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When data contains measurement errors, it is necessary to make assumptions relating the observed, erroneous data to the unobserved true phenomena of interest. These assumptions should be justifiable on substantive grounds, but are often…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-24 Noam Finkelstein , Roy Adams , Suchi Saria , Ilya Shpitser

We develop a generalized stability framework for stochastic discrete-time systems, where the generality pertains to the ways in which the distribution of the state energy can be characterized. We use tools from finance and operations…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-23 Margaret P. Chapman , Dionysios S. Kalogerias

In this paper, a two-step strategy for parametric sensitivity analysis for such systems is proposed, exploiting advantages and synergies between two recently proposed sensitivity analysis methodologies for stochastic dynamics. The first…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2016-02-17 Georgios Arampatzis , Markos A. Katsoulakis , Yannis Pantazis

Algorithmic fairness has emerged as an important consideration when using machine learning to make high-stakes societal decisions. Yet, improved fairness often comes at the expense of model accuracy. While aspects of the fairness-accuracy…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-02 Camille Olivia Little , Michael Weylandt , Genevera I Allen

Adversarial examples mainly exploit changes to input pixels to which humans are not sensitive to, and arise from the fact that models make decisions based on uninterpretable features. Interestingly, cognitive science reports that the…

An important class of structural models studies the determinants of skill formation and the optimal timing of interventions. In this paper, I provide new identification results for these models and investigate the effects of seemingly…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-03 Joachim Freyberger

The work relates to a new way for analysis of one-dimensional stochastic systems, based on consideration of its higher order difference structure. From this point of view, the deterministic and random processes are analyzed. A new numerical…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2016-09-08 A. Yu. Shahverdian , A. V. Apkarian

Bifurcation theory is the usual analytic approach to study the parameter space of a dynamical system. Despite the great power of prediction of these techniques, fundamental limitations appear during the study of a given problem. Nonlinear…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2023-10-02 Alexandre Wagemakers , Alvar Daza , Miguel A. F. Sanjuán

We study the statistical inference of nonlinear stochastic approximation algorithms utilizing a single trajectory of Markovian data. Our methodology has practical applications in various scenarios, such as Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-21 Xiang Li , Jiadong Liang , Zhihua Zhang

The classical approach to system identification is based on stochastic assumptions about the measurement error, and provides estimates that have random nature. Worst-case identification, on the other hand, only assumes the knowledge of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2013-06-07 Fabrizio Dabbene , Mario Sznaier , Roberto Tempo

Algorithmic stability is a central concept in statistics and learning theory that measures how sensitive an algorithm's output is to small changes in the training data. Stability plays a crucial role in understanding generalization,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Abhinav Chakraborty , Yuetian Luo , Rina Foygel Barber

Intercurrent events, common in clinical trials and observational studies, affect the existence or interpretation of final outcomes. Principal stratification addresses this challenge by defining local average treatment effect estimands…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-22 Jiaqi Tong , Brennan Kahan , Michael O. Harhay , Fan Li

Stochastic hydrodynamics is a central tool in the study of first order phase transitions at a fundamental level. Combined with sophisticated free energy models, e.g. as developed in classical Density Functional Theory, complex processes…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-08-08 James F. Lutsko

One problem of wide interest involves estimating expected crossing-times. Several tools have been developed to solve this problem beginning with the works of Wald and the theory of sequential analysis. An extension of his approach is…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-17 Mark Brown , Victor de la Pena , Tony Sit

A free boundary diffusive logistic model finds application in many different fields from biological invasion to wildfire propagation. However, many of these processes show a random nature and contain uncertainties in the parameters. In this…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-01-17 M. -C. Casabán , R. Company , V. N. Egorova , L. Jódar

Latent variable models have been playing a central role in psychometrics and related fields. In many modern applications, the inference based on latent variable models involves one or several of the following features: (1) the presence of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-08 Siliang Zhang , Yunxiao Chen

This thesis develops exact analytical tools to study strongly correlated stochastic systems, with a focus on extreme value statistics, gap statistics, and full counting statistics in multi-particle processes. A central contribution is the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-08-19 Marco Biroli

Stochastic constraints, which incorporate both deterministic parameters and random variables, extend classical deterministic constraints by explicitly accounting for uncertainty. These constraints are increasingly prevalent in data science,…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Xiakun Li , Hao Wu , Bican Xia , Tengshun Yang , Naijun Zhan

This report proposes a novel framework for a rigorous robustness analysis of stochastic biochemical systems. The technique is based on probabilistic model checking. We adapt the general definition of robustness introduced by Kitano to the…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2013-10-18 Lubos Brim , Milan Ceska , Sven Drazan , David Safranek

We consider the important problem of estimating parameter sensitivities for stochastic models of reaction networks that describe the dynamics as a continuous-time Markov process over a discrete lattice. These sensitivity values are useful…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-12 Ankit Gupta , Muruhan Rathinam , Mustafa Khammash
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