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We present new methods for batch anomaly detection in multivariate time series. Our methods are based on maximizing the Kullback-Leibler divergence between the data distribution within and outside an interval of the time series. An…

Covariance matrix estimation is one of the most important problems in statistics. To accommodate the complexity of modern datasets, it is desired to have estimation procedures that not only can incorporate the structural assumptions of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-13 Mengjie Chen , Chao Gao , Zhao Ren

The Minimum Covariance Determinant (MCD) method is a widely adopted tool for robust estimation and outlier detection. In this paper, we introduce MCD model selection based on the notion of stability. Our best subset method leverages prior…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-02 Qiang Heng , Hui Shen , Kenneth Lange

The autocovariance least squares (ALS) method is a computationally efficient approach for estimating noise covariances in Kalman filters without requiring specific noise models. However, conventional ALS and its variants rely on the classic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Jiahong Li , Fang Deng

This paper deals with the problem of estimating the covariance matrix of a series of independent multivariate observations, in the case where the dimension of each observation is of the same order as the number of observations. Although…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-06-03 Jianfeng Yao , Abla Kammoun , Jamal Najim

Robust estimators of location and dispersion are often used in the elliptical model to obtain an uncontaminated and highly representative subsample by trimming the data outside an ellipsoid based in the associated Mahalanobis distance. Here…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-14 Juan A. Cuesta-Albertos , Carlos Matrán , Agustín Mayo-Iscar

Outlier detection aims to identify unusual data instances that deviate from expected patterns. The outlier detection is particularly challenging when outliers are context dependent and when they are defined by unusual combinations of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-05-18 Charmgil Hong , Milos Hauskrecht

Empirical Bayes small area estimation based on the well-known Fay-Herriot model may produce unreliable estimates when outlying areas exist. Existing robust methods against outliers or model misspecification are generally inefficient when…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-28 Daisuke Kurisu , Takuya Ishihara , Shonosuke Sugasawa

Model averaging, as an appealing ensemble technique, strategically integrates all valuable information from candidate models to construct fast and accurate prediction. Despite of having been widely practiced in many fields such as…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-17 Zhuang Yong , Lv Jing , Tingting Li

Multivariate linear regression is a fundamental statistical task, but classical estimators such as ordinary least squares are highly sensitive to outliers. These may occur as casewise outliers that affect entire observations, or as outlying…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-11 Fabio Centofanti , Mia Hubert , Peter J. Rousseeuw

Estimation of covariance matrices or their inverses plays a central role in many statistical methods. For these methods to work reliably, estimated matrices must not only be invertible but also well-conditioned. In this paper we present an…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-08-06 Eric C. Chi , Kenneth Lange

Robust estimators of large covariance matrices are considered, comprising regularized (linear shrinkage) modifications of Maronna's classical M-estimators. These estimators provide robustness to outliers, while simultaneously being…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-04 Nicolas Auguin , David Morales-Jimenez , Matthew R. McKay , Romain Couillet

We introduce a multifidelity estimator of covariance matrices formulated as the solution to a regression problem on the manifold of symmetric positive definite matrices. The estimator is positive definite by construction, and the…

Computation · Statistics 2024-09-06 Aimee Maurais , Terrence Alsup , Benjamin Peherstorfer , Youssef Marzouk

Obtaining an accurate estimate of the underlying covariance matrix from finite sample size data is challenging due to sample size noise. In recent years, sophisticated covariance-cleaning techniques based on random matrix theory have been…

Computation · Statistics 2024-11-11 Christian Bongiorno , Lamia Lamrani

The covariance matrix plays a fundamental role in many modern exploratory and inferential statistical procedures, including dimensionality reduction, hypothesis testing, and regression. In low-dimensional regimes, where the number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-12 Philippe Boileau , Nima S. Hejazi , Mark J. van der Laan , Sandrine Dudoit

A new robust pairwise statistic, the pairwise median scaled difference (MSD), is proposed for the detection of anomalous location/uncertainty pairs in heteroscedastic interlaboratory study data with associated uncertainties. The…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-05 Stephen L. R. Ellison

Outlier detection is an integral part of robust evaluation for crowdsourceable Quality of Experience (QoE) and has attracted much attention in recent years. In QoE for multimedia, outliers happen because of different test conditions, human…

Multimedia · Computer Science 2014-10-23 Qianqian Xu , Ming Yan , Yuan Yao

The presence of outliers can prevent clustering algorithms from accurately determining an appropriate group structure within a data set. We present outlierMBC, a model-based approach for sequentially removing outliers and clustering the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-30 Ultán P. Doherty , Paul D. McNicholas , Arthur White

With contemporary data sets becoming too large to analyze the data directly, various forms of aggregated data are becoming common. The original individual data are points, but after aggregation, the observations are interval-valued (e.g.).…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-21 S. Yaser Samadi , L. Billard , Jiin-Huarng Guo , Wei Xu

Meta-analyses are commonly used to provide solid evidence across numerous studies. Traditional moment methods, such as the DerSimonian-Laird method, remain popular in spite of the availability of more accurate alternatives. While moment…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-06 Keisuke Hanada , Tomoyuki Sugimoto