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Accurate forecasting of the electrical load, such as the magnitude and the timing of peak power, is crucial to successful power system management and implementation of smart grid strategies like demand response and peak shaving. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-26 Dafang Zhao , Xihao Piao , Zheng Chen , Zhengmao Li , Ittetsu Taniguchi

Short-term load forecasting (STLF) is vital for the effective and economic operation of power grids and energy markets. However, the non-linearity and non-stationarity of electricity demand as well as its dependency on various external…

Short-term load forecasting is one of the crucial sections in smart grid. Precise forecasting enables system operators to make reliable unit commitment and power dispatching decisions. With the advent of big data, a number of artificial…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-09-27 Tiantian Li , Bo Wang , Min Zhou , Junzo Watada

Accurate mid-term (weeks to one year) hourly electricity load forecasts are essential for strategic decision-making in power plant operation, ensuring supply security and grid stability, planning and building energy storage systems, and…

Applications · Statistics 2025-05-01 Monika Zimmermann , Florian Ziel

For effective integration of building operations into the evolving demand response programs of the power grid, real-time decisions concerning the use of building appliances for grid services must excel on multiple criteria, ranging from the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-23 Milan Jain , Soumya Kundu , Arnab Bhattacharya , Sen Huang , Vikas Chandan , Nikitha Radhakrishnan , Veronica Adetola , Draguna Vrabie

Electrification of residential heating and transporta- tion has the potential to overload transformers in distribution feeders. Strategic scheduling of transformer upgrades to antici- pate increasing loads can avoid operational failures and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-19 William A Wheeler , Samuel Chevalier , Amritanshu Pandey

Residential Load Profile (RLP) generation and prediction are critical for the operation and planning of distribution networks, especially as diverse low-carbon technologies (e.g., photovoltaic and electric vehicles) are increasingly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Weijie Xia , Chenguang Wang , Peter Palensky , Pedro P. Vergara

Cloud Computing (CC) serves to be a key driver for fulfilling the store and compute requirements of a modern Smart Grid (SG). However, since the datacenters are deployed in concentrated and far remote areas, it fails to guarantee the…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2018-05-24 Md. Muzakkir Hussain , Mohammad Saad Alam , M. M. Sufyan Beg

We propose a simple empirical scaling law that describes load forecasting accuracy at different levels of aggregation. The model is justified based on a simple decomposition of individual consumption patterns. We show that for different…

Applications · Statistics 2017-09-01 Raffi Sevlian , Ram Rajagopal

The growing popularity of workflows in the cloud domain promoted the development of sophisticated autoscaling policies that allow automatic allocation and deallocation of resources. However, many state-of-the-art autoscaling policies for…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2019-07-24 Alexey Ilyushkin , André Bauer , Alessandro V. Papadopoulos , Ewa Deelman , Alexandru Iosup

The expansion of residential demand response programs and increased deployment of controllable loads will require accurate appliance-level load modeling and forecasting. This paper proposes a conditional hidden semi-Markov model to describe…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-10 Yuting Ji , Elizabeth Buechler , Ram Rajagopal

New micro-grid design with renewable energy sources and battery storage systems can help improve greenhouse gas emissions and reduce the operational cost. To provide an effective short-/long-term forecasting of both energy generation and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-08 Jiangjiao Xu , Ke Li

For market-based procurement of low voltage (LV) flexibility, DSOs identify the amount of flexibility needed for resolving probable distribution network (DN) voltage and thermal congestion. A framework is required to avoid over or under…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-22 Md Umar Hashmi , Arpan Koirala , Hakan Ergun , Dirk Van Hertem

Forecasting electricity demand plays a critical role in ensuring reliable and cost-efficient operation of the electricity supply. With the global transition to distributed renewable energy sources and the electrification of heating and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-31 Konstantin Hopf , Hannah Hartstang , Thorsten Staake

Time series forecasting has played a pivotal role across various industries, including finance, transportation, energy, healthcare, and climate. Due to the abundant seasonal information they contain, timestamps possess the potential to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-21 Chengsen Wang , Qi Qi , Jingyu Wang , Haifeng Sun , Zirui Zhuang , Jinming Wu , Jianxin Liao

Electrical energy is essential in today's society. Accurate electrical load forecasting is beneficial for better scheduling of electricity generation and saving electrical energy. In this paper, we propose theory-guided deep-learning load…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-07 Jiaxin Gao , Wenbo Hu , Dongxiao Zhang , Yuntian Chen

Short-term load forecasting (STLF) is crucial for the daily operation of power grids. However, the non-linearity, non-stationarity, and randomness characterizing electricity demand time series renders STLF a challenging task. Various…

Load-forecasting problems have already been widely addressed with different approaches, granularities and objectives. Recent studies focus not only on deep learning methods but also on forecasting loads on single building level. This study…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-15 Thomas Steens , Jan-Simon Telle , Benedikt Hanke , Karsten von Maydell , Carsten Agert , Gian-Luca di Modica , Bernd Engel , Matthias Grottke

Electricity load peak forecasting (ELPF), simultaneously predicting peak timing and intensity, is a prerequisite for effective grid scheduling and risk management. However, existing methods face three limitations. First, they adopt a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Wangzhi Yu , Peng Zhu , Qing Zhao , Yiwen Jiang , Dawei Cheng

Probabilistic load forecasting (PLF) is a key component in the extended tool-chain required for efficient management of smart energy grids. Neural networks are widely considered to achieve improved prediction performances, supporting highly…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-01-12 Alessandro Brusaferri , Matteo Matteucci , Stefano Spinelli , Andrea Vitali