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This article reviews quantitative methods to estimate the basic reproduction number of pandemic influenza, a key threshold quantity to help determine the intensity of interventions required to control the disease. Although it is difficult…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-13 Gerardo Chowell , Hiroshi Nishiura

Autoregressive neural networks within the temporal point process (TPP) framework have become the standard for modeling continuous-time event data. Even though these models can expressively capture event sequences in a one-step-ahead…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-21 David Lüdke , Marin Biloš , Oleksandr Shchur , Marten Lienen , Stephan Günnemann

Creative image generation has emerged as a compelling area of research, driven by the need to produce novel and high-quality images that expand the boundaries of imagination. In this work, we propose a novel framework for creative…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Kunpeng Song , Ahmed Elgammal

Kinematic sensors are often used to analyze movement behaviors in sports and daily activities due to their ease of use and lack of spatial restrictions, unlike video-based motion capturing systems. Still, the generation, and especially the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-27 Heiko Oppel , Michael Munz

Diffusion models have emerged as powerful generative frameworks by progressively adding noise to data through a forward process and then reversing this process to generate realistic samples. While these models have achieved strong…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Xingzhuo Guo , Yu Zhang , Baixu Chen , Haoran Xu , Jianmin Wang , Mingsheng Long

Diffusion models offer a physically grounded framework for probabilistic weather forecasting, but their typical reliance on slow, iterative solvers during inference makes them impractical for subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) applications where…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-01 Jason Stock , Troy Arcomano , Rao Kotamarthi

Diffusion models are loosely modelled based on non-equilibrium thermodynamics, where \textit{diffusion} refers to particles flowing from high-concentration regions towards low-concentration regions. In statistics, the meaning is quite…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-19 Inga Strümke , Helge Langseth

Physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) offer a powerful framework for seismic wavefield modeling, yet they typically require time-consuming retraining when applied to different velocity models. Moreover, their training can suffer from…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-06-03 Shijun Cheng , Tariq Alkhalifah

Generative models such as denoising diffusion models are quickly advancing their ability to approximate highly complex data distributions. They are also increasingly leveraged in scientific machine learning, where samples from the implied…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-14 Jan-Hendrik Bastek , WaiChing Sun , Dennis M. Kochmann

Anticipating future actions is inherently uncertain. Given an observed video segment containing ongoing actions, multiple subsequent actions can plausibly follow. This uncertainty becomes even larger when predicting far into the future.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-11-28 Zeyun Zhong , Chengzhi Wu , Manuel Martin , Michael Voit , Juergen Gall , Jürgen Beyerer

Multidimensional continuous-time Markov jump processes $(Z(t))$ on $\mathbb{Z}^p$ form a usual set-up for modeling $SIR$-like epidemics. However, when facing incomplete epidemic data, inference based on $(Z(t))$ is not easy to be achieved.…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-01-03 Romain Guy , Catherine Larédo , Elisabeta Vergu

Compartmental models provide simple and efficient tools to analyze the relevant transmission processes during an outbreak, to produce short-term forecasts or transmission scenarios, and to assess the impact of vaccination campaigns.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-02-19 Caterina Millevoi , Damiano Pasetto , Massimiliano Ferronato

Estimating population-level prevalence and transmission dynamics of wildlife pathogens can be challenging, partly because surveillance data is sparse, detection-driven, and unevenly sequenced. Using highly pathogenic avian influenza A/H5…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-16 Haley Stone , Jing Du , Yang Yang , Ashna Desai , Rebecca Dawson , Hao Xue , David Heslop , Matthew Scotch , Andreas Züfle , C. Raina MacIntyre , Flora Salim

Data scarcity is a primary obstacle in developing robust Machine Learning (ML) models for detecting rapidly intensifying tropical cyclones. Traditional data augmentation techniques (rotation, flipping, brightness adjustment) fail to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Marawan Yakout , Tannistha Maiti , Monira Majhabeen , Tarry Singh

Diffusion frameworks have achieved comparable performance with previous state-of-the-art image generation models. Researchers are curious about its variants in discriminative tasks because of its powerful noise-to-image denoising pipeline.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-12-29 Zhangxuan Gu , Haoxing Chen , Zhuoer Xu , Jun Lan , Changhua Meng , Weiqiang Wang

The imputation of missing values represents a significant obstacle for many real-world data analysis pipelines. Here, we focus on time series data and put forward SSSD, an imputation model that relies on two emerging technologies,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-09 Juan Miguel Lopez Alcaraz , Nils Strodthoff

The large underlying assumption of climate models today relies on the basis of a "confident" initial condition, a reasonably plausible snapshot of the Earth for which all future predictions depend on. However, given the inherently chaotic…

Applications · Statistics 2025-06-03 Valerie Tsao , Nathaniel W. Chaney , Manolis Veveakis

In this work, we propose FlowTime, a generative model for probabilistic forecasting of multivariate timeseries data. Given historical measurements and optional future covariates, we formulate forecasting as sampling from a learned…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Ahmed ElGazzar , Marcel van Gerven

Diffusion models have quickly risen in popularity for their ability to model complex distributions and perform effective posterior sampling. Unfortunately, the iterative nature of these generative models makes them computationally expensive…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Tristan S. W. Stevens , Oisín Nolan , Jean-Luc Robert , Ruud J. G. van Sloun

Diffusion processes are governed by external triggers and internal dynamics in complex systems. Timely and cost-effective control of infectious disease spread critically relies on uncovering the underlying diffusion mechanisms, which is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-02-09 Minkyoung Kim , Dean Paini , Raja Jurdak
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