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This article develops general conditions for weak convergence of adaptive Markov chain Monte Carlo processes and is shown to imply a weak law of large numbers for bounded Lipschitz continuous functions. This allows an estimation theory for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Austin Brown , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

To avoid poor empirical performance in Metropolis-Hastings and other accept-reject-based algorithms practitioners often tune them by trial and error. Lower bounds on the convergence rate are developed in both total variation and Wasserstein…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-04 Austin Brown , Galin L. Jones

Couplings play a central role in the analysis of Markov chain convergence and in the construction of novel Markov chain Monte Carlo estimators, diagnostics, and variance reduction techniques. The set of possible couplings is often…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-09 John O'Leary , Guanyang Wang

We prove a central limit theorem for a general class of adaptive Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms driven by sub-geometrically ergodic Markov kernels. We discuss in detail the special case of stochastic approximation. We use the result to…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-03 Yves F. Atchade , Gersende Fort

In this paper we study Markov chains associated with the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm. We consider conditions under which the sequence of the successive densities of such a chain converges to the target density according to the total…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-16 Dimiter Tsvetkov , Lyubomir Hristov , Ralitsa Angelova-Slavova

We investigate the problem of quantifying contraction coefficients of Markov transition kernels in Kantorovich ($L^1$ Wasserstein) distances. For diffusion processes, relatively precise quantitative bounds on contraction rates have recently…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-22 Andreas Eberle , Mateusz B. Majka

It is commonly admitted that non-reversible Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms usually yield more accurate MCMC estimators than their reversible counterparts. In this note, we show that in addition to their variance reduction…

Computation · Statistics 2019-08-27 Marie Vialaret , Florian Maire

We investigate the use of a certain class of functional inequalities known as weak Poincar\'e inequalities to bound convergence of Markov chains to equilibrium. We show that this enables the straightforward and transparent derivation of…

Computation · Statistics 2024-09-25 Christophe Andrieu , Anthony Lee , Sam Power , Andi Q. Wang

When implementing Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms, perturbation caused by numerical errors is sometimes inevitable. This paper studies how perturbation of MCMC affects the convergence speed and Monte Carlo estimation accuracy.…

Computation · Statistics 2026-01-14 Tiangang Cui , Jing Dong , Ajay Jasra , Xin T. Tong

Using the framework of weak Poincar\'{e} inequalities, we analyze the convergence properties of deterministic-scan Metropolis-within-Gibbs samplers, an important class of Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms. Our analysis applies to…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-17 Mengxi Gao , Gareth O. Roberts , Andi Q. Wang

The paper studies an improved estimate for the rate of convergence for nonlinear homogeneous discrete-time Markov chains. These processes are nonlinear in terms of the distribution law. Hence, the transition kernels are dependent on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-21 Aleksandr Shchegolev

We give a number of results on approximations of Markov kernels in total variation and Wasserstein norms weighted by a Lyapunov function. The results are applied to examples from Bayesian statistics where approximations to transition…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-09 James E. Johndrow , Jonathan C. Mattingly

We develop a theory of weak Poincar\'e inequalities to characterize convergence rates of ergodic Markov chains. Motivated by the application of Markov chains in the context of algorithms, we develop a relevant set of tools which enable the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-11 Christophe Andrieu , Anthony Lee , Sam Power , Andi Q. Wang

A common tool in the practice of Markov Chain Monte Carlo is to use approximating transition kernels to speed up computation when the desired kernel is slow to evaluate or intractable. A limited set of quantitative tools exist to assess the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Jeffrey Negrea , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

Adaptive and interacting Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms (MCMC) have been recently introduced in the literature. These novel simulation algorithms are designed to increase the simulation efficiency to sample complex distributions.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-15 G. Fort , E. Moulines , P. Priouret

Convergence rates in spectral regularization methods quantify the approximation error in inverse problems as a function of the noise level or the number of sampling points. Classical strong convergence rate results typically rely on source…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-12-05 Sabrina Guastavino , Gabriele Santin , Francesco Marchetti , Federico Benvenuto

We study the weak convergence of iterates of so-called centred kernel quadratic stochastic operators. These iterations, in a population evolution setting, describe the additive perturbation of the arithmetic mean of the traits of an…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-23 Krzysztof Bartoszek , Joachim Domsta , Małgorzata Pułka

We investigate the application of Weak Poincar\'e Inequalities (WPI) to Markov chains to study their rates of convergence and to derive complexity bounds. At a theoretical level we investigate the necessity of the existence of WPIs to…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-20 Christophe Andrieu , Anthony Lee , Sam Power , Andi Q. Wang

We investigate lower bounds on the subgeometric convergence of adaptive Markov chain Monte Carlo under any adaptation strategy. In particular, we prove general lower bounds in total variation and on the weak convergence rate under general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-17 Austin Brown , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

We connect known results about diffusion limits of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms to the Computer Science notion of algorithm complexity. Our main result states that any diffusion limit of a Markov process implies a…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-11-05 Gareth O. Roberts , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal
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