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This paper develops an approach for multi-step forecasting of dynamical systems by integrating probabilistic input forecasting with physics-informed output prediction. Accurate multi-step forecasting of time series systems is important for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-13 Mahdi Nasiri , Johanna Kortelainen , Simo Särkkä

Landslide susceptibility mapping (LSM) is crucial for identifying high-risk areas and informing prevention strategies. This study investigates the interpretability of statistical, machine learning (ML), and deep learning (DL) models in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-30 Cheng Chen , Lei Fan

Geological Carbon Storage GCS is arguably the only scalable net-negative CO2 emission technology available While promising subsurface complexities and heterogeneity of reservoir properties demand a systematic approach to quantify…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-05-29 Abhinav Prakash Gahlot , Rafael Orozco , Ziyi Yin , Felix J. Herrmann

Accurate forecasting of industrial time series requires balancing predictive accuracy with physical plausibility under non-stationary operating conditions. Existing data-driven models often achieve strong statistical performance but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Yeran Zhang , Pengwei Yang , Guoqing Wang , Tianyu Li

Nonlinear dynamical systems are ubiquitous in nature and they are hard to forecast. Not only they may be sensitive to small perturbations in their initial conditions, but they are often composed of processes acting at multiple scales.…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-10-06 Chenyu Dong , Davide Faranda , Adriano Gualandi , Valerio Lucarini , Gianmarco Mengaldo

In many applied fields, the prediction of more severe events than those already recorded is crucial for safeguarding against potential future calamities. What-if analyses, which evaluate hypothetical scenarios up to the worst-case event,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-08 Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli

Landslides have been a regular occurrence and an alarming threat to human life and property in the era of anthropogenic global warming. An early prediction of landslide susceptibility using a data-driven approach is a demand of time. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-28 Muhammad Sakib Khan Inan , Istiakur Rahman

Deep learning for Earth imagery plays an increasingly important role in geoscience applications such as agriculture, ecology, and natural disaster management. Still, progress is often hindered by the limited training labels. Given Earth…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-12-14 Zelin Xu , Tingsong Xiao , Wenchong He , Yu Wang , Zhe Jiang

Traditional physics-based models of geophysical flows, such as debris flows and landslides that pose significant risks to human lives and infrastructure are computationally expensive, limiting their utility for large-scale parameter sweeps,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-04-11 Palak Patel , Luke McGuire , Abani Patra

Data-driven methods have become increasingly more prominent for musculoskeletal modelling due to their conceptually intuitive simple and fast implementation. However, the performance of a pre-trained data-driven model using the data from…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-23 Jie Zhang , Yihui Zhao , Tianzhe Bao , Zhenhong Li , Kun Qian , Alejandro F. Frangi , Sheng Quan Xie , Zhi-Qiang Zhang

Data assimilation addresses the problem of identifying plausible state trajectories of dynamical systems given noisy or incomplete observations. In geosciences, it presents challenges due to the high-dimensionality of geophysical dynamical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-03 François Rozet , Gilles Louppe

The increasing complexity of cascading risks in urban systems necessitates robust, data-driven frameworks to model interdependencies across multiple domains. This study presents a foundational Bayesian network-based approach for analyzing…

Land use and land cover mapping from Earth Observation (EO) data is a critical tool for sustainable land and resource management. While advanced machine learning and deep learning algorithms excel at analyzing EO imagery data, they often…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-04-18 Babak Ghassemi , Cassio Fraga-Dantas , Raffaele Gaetano , Dino Ienco , Omid Ghorbanzadeh , Emma Izquierdo-Verdiguier , Francesco Vuolo

Data-driven approaches, when tasked with situation awareness, are suitable for complex grids with massive datasets. It is a challenge, however, to efficiently turn these massive datasets into useful big data analytics. To address such a…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-18 Xing He , Lei Chu , Robert C. Qiu , Qian Ai , Zenan Ling

Landslide detection from high resolution satellite imagery is a critical task for disaster response and risk assessment, yet the relative effectiveness of modern segmentation architectures and finetuning strategies for this problem remains…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Md Kowsher , Weiwei Zhan , Chen Chen

To accurately quantify landslide hazard in a region of Turkey, we develop new marked point process models within a Bayesian hierarchical framework for the joint prediction of landslide counts and sizes. To accommodate for the dominant role…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-23 Rishikesh Yadav , Raphaël Huser , Thomas Opitz , Luigi Lombardo

Causal and attribution studies are essential for earth scientific discoveries and critical for informing climate, ecology, and water policies. However, the current generation of methods needs to keep pace with the complexity of scientific…

Applications · Statistics 2022-09-27 Elizabeth Eldhose , Tejasvi Chauhan , Vikram Chandel , Subimal Ghosh , Auroop R. Ganguly

In Continual Learning (CL) contexts, concept drift typically refers to the analysis of changes in data distribution. A drift in the input data can have negative consequences on a learning predictor and the system's stability. The majority…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-23 Sebastian Basterrech

The planet Earth has hundreds of impact events, with some occurrences causing both in terms of human casualty as well as economic losses. Such attitudes of earth pushed the frontiers to develop innovative monitoring strategies for the earth…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2014-08-04 Satyajit Rath , B. P. S. Sahoo , S. K. Pandey , D. P. Sandha

Conventional seismic techniques for detecting the subsurface geologic features are challenged by limited data coverage, computational inefficiency, and subjective human factors. We developed a novel data-driven geological feature detection…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-26 Youzuo Lin , Shusen Wang , Jayaraman Thiagarajan , George Guthrie , David Coblentz
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