinates X_i, i=1,..., n, are independent exponential with individual means $\mu_i$. The vector $\mu =(\mu_i)$ is thought to be sparse, with most coordinates 1 but a small fraction…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 David Donoho , Jiashun Jin

We study the fundamental problem of learning the parameters of a high-dimensional Gaussian in the presence of noise -- where an $\varepsilon$-fraction of our samples were chosen by an adversary. We give robust estimators that achieve…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2017-11-07 Ilias Diakonikolas , Gautam Kamath , Daniel M. Kane , Jerry Li , Ankur Moitra , Alistair Stewart

We study Gaussian sparse estimation tasks in Huber's contamination model with a focus on mean estimation, PCA, and linear regression. For each of these tasks, we give the first sample and computationally efficient robust estimators with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-18 Ilias Diakonikolas , Daniel M. Kane , Sushrut Karmalkar , Ankit Pensia , Thanasis Pittas

Test-time adaptation (TTA) seeks to tackle potential distribution shifts between training and test data by adapting a given model w.r.t. any test sample. Although recent TTA has shown promising performance, we still face two key challenges:…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-27 Mingkui Tan , Guohao Chen , Jiaxiang Wu , Yifan Zhang , Yaofo Chen , Peilin Zhao , Shuaicheng Niu

We consider a linear regression model with regression parameter beta=(beta_1,...,beta_p) and independent and identically N(0,sigma^2) distributed errors. Suppose that the parameter of interest is theta = a^T beta where a is a specified…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-18 Paul Kabaila , Khageswor Giri

A method is introduced for approximate marginal likelihood inference via adaptive Gaussian quadrature in mixed models with a single grouping factor. The core technical contribution is an algorithm for computing the exact gradient of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-13 Alex Stringer

This paper deals with the parametric inference for integrated signals embedded in an additive Gaussian noise and observed at deterministic discrete instants which are not necessarily equidistant. The unknown parameter is multidimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-18 Dominique Dehay , Khalil El Waled , Vincent Monsan

This paper studies the problem of clustering in the two-component Gaussian mixture model where the centers are separated by $2\Delta$ for some $\Delta>0$. We characterize the exact phase transition threshold, given by $$ \bar{\Delta}_n^{2}…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-07 Mohamed Ndaoud

Sensor calibration is an indispensable task in any networked cyberphysical system. In this paper, we consider a sensor network plagued with offset errors, measuring a rank-1 signal subspace, where each sensor collects measurements under a…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-14 Raj Thilak Rajan

In an indirect Gaussian sequence space model lower and upper bounds are derived for the concentration rate of the posterior distribution of the parameter of interest shrinking to the parameter value $\theta^\circ$ that generates the data.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-03 Jan Johannes , Anna Simoni , Rudolf Schenk

The problem of detecting a wide-sense stationary Gaussian signal process embedded in white Gaussian noise, where the power spectral density of the signal process exhibits uncertainty, is investigated. The performance of minimax robust…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2010-05-03 Wenyi Zhang , H. Vincent Poor