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Fitting a theoretical model to experimental data in a Bayesian manner using Markov chain Monte Carlo typically requires one to evaluate the model thousands (or millions) of times. When the model is a slow-to-compute physics simulation,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-25 Steven Stetzler , Michael Grosskopf , Earl Lawrence

Time-dependent deformation, particularly creep, in high-temperature alloys such as Inconel 625 is a key factor in the long-term reliability of components used in aerospace and energy systems. Although Inconel 625 shows excellent creep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-22 Shubham Das , Kaushal Singhania , Amit Sadhu , Suprabhat Das , Arghya Nandi

Accurate time series forecasting is crucial for optimizing resource allocation, industrial production, and urban management, particularly with the growth of cyber-physical and IoT systems. However, limited training sample availability in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-24 Yunyao Cheng , Chenjuan Guo , Kaixuan Chen , Kai Zhao , Bin Yang , Jiandong Xie , Christian S. Jensen , Feiteng Huang , Kai Zheng

This paper examines experimental design procedures used to develop surrogates of computational models, exploring the interplay between experimental designs and approximation algorithms. We focus on two widely used approximation approaches,…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2016-05-02 Alex A. Gorodetsky , Youssef M. Marzouk

Driving under varying road conditions is challenging, especially for autonomous vehicles that must adapt in real-time to changes in the environment, e.g., rain, snow, etc. It is difficult to apply offline learning-based methods in these…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-05-30 Tomáš Nagy , Ahmad Amine , Truong X. Nghiem , Ugo Rosolia , Zirui Zang , Rahul Mangharam

Earlier versions proposed Graded Projection Recursion (GPR) as a deterministic packed-recursion framework for model-honest near-quadratic dense matrix multiplication. This revised version withdraws the exact dense matrix multiplication…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Jeffrey Uhlmann

In this article, we evaluate the performance of a data-driven background estimate method based on Gaussian Process Regression (GPR). A realistic background spectrum from a search conducted by CMS is considered, where a large sub-region…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2025-08-20 Jackson Barr , Bingxuan Liu

While the analysis of airborne laser scanning (ALS) data often provides reliable estimates for certain forest stand attributes -- such as total volume or basal area -- there is still room for improvement, especially in estimating…

Applications · Statistics 2019-01-23 Petri Varvia , Timo Lähivaara , Matti Maltamo , Petteri Packalen , Aku Seppänen

This research proposes a flexible Bayesian extension of the composite Gaussian process (CGP) model of Ba and Joseph (2012) for predicting (stationary or) non-stationary $y(\mathbf{x})$. The CGP generalizes the regression plus stationary…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-27 Casey B. Davis , Christopher M. Hans , Thomas J. Santner

We present a multivariate Gaussian process regression approach for parameter field reconstruction based on the field's measurements collected at two different scales, the coarse and fine scales. The proposed approach treats the parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-19 David A. Barajas-Solano , Alexandre M. Tartakovsky

Exact Gaussian Process (GP) regression has O(N^3) runtime for data size N, making it intractable for large N. Many algorithms for improving GP scaling approximate the covariance with lower rank matrices. Other work has exploited structure…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-09-24 Elad Gilboa , Yunus Saatçi , John P. Cunningham

In the realm of statistical learning, the increasing volume of accessible data and increasing model complexity necessitate robust methodologies. This paper explores two branches of robust Bayesian methods in response to this trend. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-02 Masahiro Tanaka

Accurate channel state information (CSI) is critical for current and next-generation multi-antenna systems. Yet conventional pilot-based estimators incur prohibitive overhead as antenna counts grow. In this paper, we address this challenge…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-05 Syed Luqman Shah , Nurul Huda Mahmood , Italo Atzeni

Gaussian processes (GPs) are ubiquitous tools for modeling and predicting continuous processes in physical and engineering sciences. This is partly due to the fact that one may employ a Gaussian process as an interpolator while facilitating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-16 D. Andrew Brown , Peter Kiessler , John Nicholson

In this paper, we propose a novel learning-based robust feedback linearization strategy to ensure precise trajectory tracking for an important family of Lagrangian systems. We assume a nominal knowledge of the dynamics is given but no…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-07-16 Giulio Giacomuzzo , Mohamed Abdelwahab , Marco Calì , Alberto Dalla Libera , Ruggero Carli

Due to their conjugate posteriors, Gaussian process priors are attractive for estimating the drift of stochastic differential equations with continuous time observations. However, their performance strongly depends on the choice of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Jan van Waaij

Bayesian optimization (BO) based on Gaussian process regression (GPR) is applied to different CFD (computational fluid dynamics) problems which can be of practical relevance. The problems are i) shape optimization in a lid-driven cavity to…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-11-15 Y. Morita , S. Rezaeiravesh , N. Tabatabaei , R. Vinuesa , K. Fukagata , P. Schlatter

Gaussian Processes are widely used for regression tasks. A known limitation in the application of Gaussian Processes to regression tasks is that the computation of the solution requires performing a matrix inversion. The solution also…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-22 Sourish Das , Sasanka Roy , Rajiv Sambasivan

Gaussian processes (GPs) are widely used for regression and optimization tasks such as Bayesian optimization (BO) due to their expressiveness and principled uncertainty estimates. However, in settings with large datasets corrupted by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Marshal Arijona Sinaga , Julien Martinelli , Samuel Kaski

Gaussian process hyperparameter optimization requires linear solves with, and log-determinants of, large kernel matrices. Iterative numerical techniques are becoming popular to scale to larger datasets, relying on the conjugate gradient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Jonathan Wenger , Geoff Pleiss , Philipp Hennig , John P. Cunningham , Jacob R. Gardner
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