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Predictions of uncertainty-aware models are diverse, ranging from single point estimates (often averaged over prediction samples) to predictive distributions, to set-valued or credal-set representations. We propose a novel unified…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Shireen Kudukkil Manchingal , Muhammad Mubashar , Kaizheng Wang , Fabio Cuzzolin

Unveiling individuals' preferences for connecting with similar others (choice homophily) beyond the structural factors determining the pool of opportunities, is a challenging task. Here, we introduce a robust methodology for quantifying and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-01-25 Sina Sajjadi , Samuel Martin-Gutierrez , Fariba Karimi

Bipartite experiments are a recent object of study in causal inference, whereby treatment is applied to one set of units and outcomes of interest are measured on a different set of units. These experiments are particularly useful in…

We introduce two kinds of risk measures with respect to some reference probability measure, which both allow for a certain order structure and domination property. Analyzing their relation to each other leads to the question when a certain…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-15 Christa Cuchiero , Guido Gazzani , Irene Klein

When making decisions under uncertainty, individuals often deviate from rational behavior, which can be evaluated across three dimensions: risk preference, probability weighting, and loss aversion. Given the widespread use of large language…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-11-04 Jingru Jia , Zehua Yuan , Junhao Pan , Paul E. McNamara , Deming Chen

We consider a novel paradigm for Bayesian testing of hypotheses and Bayesian model comparison. Our alternative to the traditional construction of posterior probabilities that a given hypothesis is true or that the data originates from a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-01 Kaniav Kamary , Kerrie Mengersen , Christian P. Robert , Judith Rousseau

Accurately estimating uncertainties in neural network predictions is of great importance in building trusted DNNs-based models, and there is an increasing interest in providing accurate uncertainty estimation on many tasks, such as security…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-14 Yukun Ding , Jinglan Liu , Jinjun Xiong , Yiyu Shi

Existing approaches for the design of interpretable agent behavior consider different measures of interpretability in isolation. In this paper we posit that, in the design and deployment of human-aware agents in the real world, notions of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-11-24 Sarath Sreedharan , Anagha Kulkarni , Tathagata Chakraborti , David E. Smith , Subbarao Kambhampati

It is conventional wisdom in machine learning and data mining that logical models such as rule sets are more interpretable than other models, and that among such rule-based models, simpler models are more interpretable than more complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-09 Johannes Fürnkranz , Tomáš Kliegr , Heiko Paulheim

We investigate a class of binary choice models with social interactions. We propose a unifying perspective that integrates economic models using a utility function and psychological models using an impact function. A general approach for…

Specifying complex task behaviours while ensuring good robot performance may be difficult for untrained users. We study a framework for users to specify rules for acceptable behaviour in a shared environment such as industrial facilities.…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-07-25 Nils Wilde , Dana Kulic , Stephen L. Smith

Probabilistic confidence metrics are increasingly adopted as proxies for reasoning quality in Best-of-N selection, under the assumption that higher confidence reflects higher reasoning fidelity. In this work, we challenge this assumption by…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Hojin Kim , Jaehyung Kim

Motivated by certain applications from physics, biochemistry, economics, and computer science, in which the objects under investigation are not accessible because of various limitations, we propose a trial-and-error model to examine…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2013-04-19 Xiaohui Bei , Ning Chen , Shengyu Zhang

The human intrinsic desire to pursue knowledge, also known as curiosity, is considered essential in the process of skill acquisition. With the aid of artificial curiosity, we could equip current techniques for control, such as Reinforcement…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-24 Pietro Mazzaglia , Ozan Catal , Tim Verbelen , Bart Dhoedt

This paper argues that interpretability research in Artificial Intelligence (AI) is fundamentally ill-posed as existing definitions of interpretability fail to describe how interpretability can be formally tested or designed for. We posit…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-01-30 Pietro Barbiero , Mateo Espinosa Zarlenga , Francesco Giannini , Alberto Termine , Filippo Bonchi , Mateja Jamnik , Giuseppe Marra

Learning algorithms need bias to generalize and perform better than random guessing. We examine the flexibility (expressivity) of biased algorithms. An expressive algorithm can adapt to changing training data, altering its outcome based on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-13 Julius Lauw , Dominique Macias , Akshay Trikha , Julia Vendemiatti , George D. Montanez

Researchers in explainable artificial intelligence have developed numerous methods for helping users understand the predictions of complex supervised learning models. By contrast, explaining the $\textit{uncertainty}$ of model outputs has…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-01 David S. Watson , Joshua O'Hara , Niek Tax , Richard Mudd , Ido Guy

Minimizing divergence measures under a constraint is an important problem. We derive a sufficient condition that binary divergence measures provide lower bounds for symmetric divergence measures under a given triangular discrimination or…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-11-11 Tomohiro Nishiyama

Interpretability is a crucial aspect of machine learning models that enables humans to understand and trust the decision-making process of these models. In many real-world applications, the interpretability of models is essential for legal,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-18 Shree Charran R , Sandipan Das Mahapatra

Active learning algorithms select a subset of data for annotation to maximize the model performance on a budget. One such algorithm is Expected Gradient Length, which as the name suggests uses the approximate gradient induced per example in…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-06-02 Megh Shukla