English
Related papers

Related papers: Holistic Decision-Making in Stopping Problems: Emp…

200 papers

This paper presents an online method that learns optimal decisions for a discrete time Markov decision problem with an opportunistic structure. The state at time $t$ is a pair $(S(t),W(t))$ where $S(t)$ takes values in a finite set…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-08-13 Michael J. Neely

Partial-monitoring games constitute a mathematical framework for sequential decision making problems with imperfect feedback: The learner repeatedly chooses an action, opponent responds with an outcome, and then the learner suffers a loss…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2011-10-13 András Antos , Gábor Bartók , Dávid Pál , Csaba Szepesvári

Decision making in modern large-scale and complex systems such as communication networks, smart electricity grids, and cyber-physical systems motivate novel game-theoretic approaches. This paper investigates big strategic (non-cooperative)…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-09-22 Tansu Alpcan , Benjamin I. P. Rubinstein , Christopher Leckie

The dynamics of decisions in complex networks is studied within a Markov process framework using numerical simulations combined with mathematical insight into the process mechanisms. A mathematical discrete-time model is derived based on a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-11-01 Carlos Rodríguez Lucatero , Luis Alarcón , Roberto Bernal Jaquez , Alexander Schaum

Economists often estimate economic models on data and use the point estimates as a stand-in for the truth when studying the model's implications for optimal decision-making. This practice ignores model ambiguity, exposes the decision…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-10-07 Maximilian Blesch , Philipp Eisenhauer

Dynamic game theory offers a toolbox for formalizing and solving for both cooperative and non-cooperative strategies in multi-agent scenarios. However, the optimal configuration of such games remains largely unexplored. While there is…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2025-08-18 Jesse Milzman , Jeffrey Mao , Giuseppe Loianno

We first study an optimal stopping problem in which a player (an agent) uses a discrete stopping time in order to stop optimally a payoff process whose risk is evaluated by a (non-linear) $g$-expectation. We then consider a non-zero-sum…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-11 Miryana Grigorova , Marie-Claire Quenez

We study "logit dynamics" [Blume, Games and Economic Behavior, 1993] for strategic games. This dynamics works as follows: at every stage of the game a player is selected uniformly at random and she plays according to a "noisy" best-response…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2015-05-18 Vincenzo Auletta , Diodato Ferraioli , Francesco Pasquale , Giuseppe Persiano

Standard Markovian optimal stopping problems are consistent in the sense that the first entrance time into the stopping set is optimal for each initial state of the process. Clearly, the usual concept of optimality cannot in a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-12-05 Sören Christensen , Kristoffer Lindensjö

When users can benefit from certain predictive outcomes, they may be prone to act to achieve those outcome, e.g., by strategically modifying their features. The goal in strategic classification is therefore to train predictive models that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-12 Guy Horowitz , Nir Rosenfeld

This paper proposes to use probabilistic model checking to synthesize optimal robot policies in multi-tasking autonomous systems that are subject to human-robot interaction. Given the convincing empirical evidence that human behavior can be…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-11-01 Sebastian Junges , Nils Jansen , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Ufuk Topcu

This work considers a novel information design problem and studies how the craft of payoff-relevant environmental signals solely can influence the behaviors of intelligent agents. The agents' strategic interactions are captured by an…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2021-02-16 Tao Zhang , Quanyan Zhu

The goal of this paper is to analyze distributional Markov Decision Processes as a class of control problems in which the objective is to learn policies that steer the distribution of a cumulative reward toward a prescribed target law,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-09 Nicole Bäuerle , Athanasios Vasileiadis

This paper presents a novel integrated approach to deal with the decision making and motion planning for lane-change maneuvers of autonomous vehicle (AV) considering social behaviors of surrounding traffic occupants. Reflected by driving…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-05-25 Peng Hang , Chen Lv , Chao Huang , Jiacheng Cai , Zhongxu Hu , Yang Xing

We study a general formulation of the classical two-player Dynkin game in a discrete time Markovian setting. We identify an appropriate class of mixed strategies -- \textit{Markovian randomized stopping times} -- in which players stop at…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-13 Sören Christensen , Kristoffer Lindensjö , Berenice Anne Neumann

We propose a multi-agent based computational framework for modeling decision-making and strategic interaction at micro level for smart vehicles in a smart world. The concepts of Markov game and best response dynamics are heavily leveraged.…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2022-01-05 Qi Dai , Xunnong Xu , Wen Guo , Suzhou Huang , Dimitar Filev

This paper is concerned with the controller-and-stopper stochastic differential game under a regime switching model in an infinite horizon. The state of the system consists of a number of diffusions \emph{coupled} by a continuous-time…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-02 Siyu Lv

A random sequence having two segments being the homogeneous Markov processes is registered. Each segment has his own transition probability law and the length of the segment is unknown and random. The transition probabilities of each…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-17 A. Ochman-Gozdek , W. Sarnowski , K. J. Szajowski

In dynamic programming and reinforcement learning, the policy for the sequential decision making of an agent in a stochastic environment is usually determined by expressing the goal as a scalar reward function and seeking a policy that…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-02-26 Simon Dima , Simon Fischer , Jobst Heitzig , Joss Oliver

We present a framework that incorporates the idea of bounded rationality into dynamic stochastic pursuit-evasion games. The solution of a stochastic game is characterized, in general, by its (Nash) equilibria in feedback form. However,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-17 Yue Guan , Dipankar Maity , Christopher M. Kroninger , Panagiotis Tsiotras