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Many randomized approximation algorithms operate by giving a procedure for simulating a random variable $X$ which has mean $\mu$ equal to the target answer, and a relative standard deviation bounded above by a known constant $c$. Examples…

Computation · Statistics 2019-08-16 Mark Huber

The empirical distribution function assigns mass $1/n$ to each of the $n$ observations in a sample. As these are highly variable, estimation error may be reduced by replacing them with estimated observations that are asymptotically less…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Tommaso Lando , Lorenzo Tedesco

We develop a minimax theory for operator learning, where the goal is to estimate an unknown operator between separable Hilbert spaces from finitely many noisy input-output samples. For uniformly bounded Lipschitz operators, we prove…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-06 Ben Adcock , Gregor Maier , Rahul Parhi

We provide a novel characterization of semiparametric efficiency in a generic supervised learning setting where the outcome mean function -- defined as the conditional expectation of the outcome of interest given the other observed…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-22 Harrison H. Li

Objectives: Estimation of areas under receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs) and their differences is a key task in diagnostic studies. We aimed to derive, evaluate, and implement simple sample size formulas for such studies with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-03 Di Shu , Guangyong Zou

We obtain minimax-optimal convergence rates in the supremum norm, including information-theoretic lower bounds, for estimating the covariance kernel of a stochastic process which is repeatedly observed at discrete, synchronous design…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-03 Max Berger , Hajo Holzmann

We investigate the uniform convergence of subdifferential mappings from empirical risk to population risk in nonsmooth, nonconvex stochastic optimization. This question is key to understanding how empirical stationary points approximate…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-26 Feng Ruan

Empirical process theory for i.i.d. observations has emerged as a ubiquitous tool for understanding the generalization properties of various statistical problems. However, in many applications where the data exhibit temporal dependencies…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-18 Nabarun Deb , Debarghya Mukherjee

This paper extends the link between stochastic approximation (SA) theory and randomized urn models developed in Laruelle, Pag{\`e}s (2013), and their applications to clinical trials introduced in Bai, HU (1999,2005) and Bai, Hu, Shen…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-16 Sophie Laruelle , Gilles Pagès

The goal of regression and classification methods in supervised learning is to minimize the empirical risk, that is, the expectation of some loss function quantifying the prediction error under the empirical distribution. When facing scarce…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-07-15 Soroosh Shafieezadeh-Abadeh , Daniel Kuhn , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani

Classical mathematical statistics deals with models that are parametrized by a Euclidean, i.e. finite dimensional, parameter. Quite often such models have been and still are chosen in practical situations for their mathematical simplicity…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-25 Chris A. J. Klaassen

We consider the problem of parametric statistical inference when likelihood computations are prohibitively expensive but sampling from the model is possible. Several so-called likelihood-free methods have been developed to perform inference…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-14 Owen Thomas , Ritabrata Dutta , Jukka Corander , Samuel Kaski , Michael U. Gutmann

Convergence properties of empirical risk minimizers can be conveniently expressed in terms of the associated population risk. To derive bounds for the performance of the estimator under covariate shift, however, pointwise convergence rates…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-01 Johannes Schmidt-Hieber , Petr Zamolodtchikov

In this work we study the semi-supervised framework of confidence set classification with controlled expected size in minimax settings. We obtain semi-supervised minimax rates of convergence under the margin assumption and a H{\"o}lder…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-30 Evgenii Chzhen , Christophe Denis , Mohamed Hebiri

We study the optimal rates of convergence for estimating a prior distribution over a VC class from a sequence of independent data sets respectively labeled by independent target functions sampled from the prior. We specifically derive upper…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-05-21 Liu Yang , Steve Hanneke , Jaime Carbonell

We study the proximal sampler of Lee, Shen, and Tian (2021) and obtain new convergence guarantees under weaker assumptions than strong log-concavity: namely, our results hold for (1) weakly log-concave targets, and (2) targets satisfying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-15 Yongxin Chen , Sinho Chewi , Adil Salim , Andre Wibisono

The Method of Successive Approximations (MSA) is a fixed-point iterative method used to solve stochastic optimal control problems. It is an indirect method based on the conditions derived from the Stochastic Maximum Principle (SMP), an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-14 Safouane Taoufik , Badr Missaoui

Understanding the limiting behavior of eigenvalues of random matrices is the central problem of random matrix theory. Classical limit results are known for many models, and there has been significant recent progress in obtaining more…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-05 Elizabeth S. Meckes , Mark W. Meckes

We consider nonparametric regression under covariate shift, where we observe samples from both the target distribution and a related but distinct source distribution. We introduce a novel object, the transfer function, and show that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-09 Petr Zamolodtchikov

Researchers increasingly use meta-analysis to synthesize the results of several studies in order to estimate a common effect. When the outcome variable is continuous, standard meta-analytic approaches assume that the primary studies report…

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