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Time series forecasting is a critical task in various domains, where accurate predictions can drive informed decision-making. Traditional forecasting methods often rely on current observations of variables to predict future outcomes,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Wentao Gao , Xiaojing Du , Wenjun Yu , Xiongren Chen , Yifan Guo , Feiyu Yang

Causal representation learning seeks to recover latent factors that generate observational data through a mixing function. Needing assumptions on latent structures or relationships to achieve identifiability in general, prior works often…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Kwonho Kim , Heejeong Nam , Inwoo Hwang , Sanghack Lee

Parkinson's disease (PD) shows heterogeneous, evolving brain-morphometry patterns. Modeling these longitudinal trajectories enables mechanistic insight, treatment development, and individualized 'digital-twin' forecasting. However, existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-10 Xiaoda Wang , Yuji Zhao , Kaiqiao Han , Xiao Luo , Sanne van Rooij , Jennifer Stevens , Lifang He , Liang Zhan , Yizhou Sun , Wei Wang , Carl Yang

Dynamic prediction of causal effects under different treatment regimes conditional on an individual's characteristics and longitudinal history is an essential problem in precision medicine. This is challenging in practice because outcomes…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-07 Yizhen Xu , Jisoo Kim , Laura K. Hummers , Ami A. Shah , Scott Zeger

While exogenous variables have a major impact on performance improvement in time series analysis, inter-series correlation and time dependence among them are rarely considered in the present continuous methods. The dynamical systems of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-26 Penglei Gao , Xi Yang , Rui Zhang , Ping Guo , John Y. Goulermas , Kaizhu Huang

Over the last decades, many prognostic models based on artificial intelligence techniques have been used to provide detailed predictions in healthcare. Unfortunately, the real-world observational data used to train and validate these models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-21 Alice Bernasconi , Alessio Zanga , Peter J. F. Lucas , Marco Scutari , Fabio Stella

Graph-based causal discovery methods aim to capture conditional independencies consistent with the observed data and differentiate causal relationships from indirect or induced ones. Successful construction of graphical models of data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-08 Boris Hayete , Fred Gruber , Anna Decker , Raymond Yan

The data-driven discovery of interpretable models approximating the underlying dynamics of a physical system has gained attraction in the past decade. Current approaches employ pre-specified functional forms or basis functions and often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-30 Rahul Golder , M. M. Faruque Hasan

We propose Characteristic-Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (C-NODEs), a framework for extending Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (NODEs) beyond ODEs. While NODEs model the evolution of a latent variables as the solution to an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-10 Xingzi Xu , Ali Hasan , Khalil Elkhalil , Jie Ding , Vahid Tarokh

Complex nonlinear dynamics are ubiquitous in many fields. Moreover, we rarely have access to all of the relevant state variables governing the dynamics. Delay embedding allows us, in principle, to account for unobserved state variables.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-27 Uttam Bhat , Stephan B. Munch

In this paper, we propose to model the video dynamics by learning the trajectory of independently inverted latent codes from GANs. The entire sequence is seen as discrete-time observations of a continuous trajectory of the initial latent…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-04-25 Weihao Xia , Yujiu Yang , Jing-Hao Xue

Neural networks are a popular tool for modeling sequential data but they generally do not treat time as a continuous variable. Neural ODEs represent an important exception: they parameterize the time derivative of a hidden state with a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-15 Sam Greydanus , Stefan Lee , Alan Fern

We demonstrate a machine learning based approach which can learn the time-dependent electronic excitation dynamics of small molecules subjected to ion irradiation. Ensembles of recurrent neural networks are trained on data generated by…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2024-09-24 Ethan P. Shapera , Cheng-Wei Lee

Capturing the underlying structural causal relations represented by Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAGs) has been a fundamental task in various AI disciplines. Causal DAG learning via the continuous optimization framework has recently achieved…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-11 Naiyu Yin , Tian Gao , Yue Yu , Qiang Ji

Measurement noise is an integral part while collecting data of a physical process. Thus, noise removal is necessary to draw conclusions from these data, and it often becomes essential to construct dynamical models using these data. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-20 Pawan Goyal , Peter Benner

This paper studies the cumulative causal effects of sequential treatments in the presence of unmeasured confounders. It is a critical issue in sequential decision-making scenarios where treatment decisions and outcomes dynamically evolve…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-15 Yingrong Wang , Anpeng Wu , Baohong Li , Ziyang Xiao , Ruoxuan Xiong , Qing Han , Kun Kuang

Dosing models often use differential equations to model biological dynamics. Neural differential equations in particular can learn to predict the derivative of a process, which permits predictions at irregular points of time. However, this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-27 Stav Belogolovsky , Ido Greenberg , Danny Eytan , Shie Mannor

Poverty is a complex dynamic challenge that cannot be adequately captured using predefined differential equations. Nowadays, artificial machine learning (ML) methods have demonstrated significant potential in modelling real-world dynamical…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Sandeep Kumar Samota , Snehashish Chakraverty , Narayan Sethi

Dissipative partial differential equations that exhibit chaotic dynamics tend to evolve to attractors that exist on finite-dimensional manifolds. We present a data-driven reduced order modeling method that capitalizes on this fact by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-20 Alec J. Linot , Michael D. Graham

Reinforcement learning algorithms typically consider discrete-time dynamics, even though the underlying systems are often continuous in time. In this paper, we introduce a model-based reinforcement learning algorithm that represents…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-01 Lenart Treven , Jonas Hübotter , Bhavya Sukhija , Florian Dörfler , Andreas Krause