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In this paper we develop a consistent variable selection procedure for GARCH-X models that identifies the truly relevant exogenous covariates influencing volatility dynamics. The proposed method is based on a multiple hypothesis testing…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-29 Adriano Zanin Zambom , Beck Saunders

Let X be a d dimensional vector of covariates and Y be the response variable. Under the nonparametric model Y = m(X) + {\sigma}(X) \in we develop an ANOVA-type test for the null hypothesis that a particular coordinate of X has no influence…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-05-31 Adriano Zanin Zambom , Michael Akritas

In this paper, we are concerned with how to select significant variables in semiparametric modeling. Variable selection for semiparametric regression models consists of two components: model selection for nonparametric components and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Runze Li , Hua Liang

Semiparametric regression offers a flexible framework for modeling non-linear relationships between a response and covariates. A prime example are generalized additive models where splines (say) are used to approximate non-linear functional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-05 Francis K. C. Hui , Chong You , Han Lin Shang , Samuel Müller

The complexity of semiparametric models poses new challenges to statistical inference and model selection that frequently arise from real applications. In this work, we propose new estimation and variable selection procedures for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-03-09 Bo Kai , Runze Li , Hui Zou

In extracting time series data from various sources, it is inevitable to compile variables measured at varying frequencies as this is often dependent on the source. Modeling from these data can be facilitated by aggregating high frequency…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-05 Jetrei Benedick R. Benito , Joseph Ryan G. Lansangan , Erniel B. Barrios

In this paper, we develop a complete methodology for detecting time-varying/non time-varying parameters in ARCH processes. For this purpose, we estimate and test various semiparametric versions of the time-varying ARCH model (tv-ARCH) which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-04 Lionel Truquet

During the last decades there has been increasing interest in modeling the volatility of financial data. Several parametric models have been proposed to this aim, starting from ARCH, GARCH and their variants, but often it is hard to…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-28 Francesco Giordano , Maria Lucia Parrella

In this paper, we introduce an asymptotic test procedure to assess the stability of volatilities and cross-volatilites of linear and nonlinear multivariate time series models. The test is very flexible as it can be applied, for example, to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-20 Alexander Aue , Siegfried Hörmann , Lajos Horváth , Matthew Reimherr

Prediction with the possibility of abstention (or selective prediction) is an important problem for error-critical machine learning applications. While well-studied in the classification setup, selective approaches to regression are much…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-29 Fedor Noskov , Alexander Fishkov , Maxim Panov

A class of estimating functions is introduced for the regression parameter of the Cox proportional hazards model to allow unknown failure statuses on some study subjects. The consistency and asymptotic normality of the resulting estimators…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-08-22 Irene Gijbels , Danyu Lin , Zhiliang Ying

Interactions among multiple time series of positive random variables are crucial in diverse financial applications, from spillover effects to volatility interdependence. A popular model in this setting is the vector Multiplicative Error…

Computation · Statistics 2021-07-12 Nicola Donelli , Stefano Peluso , Antonietta Mira

Semiparametric single-index assumptions are convenient and widely used dimen\-sion reduction approaches that represent a compromise between the parametric and fully nonparametric models for regressions or conditional laws. In a mean…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-21 Samuel Maistre , Valentin Patilea

In this paper, we study a general class of causal processes with exogenous covariates, including many classical processes such as the ARMA-GARCH, APARCH, ARMAX, GARCH-X and APARCH-X processes. Under some Lipschitz-type conditions, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-07 Mamadou Lamine Diop , William Kengne

Over the last decade, nonparametric methods have gained increasing attention for modeling complex data structures due to their flexibility and minimal structural assumptions. In this paper, we study a general multivariate nonparametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-18 Kunal Rai , Archi Roy , Itai Dattner , Soudeep Deb

This paper presents a novel approach to stochastic volatility (SV) modeling by utilizing nonparametric techniques that enhance our ability to capture the volatility of financial time series data, with a particular emphasis on the…

Computation · Statistics 2025-02-18 Yudong Feng , Ashis Gangopadhyay

This paper presents a model selection technique of estimation in semiparametric regression models of the type Y_i=\beta^{\prime}\underbarX_i+f(T_i)+W_i, i=1,...,n. The parametric and nonparametric components are estimated simultaneously by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Florentina Bunea

This paper focuses on variable selection for a partially linear single-index varying-coefficient model. A regularized variable selection procedure by combining basis function approximations with SCAD penalty is proposed. It can…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-19 Lijuan Han , Liugen Xue , Junshan Xie

High-dimensional covariates often admit linear factor structure. To effectively screen correlated covariates in high-dimension, we propose a conditional variable screening test based on non-parametric regression using neural networks due to…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-08-21 Jianqing Fan , Weining Wang , Yue Zhao

We provide a nonparametric method for the computation of instantaneous multivariate volatility for continuous semi-martingales, which is based on Fourier analysis. The co-volatility is reconstructed as a stochastic function of time by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-14 Paul Malliavin , Maria Elvira Mancino
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